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  • #143,121
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:13am Sep 16, 2009 3:13am
Quoting raz
WOWSERS, bold... yet sexy. You thinking this to hit the 1.1700 area?
Sorry razzzz, we were talking about spot gold.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #143,122
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:21am Sep 16, 2009 3:21am
Quoting raz
WOWSERS, bold... yet sexy. You thinking this to hit the 1.1700 area?
Actually I'm thinking about 1.1200 and lower but for around end of the summer next year or so not for next Friday.

Take a look at monthly chart.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #143,123
  • Edited 3:39am Sep 16, 2009 3:23am | Edited 3:39am
Quoting Atlast
That level would coincide with the ML in the 2nd 60 min chart I posted yesterday.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=142939
Remember markets have greater than 80% probability of making it back to the ML. Hence why I use this technique constantly.
Thanks for the information , if monthyl sr neglect then it can go 1.4785+ ,not thinking though exactly . sell off perhaps started in lower tf for some retracement before another try up. will check MM soon . M5 to daily price over 8/8 MM in overshoot area , only God knows what is going to happen.
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #143,124
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:23am Sep 16, 2009 3:23am
Quoting gatorinla
ml monthy low?
monthly 1.4000 ML,
LML 1.1752 as of now.
UML 1.61000 as of now.
probabilities to the upside.
  • #143,125
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:24am Sep 16, 2009 3:24am
Quoting arezab
Actually I'm thinking about 1.1200 and lower but for around end of the summer next year or so not for next Friday.

Take a look at monthly chart.
Well lets all just get freaky one time.

We get that low & I will be able to afford to vist Europeland. My people got kicked out of there 400 years ago - I always wondered what its like....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #143,126
  • Edited 3:28am Sep 16, 2009 3:25am | Edited 3:28am
Quoting Atlast
That level would coincide with the ML in the 2nd 60 min chart I posted yesterday.
http://www.forexfactory.com/showpost...stcount=142939
Remember markets have greater than 80% probability of making it back to the ML. Hence why I use this technique constantly.
I like what I see on your chart will have to look into this technique,alwaysgoodto learn some more.
All the best ,
The Cat
Trade on your own risk Plan your trade&trade your plan dont be a
  • #143,127
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:26am Sep 16, 2009 3:26am
Quoting fontu
Thanks for the information , if monthyl sr neglect then it can go 1.4785+ ,not thinking though exactly . sell off perhaps started in lower tf for some retracement before another try up. will check MM soon .
fontu
I am only trading intraday moves, longer term much higher for me, but intraday looking for the pullback. We're seeing some candle formation of spinning top in place, but still can go either way. playing the probabilities for today to see daily PP
  • #143,128
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:29am Sep 16, 2009 3:29am
When will it end!
In Charts We Trust!
  • #143,129
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:30am Sep 16, 2009 3:30am
When euro begins its retrace EUR/GBP would be a good sell
currently 89.20
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #143,130
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:37am Sep 16, 2009 3:37am
Quoting Trading Cat
I like what I see on your chart will have to look into this technique,alwaysgoodto learn some more.
All the best ,
The Cat
It's an old and proven technique. Some have taken it and refined it, almost to confusion. I have developed a couple of extra modifications myself which I use to trade, but always use the standard technique to give me the trend and likely entry/exit placements.
  • #143,131
  • Sep 16, 2009 3:48am Sep 16, 2009 3:48am
Quoting gatorinla
best i can do for ya with this platform
Thanks Gator,

This is what I could go. Seems 87 is very well protected if breaks 85, then 79. But I am going for trend exhaustion. May take several attempts. Thanks again buddy.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #143,132
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:13am Sep 16, 2009 4:13am
i expected her to retrace around the 61.8% fib level at 14625, but its gone straight through that and looks like it might head up till the next resistance at 1.4867. i can't see it pushing through the 2008 high, and expect it to retrace eventually over the next year, maybe a bit less. once it shoots past 1.4177 im in for the long haul south.... im trading long timeframes btw, dont have the for intra day... what everyone think?
  • #143,133
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:14am Sep 16, 2009 4:14am
Triple witching on Friday !!

Anyone remembers last years september triple witching?

Euro went down about 400 points in 24 hours.

Can go both ways!

1.5000 not out of question until Fridays settlment.

Take care and watch those forces moving the Euro on Friday.
  • #143,134
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:14am Sep 16, 2009 4:14am
Quoting jp09
i expected her to retrace around the 61.8% fib level at 14625, but its gone straight through that and looks like it might head up till the next resistance at 1.4867. i can't see it pushing through the 2008 high, and expect it to retrace eventually over the next year, maybe a bit less. once it shoots past 1.4177 im in for the long haul south.... im trading long timeframes btw, dont have the for intra day... what everyone think?
14177?????
  • #143,135
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:16am Sep 16, 2009 4:16am
In monitoring the dollar – it is hitting near-term lows against multiple currencies, Euro, Australian dollar, Brazilian real, etc. Clearly investors are thinking that economic conditions are improving and are more willing to take on risk. Yesterday, confirming this thought, Bernanke said the recession is likely over, causing the dollar to slide. Also, retail sales exceeded expectations, another sign of economic strength in the US. There is no reason to get out of this trade. Still long EUR / USD.
  • #143,136
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:20am Sep 16, 2009 4:20am
Quoting CAnthonyMVE
14177?????
1st september low
  • #143,137
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:22am Sep 16, 2009 4:22am
Quoting jp09
1st september low
im sorry i didnt read it right i thought u was saying ur going long if it shoots thought 1477
  • #143,138
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:28am Sep 16, 2009 4:28am
think ive missed the boat on that one!
  • #143,139
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:28am Sep 16, 2009 4:28am
Quoting jp09
i expected her to retrace around the 61.8% fib level at 14625, but its gone straight through that and looks like it might head up till the next resistance at 1.4867. i can't see it pushing through the 2008 high, and expect it to retrace eventually over the next year, maybe a bit less. once it shoots past 1.4177 im in for the long haul south.... im trading long timeframes btw, dont have the for intra day... what everyone think?
Might be just overshooting that fib, we are less than 100 pips away from that fib level, but it could also blow all tops and go to 1.6 before another bubble burst that will take the euro to less than 1 dollar

A red monthly candle (below 1.43) would not surprise me
Maybe its all about putting false upward pressure before fundamentals take over
Some drink at the fountain of knowledge. Others just gargle !
  • #143,140
  • Sep 16, 2009 4:29am Sep 16, 2009 4:29am
I think it is going to exhaust , sign of sell off & so no overshoot this time . So going to short with tight sl & tp 1.4640 & leaving. see you all in the evening though usually can't trade actively most day .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
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