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  • #134,841
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:31am Aug 25, 2009 9:31am
Quoting acumen
Was a few minutes ago.

The September effect is alive.

m
What is the "September effect"? Please tell me!
  • #134,842
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:33am Aug 25, 2009 9:33am
Yeah S&P really taking a hit. If the S&P and Dow turns negative, well the euro will.... enough said.
  • #134,843
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:33am Aug 25, 2009 9:33am
Quoting acumen
Was a few minutes ago.

The September effect is alive.

m

Good point, equities are starting to take profit off the table cause they know that there is a pretty bumpy ride ahead. This could be the beginning of the correction, including for the euro as I think we might need a breather before making new annual highs on the EURUSD, dow, S&P, Nasdaq and Oil.
  • #134,844
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:34am Aug 25, 2009 9:34am
Still keep the Long

The good news in US is just manipulated

USD should not go up
  • #134,845
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:34am Aug 25, 2009 9:34am
Quoting trading801
Koala buddy we work in similar ways.. i look at s &p 500.. guess i need to start with oil and more of treasures soon
if you got an oil chart timeline it.. i think the high was 74.96... so lets roughly say at this moment in time 1.4360= 75pb oil/ s/p 1030...
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #134,846
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:35am Aug 25, 2009 9:35am
Quoting operigote
Good point, equities are starting to take profit off the table cause they know that there is a pretty bumpy ride ahead. This could be the beginning of the correction, including for the euro as I think we might need a breather before making new annual highs on the EURUSD, dow, S&P, Nasdaq and Oil.
Thx you very much!
  • #134,847
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:35am Aug 25, 2009 9:35am
Quoting Tjpld
Because in that cause you'd know a bit more about statistical error and representative sample sizes.

Mr Resident Lecturer in Stats.

so how? i am eager to know my stats score !!

5000 is too small like i say or too much?
  • #134,848
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:36am Aug 25, 2009 9:36am
Quoting gatorinla
if you got and oil chart timline it.. i think the high was 74.96... so lets roughly say at this moment in time 1.4360= 75pb oil/ s/p 1030...

sort of a future reference clue too eh ? cool
  • #134,849
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:38am Aug 25, 2009 9:38am
Quoting operigote
Is anyone short yet and why?
I have still some ,most closed though with profit from top having big lots . As I believe it go 1.4233 again for any bull to run or having a double top to much more .
fontu
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #134,850
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:39am Aug 25, 2009 9:39am
Quoting RussoS
What is the "September effect"? Please tell me!
Go google for it. You'll find tonnes of stuff to read.
  • #134,851
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:40am Aug 25, 2009 9:40am
Quoting Tjpld
Because in that cause you'd know a bit more about statistical error and representative sample sizes.
Representative sample sizes (400 or so right?) is one thing, wishful thinking by those 5000 families who know their answer will affect the stock markets (and therefore their 401k's) is another.
  • #134,852
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:41am Aug 25, 2009 9:41am
Quoting Anskiere
Go google for it. You'll find tonnes of stuff to read.
Somebody wrote it already...
  • #134,853
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:50am Aug 25, 2009 9:50am
Even though there is resistance, looks like the hedge and mutual funds still coming in and buying anything they can with the slightest pull back. The big question is when will they stop doing that?
  • #134,854
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:50am Aug 25, 2009 9:50am
Quoting trading801
p/s s & p 500 is slowly slipping away.. now at +0.30ish% only
#134491
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #134,855
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:51am Aug 25, 2009 9:51am
Good now

1.4310 is a good Defender

USD should go down from here
  • #134,856
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:55am Aug 25, 2009 9:55am
Quoting learntowin
Good now

1.4310 is a good Defender

USD should go down from here

eur up...
  • #134,857
  • Aug 25, 2009 9:58am Aug 25, 2009 9:58am
Profit taking takes us near .4280 I'm a buyer.

Until then... my trigger finger is firmly inserted in the starfish.

Mike
  • #134,858
  • Aug 25, 2009 10:00am Aug 25, 2009 10:00am
Quoting trading801
Mr Resident Lecturer in Stats.

so how? i am eager to know my stats score !!

5000 is too small like i say or too much?
In general you can say if you 4-fold your sample size the statistical error gets cut in half. You can imagine that you will reache a point where adding more and more People or whatever doesn't make any sense. That point is reached pretty quick. For elections most Opinion Research Centers take a sample size of 1000 randomly picked persons which ensures that the small scale reflects the bigger picture because you have a very heterogenous pool of people. In that case forcasts have a error of +/- 1%. It simply would not make any sense wasting cash by asking another 5000 people because your results will only change slightly.

Getting down to the maths would make everything pretty boring at that point. I hope I could statisfy your question.
  • #134,859
  • Aug 25, 2009 10:01am Aug 25, 2009 10:01am
Quoting learntowin
Good now

1.4310 is a good Defender

USD should go down from here
highly unlikely EUR will go below 1.43
  • #134,860
  • Aug 25, 2009 10:05am Aug 25, 2009 10:05am
Upward track intact.
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