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  • #131,321
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:19pm Aug 13, 2009 11:19pm
Quoting OleMiss
this. I have absolutely no idea where this market is going.
check out earlier post in the last 6 hours..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #131,322
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:27pm Aug 13, 2009 11:27pm
anybody predicts we'll see 1.44 today?
  • #131,323
  • Edited 11:38pm Aug 13, 2009 11:28pm | Edited 11:38pm
Quoting The Fool
This can't be good news if you want a strong $. I just wonder if the effect peters out next week?

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...d=aFalJ5Pm_UI4
weak dollar not so bad this time.. gas not 4$ yet.. we export more. and we import less.. we pay off deficit easier.. and home prices deflate less..later on as a result usd gets stronger. meanwhile world starves as food gets cheaper. cause they dont have a job.. so they lower their prices (deflate) so we buy of their crap.. the circle of life..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #131,324
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:31pm Aug 13, 2009 11:31pm
this way that way?
Attached Image
  • #131,325
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:32pm Aug 13, 2009 11:32pm
Hello guys/girls...

The uptrending is still in control and I am still favouring LONG position now. So here is my forecast for today:-

Resistance
1.4295 (Res TL)
1.4336 (fib 100%)
PW 1.43350

Support
1.4237 (89SMA)
1.4212 (21EMA @ D1)
PW 1.4190

Hope this helps. Comments/ideas are most welcome.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 49 KB
  • #131,326
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:35pm Aug 13, 2009 11:35pm
On Oanda chart anyway--this 3 hour triangle bout 3/4 through now maybe a little more somethings gotta give soon
  • #131,327
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:36pm Aug 13, 2009 11:36pm
Quoting ashlee_17
anybody predicts we'll see 1.44 today?
not me... 4343/47 looks doubtful... but i could be wrong.. its friday and i would not want to hold this trade over the weekend at this point.. hey but 4360 area popped up on a few trendlines today..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #131,328
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:39pm Aug 13, 2009 11:39pm
Quoting gatorinla
weak dollar not so bad this time.. gas not 4$ yet.. we export more. and we import less.. we pay off deficit easier.. and home prices deflate less..later on as a result usd gets stronger. meanwhile world starves as food gets cheaper. cause they dont have a job.. so they lower their prices (deflate) so we buy their crap.. the circle of life..
All the same I bet you can make some bank buying Y if you know when those repatriations occur. toshi would know - he's been around forever....
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #131,329
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:46pm Aug 13, 2009 11:46pm
Quoting gatorinla
weak dollar not so bad this time.. gas not 4$ yet.. we export more. and we import less.. we pay off deficit easier.. and home prices deflate less..later on as a result usd gets stronger. meanwhile world starves as food gets cheaper. cause they dont have a job.. so they lower their prices (deflate) so we buy their crap.. the circle of life..
I don't know how to apply your "gator" number series in my system...but what you said here seems to be agreed by my weekly chart.

For now, in a longer term I think the price might fill the area here. No crystal ball mate...just prediction based on what the chart is telling me.

Afterall, we are still in the MAJOR CORRECTION period between those TLs (see arrows).

What say you?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 44 KB
  • #131,330
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:48pm Aug 13, 2009 11:48pm
Bull flag on the 4H? or right shoulder? I say a quick trip to 1.4113 is in the cards in the next 60 hours of trading.
  • #131,331
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:52pm Aug 13, 2009 11:52pm
Quoting Poidog
Bull flag on the 4H? or right shoulder? I say a quick trip to 1.4113 is in the cards in the next 60 hours of trading.
Its all Bull Crap till we can clearly see what happens
  • #131,332
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:54pm Aug 13, 2009 11:54pm
I think a trip to 300 may be in the cards too
  • #131,333
  • Aug 13, 2009 11:57pm Aug 13, 2009 11:57pm
Quoting orangeRANGE
Hello guys/girls...

The uptrending is still in control and I am still favouring LONG position now. So here is my forecast for today:-

Resistance
1.4295 (Res TL)
1.4336 (fib 100%)
PW 1.43350

Support
1.4237 (89SMA)
1.4212 (21EMA @ D1)
PW 1.4190

Hope this helps. Comments/ideas are most welcome.
Longs for a small move. Close and reverse your pos. over 4300 somewhere. Hold over the weekend. Don't get caught bear-assed. Lots of space below.
  • #131,334
  • Edited Aug 14, 2009 12:15am Aug 13, 2009 11:57pm | Edited Aug 14, 2009 12:15am
Quoting The Fool
All the same I bet you can make some bank buying Y if you know when those repatriations occur.
toshi would know - he's been around forever....
You think so, huh ? Well, What I've learned, if you can call it learning,
is that there are rather somewhat predictable cycles of Yen repatriation
that occur and re-occur on certain days of the month.
The start/end of the month is, it seems to me, the most active period of repat activity for the Japanese.

Also the biggest period of yen repatriation is in March of each year
because the fiscal year in Japan starts on April 1st (no fooling, Fool.)


Yes, I feel like Mel Brook's "The 2000-year-old-man" character sometimes....
Yen Futures used to be my favorite contract in the whole wide world
It really was over 200 or nearly 250 yen to the dollar, once upon a time.
And not a half century ago or ancient history/ post WWII or something.
I'm talking back in the '80's, when MTV still played music (Woa, nina blackwood - uh huh.)

I don't know anybody who exchanged yen currency 60 years ago at 380 yen/dollar
or whatever ridiculous # it was in the aftermath of the Japanese surrender.
That's data for the historians and people who were here before my time, but
I can still call and speak person to person with living souls who bought/sold the yen
with a 40 something or 50 something handle basis the nearby (otherwords, 200+ yen/dollar)

Those were real trades, even if we were paying $25/round turn and had to use a telephone.
  • #131,335
  • Aug 14, 2009 12:01am Aug 14, 2009 12:01am
Told ya he'd know, that dudes a baller.
"If The Fool persists in his Folly he will become wise." - William Blake
  • #131,336
  • Edited 12:03am Aug 14, 2009 12:01am | Edited 12:03am
I have 3 intersecting TL right here in 24 min candle damn close--15 min chart
  • #131,337
  • Aug 14, 2009 12:06am Aug 14, 2009 12:06am
Quoting stevefx
Longs for a small move. Close and reverse your pos. over 4300 somewhere. Hold over the weekend. Don't get caught bear-assed. Lots of space below.
I'm already in short, and wouldn't play this long but if it recovers from this 56 area and stabilizes then a better short entry might present itself, is what I was trying to say.
  • #131,338
  • Aug 14, 2009 12:07am Aug 14, 2009 12:07am
i lost the pink chart. so this is a recarnation with a few changes tl ect.

heres what i need.. steam and green lines breached.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: 1.gif Size: 23 KB
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #131,339
  • Aug 14, 2009 12:08am Aug 14, 2009 12:08am
we hope it shorts good.More pips to be made to me
I'm in also already
  • #131,340
  • Aug 14, 2009 12:09am Aug 14, 2009 12:09am
hint.. if not breached
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
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