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  • #124,481
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:23am Jul 23, 2009 4:23am
Quoting fxswing
The secret is ...

Buy high, sell higher
Sell low, buy lower

And yes, it's psychologically very hard to do... but it's the right way to do it.
The best strategy that I ve ever heard. But how calculate this levels?
  • #124,482
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:28am Jul 23, 2009 4:28am
Have initiated a small short at 1.4231 to position for the US Unemployment data.
  • #124,483
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:31am Jul 23, 2009 4:31am
Talking about correlation with equities...

Have you ever heard the moto "don't fight the fed" ?

It's all over 2003 again

Here what's going on imho

Rates are at their lowest point, this gives almost free money.
What do you do with free money (not you and me, but people that have access to it) ?

Yep you guessed it right, you go and speculate in the markets with that free money, building bubbles.
Like in 2003, this will not be stopped before we get a clear signal that a rate hike cycle is about to begin.
And helicopter Ben said clearly that we've got a long time before rates will move... bring on more free money, and more speculation.

It's mechanical, not logical !
The fed can't move the rates they're trapped, big time...

Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent, don't fight the fed, people

Don't expect equities to crash, hot air is in unlimited supply and for a long period.

Talking about longer trend direction here, not daytrade wiggles.

Just my 2 cents...
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #124,484
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:34am Jul 23, 2009 4:34am
Quoting fxswing
The secret is ...

Buy high, sell higher
Sell low, buy lower

And yes, it's psychologically very hard to do... but it's the right way to do it.
Yap most people are trained to buy low sell high and vice versa. Thats why most people look for reversal instead of following trends.
  • #124,485
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:34am Jul 23, 2009 4:34am
Quoting fxswing
Don't expect equities to crash...
Actually I expect them to crash within the next days. Well maybe not a crash but a harsh correction. I'm long in the Dollar and Yen.
  • #124,486
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:34am Jul 23, 2009 4:34am
Quoting Chicky
Short description: These are all moneys and they all suck now a days.

Long Description:
There are correlations, but many factors affect such correlations and therefore these correlations keep on changing. Sometime these correlations take 180 degree turn, totally opposite depending upon the nature of change in the factors establishing such correlations. In simple words these correlations are neither fixed nor directly proportional.

Stocks represent properties (tangible and intangible) if dollar goes down its purchasing power...

thanx to you and thanx to every one...if still some body knows some thing more please share.

my regards
  • #124,487
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:36am Jul 23, 2009 4:36am
Quoting luis.v.suft
The best strategy that I ve ever heard. But how calculate this levels?
Watch for a trend to form and jump in.

Higher highs and higher lows

OR

Lower lows and lower highs

Hardest part is to wait for the trend to emerge...
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #124,488
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:37am Jul 23, 2009 4:37am
Quoting orangeRANGE
If the bull can't break this area (see ellipse), the bear will take control from somewhere around 1.4270.
See ellipse and arrow. I think this H4 chart explains a lot to some of you...way to go...mr.Bear...!!!
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 53 KB
  • #124,489
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:40am Jul 23, 2009 4:40am
The way this PA is moving, one pip up two pips down, it seems scalpers have total control and no one in this world is trading except the scalpers.
The Thief of Wall Street
  • #124,490
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:43am Jul 23, 2009 4:43am
Quoting Chicky
The way this PA is moving, one pip up two pips down, it seems scalpers have total control and no one in this world is trading except the scalpers.
Yep, I've watching it for the past 12 hours.....it's like some kind of slow torture!!!
Doing what you like is Freedom. Liking what you do is Happiness.
  • #124,491
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:43am Jul 23, 2009 4:43am
Quoting Xaron
Actually I expect them to crash within the next days. Well maybe not a crash but a harsh correction. I'm long in the Dollar and Yen.
After last week us dollar index closing below 80, I'm not seeing a reaction...
It even reached now lows.

You could be right, a cross back above 80, would alert me of that possibility.
But for now I'll go with the trend, until it bends...
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #124,492
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:46am Jul 23, 2009 4:46am
three dojis on the daily... who could be more confused than the big guys themselves
  • #124,493
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:50am Jul 23, 2009 4:50am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
thanx to you and thanx to every one...
if still some body knows some thing more please share.

my regards
Don't eat yellow snow.


(still short w/ zero risk)

14220 appears to have buyers. Are they strong ?
They've stopped it 4 times in the past 1/2 hour
from plowing into the daily PP. I think they'll let it pop up
and then force it down. Daily candle is still slightly bullish
lower TFs look weaker for the time being.

It still takes selling to force a market lower.
Selling + a lack of fresh buying = lower price.
We still don't have it yet.
  • #124,494
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:52am Jul 23, 2009 4:52am
Quoting toshi
Don't eat yellow snow.


(still short w/ zero risk)
This was a good Zappa?
"I will walk before they make me run" K.Richards
  • #124,495
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:52am Jul 23, 2009 4:52am
Quoting toshi
Don't eat yellow snow.


(still short w/ zero risk)
...YOUR ENTRY @?
  • #124,496
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:53am Jul 23, 2009 4:53am
Sorry ... Hello everybody,
I'm waiting for a break of 1.4160 to feel more confortable with my f.... shorts.
"I will walk before they make me run" K.Richards
  • #124,497
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:55am Jul 23, 2009 4:55am
RETANGULAR: Let's see if we might get a little support here...somewhere around 50SMA or 89SMA...at least for few hours.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu2.gif Size: 48 KB
  • #124,498
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:55am Jul 23, 2009 4:55am
Quoting surendrashettys
three dojis on the daily... who could be more confused than the big guys themselves
We're at cross roads. Eurusd threatening a nice daily trendline breakout.

Market needs time to gather strength, but so far no swift rejection, should have the bears on high alert. The longer we stay there, the more powerful the break.


Either way...


There is plenty of small signs, but as always, it will be obvious once it happened.
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #124,499
  • Jul 23, 2009 4:59am Jul 23, 2009 4:59am
Quoting orangeRANGE
See ellipse and arrow. I think this H4 chart explains a lot to some of you...way to go...mr.Bear...!!!
Yep, if there wasn't a big trend line just there, I would agree with you

I would even short... but not this time
Getting it right is NOT as important as not getting it wrong.
  • #124,500
  • Jul 23, 2009 5:02am Jul 23, 2009 5:02am
koala is almost flipping.......... come on dont let me down
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