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  • #106,141
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:07am Jun 4, 2009 11:07am
Quoting gatorinla
hey have you tried you thing on longer tf?

Yes. It works but keeps me in trades for too long.. 1 hour TF keeps you in the main trend. Perhaps 3-4 good trades a week. 4 hour TF about 1 trade a week. But they all capture the main trend of the particular time period. I'll start to take advantage of them once my account size justifies it.
  • #106,142
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:13am Jun 4, 2009 11:13am
Quoting arezab
First the H&S is not completed yet coz the right shoulder is not formed yet. Second a H&S is playable only when the neckline is broken to the downside.




Right on... a voice of reason and sanity in a sea of redundant confusion and chaos. No matter how many times these things get said, oh well... you can fill in the blank __________________.

Arezab, not sure where you hang out these days, but do this thread and some of the noobs here a favor and stop by more often ey?

As far as the rest of your post about newer highs and so on... I absolutely agree. The analysis I've posted from last weekend and elsewhere this week is still on track and unchanged except for some details, and that's what i'm trading tfn... no sense in repeating it again.
FUBAR...
  • #106,143
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:14am Jun 4, 2009 11:14am
At last my shorts worked , all builded above 1.42 close at 1.4170 & few just below it keeping to see what happen .just double profit with little tension though .Hope it will eventually break through 1.4170 level.
fontu
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #106,144
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:18am Jun 4, 2009 11:18am
Quoting ak4x




redundant confusion.

Doesn't that mean that whatever was confusing is no longer so?

Anyway, I'm calling it quit. Made a few shed fulls and feeling good about models, systems, EU,GU,GJ... so happy pipping pippers.
  • #106,145
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:18am Jun 4, 2009 11:18am
here is ur neckline broken...


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: triangle.gif Size: 45 KB
  • #106,146
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:20am Jun 4, 2009 11:20am
Quoting notch
Yes. It works but keeps me in trades for too long.. 1 hour TF keeps you in the main trend. Perhaps 3-4 good trades a week. 4 hour TF about 1 trade a week. But they all capture the main trend of the particular time period. I'll start to take advantage of them once my account size justifies it.
sounds like a plan.. i do longer trades with less position using another account.. that may be something to consider..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #106,147
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:21am Jun 4, 2009 11:21am
neckline was broken tho market went up
  • #106,148
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:26am Jun 4, 2009 11:26am
It was broken right before CAD news came out. Subsequently drove the price back up. It was a classic triangle break and then a test of the back side. That is one way to look at it.

Quoting Alihuzaifa
neckline was broken tho market went up
  • #106,149
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:26am Jun 4, 2009 11:26am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
neckline was broken tho market went up
and it was a perfect pattern as far as I can see, one illusion less killed my shorts with loss......
Don't be a hero. Don't have an ego. Always question yourself
  • #106,150
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:27am Jun 4, 2009 11:27am
Quoting gatorinla
sounds like a plan.. i do longer trades with less position using another account.. that may be something to consider..

It something that I certainly will consider. Good trading!
  • #106,151
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:28am Jun 4, 2009 11:28am
Here is the triangle. Dont feel bad, I was sucked in too.

Ne
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 25 KB
  • #106,152
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:30am Jun 4, 2009 11:30am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
neckline was broken tho market went up
It's called stop hunting.
  • #106,153
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:31am Jun 4, 2009 11:31am
Quoting Alihuzaifa
here is ur neckline broken...


Fake breakout It couldn't sustain below the neck line.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #106,154
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:37am Jun 4, 2009 11:37am
Quoting Nene
Here is the triangle. Dont feel bad, I was sucked in too.

Ne
Nice place to take the recent short though, if you took it, from the cross.
  • #106,155
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:37am Jun 4, 2009 11:37am
Quoting ak4x




Right on... a voice of reason and sanity in a sea of redundant confusion and chaos. No matter how many times these things get said, oh well... you can fill in the blank __________________.

Arezab, not sure where you hang out these days, but do this thread and some of the noobs here a favor and stop by more often ey?

As far as the rest of your post about newer highs and so on... I absolutely agree. The analysis I've posted from last weekend and elsewhere this week is still on track and unchanged except for some details,...
Thanks mate.

I was posting mostly in Auslanco's thread for GJ but it's some time I've become interested to scalp EU coz my broker has just reduced spread for this pair to 2 from 3 .. considering high volatility with EU these days I'm doing good playing with this pair growing my account %5 to %7 daily.
Discipline + Patience - Fear - Greed = Success
  • #106,156
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:40am Jun 4, 2009 11:40am
Quoting TrooperCoope
Trust me, there are enough days where I still feel the same.

One tip: figure out wether you are consistantly profitable or not. Not on every trade, not every day. But at the bottom line. If so then you can begin to utilize the leverage to increase your percental gains. Just keep in mind that its a double edged sword - and you have to figure out the leverage level that you can cope with emotionaly and keeping the consistancy.

I'm short at 1.4212 with SL at BE...
Thank you for your very professional advice, i will try to follow your advices, thanks again, and i hope you will do the same tomorrow, so you will have a very healthy demo account in the summer.

BTW what leverage do you use 400:1 ?
I am very unfortunate bcs i trade euro futures only and the leverage is somewhat different there, you professional traders are blessed with your leverage.

Peace of course and GL on your demo.
  • #106,157
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:58am Jun 4, 2009 11:58am
My current chart and current open position. Everything I see tells me we are going down, and quite possibly that we are going down in a BIG way.

However, I'm a bit skeptical since we didn't make it quite as high as I thought this bull run would take us.

So, I'm going to play this as a reversal point, with the expectation that we are about to drop hard. But with the understanding that we could see one last run up to blowout some stops before the huge drop begins.
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  • #106,158
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:59am Jun 4, 2009 11:59am
i put my short order at 1.4190..hopefully it will go again there.
my stop loss is 1.4220
and take profit at 1.4130...
  • #106,159
  • Jun 4, 2009 11:59am Jun 4, 2009 11:59am
This thing is following the Forex 101 manual here with a nice classic UTL break and test, then continuation. As I said, by the book and may be the beginning of a nice little trend down.

NE
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eu.gif Size: 26 KB
  • #106,160
  • Jun 4, 2009 12:00pm Jun 4, 2009 12:00pm
Possibly 3800-3900 area.



Quoting F.x.
My current chart and current open position. Everything I see tells me we are going down, and quite possibly that we are going down in a BIG way.

However, I'm a bit skeptical since we didn't make it quite as high as I thought this bull run would take us.

So, I'm going to play this as a reversal point, with the expectation that we are about to drop hard. But with the understanding that we could see one last run up to blowout some stops before the huge drop begins.
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