NFP System - Backtest data provided | Page 9 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

How to Correctly BackTest, Collect Data, and Analyze A System 13 replies

How much historical data needed to backtest day trading system 0 replies

Visual backtest result different from non-visual backtest 0 replies

data needed to backtest system 1 reply

How to backtest system with past data? 8 replies

Attachments: NFP System - Backtest data provided
Exit Attachments

NFP System - Backtest data provided

  • #161
  • Apr 12, 2007 6:22pm Apr 12, 2007 6:22pm
Where is Kevin?

Our first trade was a loss if you took it to the stop.
I signed up for the updates but they have stopped, did Kev leave town or get booted, wazup?

at least we have the info.
  • #162
  • Apr 12, 2007 6:36pm Apr 12, 2007 6:36pm
Quoting merlin
no its not allowed, have you read rule 3?

we only allow commercial stuff on the forum in special circumstances. and honesty is the key to the whole thing. pipboxer, for instance, came to me with his proposal and we allowed him to have a subforum, and we are including him in a new program launching soon. vegas never even promoted his stuff here, it was diallist, who is a moderator, who suggested we create that sub forum.

let me say that i love EA programmers. i am a programmer myself and love the coder mentality. there is some value in selling an EA, because it can help others develop their own system and to see how a good system is constructed. easily worth the 199 or whatever its being sold for. and programmers-for-hire, these guys are great and i encourage more developers to get into this. BUT there is a BIG BIG DIFFERENCE in selling an EA and selling signals. signals are a scam, no matter how you slice it, there is just no value there. i didnt always feel that way, but after the past two years on this fourm i am convinced that no one benifits from signal services except the signal seller.
If you think signals are a scam you should check out www.**********.com. LOL. If only I could really tell you the site. Anyway, www.***********.com is an independent "trading system auditor." They investigate which trading systems are profitable. Then you can set up your own personal hedge fund, and have trades placed automatically in your brokerage account. They monitor over 3,106 trading systems. lol. It's out there, you just don't know where.
  • #163
  • Apr 13, 2007 12:05pm Apr 13, 2007 12:05pm
Two trades after the NFP release:

1st trade: -200 pips (100 pips each)
2nd trade:+50 pips

Moneyquest
"Those who see Invisible can do Impossible." -Rev. Dadaji
  • #164
  • Apr 13, 2007 12:40pm Apr 13, 2007 12:40pm
Quoting aicccia
If you think signals are a scam you should check out www.**********.com. LOL.
i dont get it, why are you starring out the URL?

pretty sure i know who it is although the name escapes me...
Relax and be happy.
  • #165
  • Apr 14, 2007 4:23am Apr 14, 2007 4:23am
Merlin, maybe fx-performance.com ?

Quoting merlin
i dont get it, why are you starring out the URL?

pretty sure i know who it is although the name escapes me...
  • #166
  • Apr 14, 2007 7:34am Apr 14, 2007 7:34am
Nope, I think he is talking about collective2.com ....hope i didnt breka any rules.
Contact me for Custom Indicators/EAs.
  • #167
  • Edited 11:45am Apr 14, 2007 11:44am | Edited 11:45am
I was wondering if anyone knows where you can get a chart that would show the historical data for the US dollar indicator going back to at least the late 90s. The links in this post only go back a couple years. I want to go back to at least 1999.

Quoting Peter Pan
JayJay..

only as fixed as any other rate is

it's updated every tic in fact, and traded on the NYBOT as an index
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX
try to get the DX on ino dot com, in case above link doesnt work.

It's calculated with the shown formula based on actual rates of the underlying pairs. (and their weightings, as indicated).

THis indicator/instrument was introduced many many years ago, it was included in e-signal a long time for free..no more..so if anyone able to write an indicator could build that in mt4, this would be a great help.

Peter Pan
  • #168
  • Apr 14, 2007 1:56pm Apr 14, 2007 1:56pm
Sorry everybody. I've had a whole lot go on, and in a small amount of time. This is the first day I've actually checked to see if the thread was still back up.

droesparky - you have stopped receiving my updates completely? I remember your email address and putting it on the list. The next update will be coming out today, so if you get nothing, then let me know.

Merlin - hi

dwothers - you want the NYBOT indicator to go back to 1999, or the Sentinel number?

---snip---

The updates are still running. In the next update, I'll be outlining where we stand, how we got there, and where we will be going. As for everybody's blank indicator window, try to go into History Center and download 30 minute values for all 7 pairs. You need to make sure that you have historical data for all the pairs you will be doing the calculation with. If you still can't get it to work, PM me, and we'll work to see what your problem is.

-Kev
Savage Pip Fiend
  • #169
  • Apr 14, 2007 3:47pm Apr 14, 2007 3:47pm
Hi Kevin,

This is what I've looked at,
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=dmax,

and it is what I am interested in, but it does not go back far enough, and that is as far as it goes, about 3 years. I'm not sure what a sentinel number is, but maybe I'll to a search on that.

Deborah

Quoting Kevin_E
Sorry everybody. I've had a whole lot go on, and in a small amount of time. This is the first day I've actually checked to see if the thread was still back up.


dwothers - you want the NYBOT indicator to go back to 1999, or the Sentinel number?

---snip---

The updates are still running. In the next update, I'll be outlining where we stand, how we got there, and where we will be going. As for everybody's blank indicator window, try to go into History Center and download 30 minute values for all 7 pairs. You need to make sure that you have historical data for all the pairs you will be doing the calculation with. If you still can't get it to work, PM me, and we'll work to see what your problem is.

-Kev
Savage Pip Fiend
  • #170
  • Apr 14, 2007 11:34pm Apr 14, 2007 11:34pm
Hey Kev

Glad to see your post. I watch for the email. I havent had one since the thread disappeard for a while.

I was getting them and am pretty sure I didnt blacklist ya.
  • #171
  • Apr 18, 2007 7:55am Apr 18, 2007 7:55am
Where could I find future dates of NFP releases?

thanks
  • #172
  • Apr 18, 2007 8:31am Apr 18, 2007 8:31am
The non farm payroll is refered to as the employment situation in this report

http://www.bls.gov/schedule/schedule...2007_sched.htm

Hope it helps.
  • #173
  • Apr 19, 2007 2:05pm Apr 19, 2007 2:05pm
Hi,
I'm trying to make sense out of the Sentinal Index, but I must be missing something.

I understood its purpose is to gauge the strength of the US$.

Half of the pairs used will go up on Dollar strength and half will go down, yet positive readings on all pairs are interpreted as strength in the US Dollar.

Please correct me if I am wrong.

Thanks
  • #174
  • Edited 9:32am Apr 20, 2007 6:04am | Edited 9:32am
Hello Kevin and thank you for sharing!

There are no charts in the thread so I need your help please.
http://www.kroufr.ru/forum/index.php...ach=2500;image
Is this my enter and SL position right?

Thank you very much!
  • #175
  • Edited 1:26pm Apr 20, 2007 7:25am | Edited 1:26pm
Hi Kevin, enjoyed reading the thread so far. I just looked at the backtested data, and see that this is for the GBPUSD pair. Sorry if this has already been answered (stayed up all night reading the thread and looking at data so I'm a bit tired , but can we use this for other pairs like E/U?
  • #176
  • Apr 20, 2007 12:03pm Apr 20, 2007 12:03pm
Hi all!
Tell me, please, have we to include max/low of 8:30 and 0:00 candels or only candles between them?
Thank you!
  • #177
  • Apr 20, 2007 1:14pm Apr 20, 2007 1:14pm
Quoting aktaurus
Hello Kevin and thank you for sharing!

There are no charts in the thread so I need your help please.
http://www.kroufr.ru/forum/index.php...ach=2500;image
Is this my enter and SL position right?

Thank you very much!
aktaurus, in your chart it looks like you have not set your high and low correctly for your "box". Looks like your box only includes 24-hr of data maybe? For April 07, it should go from NFP minute 0 on Friday all the way to Midnight (between Monday and Tuesday) (in this case a day late because of Easter). Your box is way too small. Guys, it seems that you don't have to draw an actual "box" by the way... just draw a line at the highest high in this period, and at the lowest low, and those are your zones.
  • #178
  • Apr 20, 2007 2:12pm Apr 20, 2007 2:12pm
Quick question. In the txt file, it says:

Quote
If a CLOSE occurs above or below the box on the 30 minute chart, take the trade ONLY if the 336 SMA backs it up (price is above the 336 SMA for a long trade, below the 336 SMA for a short trade), and if the Sentinal Index is above the 7 day SMA.

Shouldn't this instead read:

Quote
If a CLOSE occurs above or below the box on the 30 minute chart, take the trade ONLY if the 336 SMA backs it up (price is above the 336 SMA for a long trade, below the 336 SMA for a short trade), and if the Sentinal Index is above the 7 day SMA for a long trade, or if the Sentinal Index is below the 7 day SMA for a short.

? For example, in your 11/14/06 trade, you go short when the index is below the 7 day SMA.
  • #179
  • Apr 20, 2007 3:31pm Apr 20, 2007 3:31pm
Aren't there other economic or news reports that should be given as much respect during the month? Why just NFP?
  • #180
  • Apr 20, 2007 3:42pm Apr 20, 2007 3:42pm
NFP has long term effects on the direction of the chart...thats why this system is based on NFP.
Contact me for Custom Indicators/EAs.
0 traders viewing now