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NFP System - Backtest data provided

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  • Post #161
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2007 7:22pm Apr 12, 2007 7:22pm
  •  droesparky
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 149 Posts
Where is Kevin?

Our first trade was a loss if you took it to the stop.
I signed up for the updates but they have stopped, did Kev leave town or get booted, wazup?

at least we have the info.
 
 
  • Post #162
  • Quote
  • Apr 12, 2007 7:36pm Apr 12, 2007 7:36pm
  •  aicccia
  • | Joined Jun 2006 | Status: Carpe Diem | 854 Posts
Quoting merlin
Disliked
no its not allowed, have you read rule 3?

we only allow commercial stuff on the forum in special circumstances. and honesty is the key to the whole thing. pipboxer, for instance, came to me with his proposal and we allowed him to have a subforum, and we are including him in a new program launching soon. vegas never even promoted his stuff here, it was diallist, who is a moderator, who suggested we create that sub forum.

let me say that i love EA programmers. i am a programmer myself and love the coder mentality. there is some value in selling an EA, because it can help others develop their own system and to see how a good system is constructed. easily worth the 199 or whatever its being sold for. and programmers-for-hire, these guys are great and i encourage more developers to get into this. BUT there is a BIG BIG DIFFERENCE in selling an EA and selling signals. signals are a scam, no matter how you slice it, there is just no value there. i didnt always feel that way, but after the past two years on this fourm i am convinced that no one benifits from signal services except the signal seller.
Ignored
If you think signals are a scam you should check out www.**********.com. LOL. If only I could really tell you the site. Anyway, www.***********.com is an independent "trading system auditor." They investigate which trading systems are profitable. Then you can set up your own personal hedge fund, and have trades placed automatically in your brokerage account. They monitor over 3,106 trading systems. lol. It's out there, you just don't know where.
 
 
  • Post #163
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2007 1:05pm Apr 13, 2007 1:05pm
  •  moneyquest
  • | Joined Feb 2006 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
Two trades after the NFP release:

1st trade: -200 pips (100 pips each)
2nd trade:+50 pips

Moneyquest
"Those who see Invisible can do Impossible." -Rev. Dadaji
 
 
  • Post #164
  • Quote
  • Apr 13, 2007 1:40pm Apr 13, 2007 1:40pm
  •  merlin
  • Joined Mar 2004 | Status: Magic Man | 3,220 Posts
Quoting aicccia
Disliked
If you think signals are a scam you should check out www.**********.com. LOL.
Ignored
i dont get it, why are you starring out the URL?

pretty sure i know who it is although the name escapes me...
Relax and be happy.
 
 
  • Post #165
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  • Apr 14, 2007 5:23am Apr 14, 2007 5:23am
  •  Peter Pan
  • | Joined Jan 2007 | Status: LEAD, FOLLOW or get OUT OF THE WAY | 59 Posts
Merlin, maybe fx-performance.com ?

Quoting merlin
Disliked
i dont get it, why are you starring out the URL?

pretty sure i know who it is although the name escapes me...
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #166
  • Quote
  • Apr 14, 2007 8:34am Apr 14, 2007 8:34am
  •  zalakinc
  • | Joined Dec 2005 | Status: Member | 192 Posts
Nope, I think he is talking about collective2.com ....hope i didnt breka any rules.
Contact me for Custom Indicators/EAs.
 
 
  • Post #167
  • Quote
  • Edited 12:45pm Apr 14, 2007 12:44pm | Edited 12:45pm
  •  dwothers
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Member | 2 Posts
I was wondering if anyone knows where you can get a chart that would show the historical data for the US dollar indicator going back to at least the late 90s. The links in this post only go back a couple years. I want to go back to at least 1999.

Quoting Peter Pan
Disliked
JayJay..

only as fixed as any other rate is

it's updated every tic in fact, and traded on the NYBOT as an index
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX
try to get the DX on ino dot com, in case above link doesnt work.

It's calculated with the shown formula based on actual rates of the underlying pairs. (and their weightings, as indicated).

THis indicator/instrument was introduced many many years ago, it was included in e-signal a long time for free..no more..so if anyone able to write an indicator could build that in mt4, this would be a great help.

Peter Pan
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #168
  • Quote
  • Apr 14, 2007 2:56pm Apr 14, 2007 2:56pm
  •  Kevin_E
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 33 Posts
Sorry everybody. I've had a whole lot go on, and in a small amount of time. This is the first day I've actually checked to see if the thread was still back up.

droesparky - you have stopped receiving my updates completely? I remember your email address and putting it on the list. The next update will be coming out today, so if you get nothing, then let me know.

Merlin - hi

dwothers - you want the NYBOT indicator to go back to 1999, or the Sentinel number?

---snip---

The updates are still running. In the next update, I'll be outlining where we stand, how we got there, and where we will be going. As for everybody's blank indicator window, try to go into History Center and download 30 minute values for all 7 pairs. You need to make sure that you have historical data for all the pairs you will be doing the calculation with. If you still can't get it to work, PM me, and we'll work to see what your problem is.

-Kev
Savage Pip Fiend
 
 
  • Post #169
  • Quote
  • Apr 14, 2007 4:47pm Apr 14, 2007 4:47pm
  •  dwothers
  • | Joined Apr 2007 | Status: Member | 2 Posts
Hi Kevin,

This is what I've looked at,
http://quotes.ino.com/chart/?s=NYBOT_DX&v=dmax,

and it is what I am interested in, but it does not go back far enough, and that is as far as it goes, about 3 years. I'm not sure what a sentinel number is, but maybe I'll to a search on that.

Deborah

Quoting Kevin_E
Disliked
Sorry everybody. I've had a whole lot go on, and in a small amount of time. This is the first day I've actually checked to see if the thread was still back up.


dwothers - you want the NYBOT indicator to go back to 1999, or the Sentinel number?

---snip---

The updates are still running. In the next update, I'll be outlining where we stand, how we got there, and where we will be going. As for everybody's blank indicator window, try to go into History Center and download 30 minute values for all 7 pairs. You need to make sure that you have historical data for all the pairs you will be doing the calculation with. If you still can't get it to work, PM me, and we'll work to see what your problem is.

-Kev
Savage Pip Fiend
Ignored
 
 
  • Post #170
  • Quote
  • Apr 15, 2007 12:34am Apr 15, 2007 12:34am
  •  droesparky
  • | Joined Aug 2006 | Status: Member | 149 Posts
Hey Kev

Glad to see your post. I watch for the email. I havent had one since the thread disappeard for a while.

I was getting them and am pretty sure I didnt blacklist ya.
 
 
  • Post #171
  • Quote
  • Apr 18, 2007 8:55am Apr 18, 2007 8:55am
  •  Ahil
  • | Joined Sep 2006 | Status: Member | 145 Posts
Where could I find future dates of NFP releases?

thanks
 
 
  • Post #172
  • Quote
  • Apr 18, 2007 9:31am Apr 18, 2007 9:31am
  •  StephenJP
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Member | 1 Post
The non farm payroll is refered to as the employment situation in this report

http://www.bls.gov/schedule/schedule...2007_sched.htm

Hope it helps.
 
 
  • Post #173
  • Quote
  • Apr 19, 2007 3:05pm Apr 19, 2007 3:05pm
  •  billbss
  • Joined Apr 2006 | Status: Member | 4,301 Posts
Hi,
I'm trying to make sense out of the Sentinal Index, but I must be missing something.

I understood its purpose is to gauge the strength of the US$.

Half of the pairs used will go up on Dollar strength and half will go down, yet positive readings on all pairs are interpreted as strength in the US Dollar.

Please correct me if I am wrong.

Thanks
 
 
  • Post #174
  • Quote
  • Edited 10:32am Apr 20, 2007 7:04am | Edited 10:32am
  •  aktaurus
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Member | 146 Posts
Hello Kevin and thank you for sharing!

There are no charts in the thread so I need your help please.
http://www.kroufr.ru/forum/index.php...ach=2500;image
Is this my enter and SL position right?

Thank you very much!
 
 
  • Post #175
  • Quote
  • Edited 2:26pm Apr 20, 2007 8:25am | Edited 2:26pm
  •  JoshDance
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 606 Posts
Hi Kevin, enjoyed reading the thread so far. I just looked at the backtested data, and see that this is for the GBPUSD pair. Sorry if this has already been answered (stayed up all night reading the thread and looking at data so I'm a bit tired , but can we use this for other pairs like E/U?
 
 
  • Post #176
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2007 1:03pm Apr 20, 2007 1:03pm
  •  aktaurus
  • | Joined Dec 2006 | Status: Member | 146 Posts
Hi all!
Tell me, please, have we to include max/low of 8:30 and 0:00 candels or only candles between them?
Thank you!
 
 
  • Post #177
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2007 2:14pm Apr 20, 2007 2:14pm
  •  JoshDance
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 606 Posts
Quoting aktaurus
Disliked
Hello Kevin and thank you for sharing!

There are no charts in the thread so I need your help please.
http://www.kroufr.ru/forum/index.php...ach=2500;image
Is this my enter and SL position right?

Thank you very much!
Ignored
aktaurus, in your chart it looks like you have not set your high and low correctly for your "box". Looks like your box only includes 24-hr of data maybe? For April 07, it should go from NFP minute 0 on Friday all the way to Midnight (between Monday and Tuesday) (in this case a day late because of Easter). Your box is way too small. Guys, it seems that you don't have to draw an actual "box" by the way... just draw a line at the highest high in this period, and at the lowest low, and those are your zones.
 
 
  • Post #178
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2007 3:12pm Apr 20, 2007 3:12pm
  •  JoshDance
  • | Joined Mar 2007 | Status: Member | 606 Posts
Quick question. In the txt file, it says:

Quote
Disliked
If a CLOSE occurs above or below the box on the 30 minute chart, take the trade ONLY if the 336 SMA backs it up (price is above the 336 SMA for a long trade, below the 336 SMA for a short trade), and if the Sentinal Index is above the 7 day SMA.

Shouldn't this instead read:

Quote
Disliked
If a CLOSE occurs above or below the box on the 30 minute chart, take the trade ONLY if the 336 SMA backs it up (price is above the 336 SMA for a long trade, below the 336 SMA for a short trade), and if the Sentinal Index is above the 7 day SMA for a long trade, or if the Sentinal Index is below the 7 day SMA for a short.

? For example, in your 11/14/06 trade, you go short when the index is below the 7 day SMA.
 
 
  • Post #179
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2007 4:31pm Apr 20, 2007 4:31pm
  •  drayco
  • | Joined Aug 2004 | Status: Member | 133 Posts
Aren't there other economic or news reports that should be given as much respect during the month? Why just NFP?
 
 
  • Post #180
  • Quote
  • Apr 20, 2007 4:42pm Apr 20, 2007 4:42pm
  •  zalakinc
  • | Joined Dec 2005 | Status: Member | 192 Posts
NFP has long term effects on the direction of the chart...thats why this system is based on NFP.
Contact me for Custom Indicators/EAs.
 
 
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