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  • #89,401
  • Apr 26, 2009 12:25pm Apr 26, 2009 12:25pm
Quoting arthurb
This week i am expecting the market to discount from EU the forthcoming rate cut, so i will be looking for shorts on this pair.

GL all
Hi Arthur

If rate comes in at 0.25% it will be a non event as the forecast is 0.25%. The forecast has been incorrect 4 months in the last 8 years.

But if rates are cut it will be against forecast and should therefore cause the USD to weaken not strenghten. In your rate cut scenario I see that you should be buying the pair, not shorting. But that's fundimentals and we know fundimentals have not exactly been followed lately.

Or am I misunderstanding your post?

Personaly I see the GDP Q/Q being more of a pip mover next week.

JC
  • #89,402
  • Edited 12:46pm Apr 26, 2009 12:38pm | Edited 12:46pm
Quoting Waka
Hi Arthur

If rate comes in at 0.25% it will be a non event as the forecast is 0.25%. The forecast has been incorrect 4 months in the last 8 years.

But if rates are cut it will be against forecast and should therefore cause the USD to weaken not strenghten. In your rate cut scenario I see that you should be buying the pair, not shorting. But that's fundimentals and we know fundimentals have not exactly been followed lately.

Or am I misunderstanding your post?

Personaly I see the GDP Q/Q being more of a pip mover next week.

JC
ECB rarely disappoints , the scenario i expect is, the market will discount the rate cut, i guess the ECB will be on hold for another month after this one since some of the indicators have improved in the EZ.
I think you misunderstood my post, i am shorting the week before the decision and long after it, but as you know there is much to expect form Trichet speech afterwards as always.
  • #89,403
  • Edited 1:16pm Apr 26, 2009 1:04pm | Edited 1:16pm
Quoting arthurb
ECB rarely disappoints , the scenario i expect is, the market will discount the rate cut, i guess the ECB will be on hold for another month after this one since some of the indicators have improved in the EZ.
I think you misunderstood my post, i am shorting the week before the decision and long after it, but as you know there is much to expect form Trichet speech afterwards as always.
Ah, I thought you were refering to the coming week's Fed decision.

JC
  • #89,404
  • Edited 2:41pm Apr 26, 2009 1:20pm | Edited 2:41pm
Time to be aware!!

Tamiflu must be your priority purchase for this week.
Forget Euro or USD.

About Forex, we are reaching time to decide new step for this pair.

Watch H4 chart, zoom in all your MT4 can zoom, and what trend do you see?
  • #89,405
  • Apr 26, 2009 1:47pm Apr 26, 2009 1:47pm
Hypo Real Estate, Commerzbank and Landesbanken have 816 mld Euro (bad credists)- yesterday info.

now eur/usd 1.3152

in tys week 1.25 :-), after 7.05 maybe 1,2
  • #89,406
  • Apr 26, 2009 1:47pm Apr 26, 2009 1:47pm
Quoting BoredToLoose
I will show a H4 chart here http://twitter.com/borednotlosing later, only to see what we can get next.
BoredToLoose, I like Twitter too but a spammish tease like the one you just did in this post is crossing the line IMHO. What's the harm in posting your chart on both?

Even if there's no financial gain, the idea of being on this forum is to share, not to promote. We can't forget that.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #89,407
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:05pm Apr 26, 2009 2:05pm
Quoting Jay Walker
BoredToLoose, I like Twitter too but a spammish tease like the one you just did in this post is crossing the line IMHO. What's the harm in posting your chart on both?

Even if there's no financial gain, the idea of being on this forum is to share, not to promote. We can't forget that.
I have some ideas about my Private Twitter, I will never asking for any subscriptions or any kind of fees.
I am only here at FF, and I will accept only FF members to be in my private Twitter but after I reach some number of Followers I will impose some rules, who will accept it will be there as long as they want.
Maybe one day I can do some lessons there and only authentic followers I will accept there and I want to following me.
  • #89,408
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:06pm Apr 26, 2009 2:06pm
Quoting patryn
Hypo Real Estate, Commerzbank and Landesbanken have 816 mld Euro (bad credists)- yesterday info.

now eur/usd 1.3152

in tys week 1.25 :-), after 7.05 maybe 1,2
Those aren't "news". It's all priced in. And 1.25? Maybe. 1.2? Never.

BTW: Where do you see 1.3152 now? Markets just open and I have ~1.3240 here...
  • #89,409
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:15pm Apr 26, 2009 2:15pm
Quoting BoredToLoose
I have some ideas about my Private Twitter, I will never asking for any subscriptions or any kind of fees.
I am only here at FF, and I will accept only FF members to be in my private Twitter but after I reach some number of Followers I will impose some rules, who will accept it will be there as long as they want.
Maybe one day I can do some lessons there and only authentic followers I will accept there.
I have some ideas too my friend. You're following the letter of the rules when saying you will never be asking for any kind of fees.

But you are going against the spirit of the rule when you make signing up for a social networking site a prerequisite to see a chart.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #89,410
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:17pm Apr 26, 2009 2:17pm
DX (Dollar Index) Daily and Weekly charts.
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  • #89,411
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:27pm Apr 26, 2009 2:27pm
Quoting Jay Walker
I have some ideas too my friend. You're following the letter of the rules when saying you will never be asking for any kind of fees.

But you are going against the spirit of the rule when you make signing up for a social networking site a prerequisite to see a chart.
...., but members can have links to outside FF or not.

OK, if there is problem about promoting about the charts, so I will not do it again.
  • #89,412
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:31pm Apr 26, 2009 2:31pm
Quoting BoredToLoose
...., but members can have links to outside FF or not.

OK, if there is problem about promoting about the charts, so I will not do it again.
Technically, there isn't one. And even if there were, it wouldn't be up to me to enforce it.

Not everybody is interested in social networking sites is all. It's those people a disservice is done to in such situation.
Not all sins are created equal
  • #89,413
  • Edited 2:43pm Apr 26, 2009 2:32pm | Edited 2:43pm
Quoting Xaron
Those aren't "news". It's all priced in. And 1.25? Maybe. 1.2? Never.

BTW: Where do you see 1.3152 now? Markets just open and I have ~1.3240 here...
Those aren't "news". It's all priced in - yes but not this volume more then 800mld

now : 1.3233
day low: 1.3152 , 1 h ago

cnn currencies

http://money.cnn.com/data/currencies/index.html
  • #89,414
  • Apr 26, 2009 2:36pm Apr 26, 2009 2:36pm
If there is some suspicious about this Twitter stuff, I am sorry about that, but I will want only people that will be interested to learn what I have to say, without jokes or personal ego's, and here I can't do that.
I will stay here to say what I used to say.
  • #89,415
  • Apr 26, 2009 3:35pm Apr 26, 2009 3:35pm
Quoting BoredToLoose
If there is some suspicious about this Twitter stuff, I am sorry about that, but I will want only people that will be interested to learn what I have to say, without jokes or personal ego's, and here I can't do that.
I will stay here to say what I used to say.
Keep sharing your thoughts and interpretions plz.. I am sure some people are following and trying to learn even they dont write here
  • #89,416
  • Apr 26, 2009 3:40pm Apr 26, 2009 3:40pm
Quoting BoredToLoose
If there is some suspicious about this Twitter stuff, I am sorry about that, but I will want only people that will be interested to learn what I have to say, without jokes or personal ego's, and here I can't do that.
I will stay here to say what I used to say.

I will keep an eye on your twitter, but it would be a lot easier for you to post everything you wanted to say in one place. Maybe use twitter to explain your thoughts more in-depth. Hope you had a good week end. I wont be trading for a while, check you later
PS: I'm cooking ribs tonight ----- man food!!!!!!!
  • #89,417
  • Edited 4:10pm Apr 26, 2009 3:46pm | Edited 4:10pm
Hey all! ))
  • #89,418
  • Apr 26, 2009 3:53pm Apr 26, 2009 3:53pm
Quoting knuckledrag
PS: I'm cooking ribs tonight ----- man food!!!!!!!
outstanding!!!!!!!
Pip what you see; See what you pip!
  • #89,419
  • Apr 26, 2009 3:58pm Apr 26, 2009 3:58pm
It's almost 2pm my time Sunday afternoon and I'm utterly shocked and horrified (along with being REALLY bummed) that "The Word" had not been said, discussed, argued, rehashed (Jay I didn't mean smoke it), discoursed, spittled, spewed or otherwise intellectually psycho-babbled to death.
My Sunday afternoon entertainment has been ruined today. Crap -
Pip what you see; See what you pip!
  • #89,420
  • Apr 26, 2009 4:06pm Apr 26, 2009 4:06pm
Quoting SeerEye
It's almost 2pm my time Sunday afternoon and I'm utterly shocked and horrified (along with being REALLY bummed) that "The Word" had not been said, discussed, argued, rehashed (Jay I didn't mean smoke it), discoursed, spittled, spewed or otherwise intellectually psycho-babbled to death.
My Sunday afternoon entertainment has been ruined today. Crap -
Trading801, we hardly knew ye. Your 500 weekend pip gaps will be missed. But you will be remembered forever.
Not all sins are created equal
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