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  • #75,061
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:11am Mar 13, 2009 1:11am
Just pipping my way through this boring time. 15 pips shong this time 1.2900 - 1.2915, waiting for the next 15 pips lort
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #75,062
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:14am Mar 13, 2009 1:14am
Quoting KillerWhale
Just pipping my way through this boring time. 15 pips shong this time 1.2900 - 1.2915, waiting for the next 15 pips lort
I think on this next move up if it is rejected I will have to go all in lort. But you will have to watch it for me. We put our house up for sale last week and have someone that wants to see it later this afternoon. The wife wants to move closer to the city and I like an ocean view. Might be time to trade the wife and keep the house?
  • #75,063
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:27am Mar 13, 2009 1:27am
Quoting KillerWhale
Just pipping my way through this boring time. 15 pips shong this time 1.2900 - 1.2915, waiting for the next 15 pips lort
Tempting for me to play this channel but I know the moment I do we'll make our big break. So I'm just going to stick to the overall gameplan and wait it out.
  • #75,064
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:29am Mar 13, 2009 1:29am
Quoting dysan4x
I think on this next move up if it is rejected I will have to go all in lort. But you will have to watch it for me. We put our house up for sale last week and have someone that wants to see it later this afternoon. The wife wants to move closer to the city and I like an ocean view. Might be time to trade the wife and keep the house?
I would definitely choose for the ocean view. And don't forget this, with an ocean view, a new wife is very easy to find, in all categories, young, sexy, whatever you want.
And then you can be sitting at the beach with a big umbrella, a margarita and a laptop just pipping your time away, and get rich in the meantime.

New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #75,065
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:35am Mar 13, 2009 1:35am
So the 4h channel is broken:

http://i427.photobucket.com/albums/p...ce/chart-6.jpg

Is it?

P.S.

Good Morning Everyone!
  • #75,066
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:38am Mar 13, 2009 1:38am
technical analysis for this friday

we have been in an ascending channel since last week. it was hard to interpret the channel walls but i think i got it right now (blue trendlines). Currently we are almost at the top of this channel. We are also in a a flag/pennant consolidation period. Therefore I see 2 possibilities.

1)This flag/pennant breaks to the upside with first target around 1.2980 (the upper wall of the current uptrend. What happens there..who knows

2)This flag/pennant breaks to the downside and if 1.2865 (previous high) gets decisively broken we could have a potential head and shoulder on our hands.

The 2 options are in no particular order..depends on how this triangle pennat whatever you wanna call it breaks. Now my long term bias is still very bearish but at the moment i am neutral...letting this pennant/triangle do the talking.

Good pippin all..this friday will be most interesting..im quite curious if the stock market can rally for a 4th day or give it all back in one day. You never know

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Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #75,067
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:52am Mar 13, 2009 1:52am
Quoting psiholog
technical analysis for this friday

we have been in an ascending channel since last week. it was hard to interpret the channel walls but i think i got it right now (blue trendlines). Currently we are almost at the top of this channel. We are also in a a flag/pennant consolidation period. Therefore I see 2 possibilities.

1)This flag/pennant breaks to the upside with first target around 1.2980 (the upper wall of the current uptrend. What happens there..who knows

2)This flag/pennant breaks to the downside and if 1.2865 (previous high) gets decisively...
Thanks for the insightful analysis.
  • #75,068
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:52am Mar 13, 2009 1:52am
Downside break on the pennant is too predictable, careful shorts, I would not be surprised to see a fake out and sharp turn north in about an hour.
What's that smell?
  • #75,069
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:52am Mar 13, 2009 1:52am
Quoting psiholog
technical analysis for this friday
Here's my version.
Price broke the channel but came back in, retested and failed.
Could go anywhere near the green circle (channel middle line) or down to the LTL if middle line broken.
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  • #75,070
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:52am Mar 13, 2009 1:52am
Quoting jon clogger
Downside break on the pennant is too predictable, careful shorts, I would not be surprised to see a fake out and sharp turn north in about an hour.
agreed which is why 1.2865 is crucial now...will pa bounce or break through it...that will answer all questions at least in my head
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #75,071
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:54am Mar 13, 2009 1:54am
Quoting jon clogger
Downside break on the pennant is too predictable, careful shorts, I would not be surprised to see a fake out and sharp turn north in about an hour.

Agree totally
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #75,072
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:56am Mar 13, 2009 1:56am
Quoting psiholog
agreed which is why 1.2865 is crucial now...will pa bounce or break through it...that will answer all questions at least in my head
Yes, I have 1.2865 and 1.2830 as strong SR and good timing for longs to load up. I think we're on the threshold of a medium rally in world markets.
What's that smell?
  • #75,073
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:56am Mar 13, 2009 1:56am
Quoting doblece
Here's my version.
Price broke the channel but came back in, retested and failed.
Could go anywhere near the green circle (channel middle line) or down to the LTL if middle line broken.
very nice!. looking at your chart the green circle would classify as the middle wall of this uptrend....interesting for sure
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #75,074
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:58am Mar 13, 2009 1:58am
I took my 35 pips on that little trip down and I'm out. My current bias is shorting this pair on top side failures until price shows a reason.

I will catch all of you sometime in the NY session. Have to make the wife happy n go shopping.

Take care.
  • #75,075
  • Mar 13, 2009 1:59am Mar 13, 2009 1:59am
Quoting jon clogger
... I would not be surprised to see a... sharp turn north in about an hour.
you bet your sweet bippy... countin on it.
FUBAR...
  • #75,076
  • Mar 13, 2009 2:01am Mar 13, 2009 2:01am
Quoting dysan4x
I took my 35 pips on that little trip down and I'm out. My current bias is shorting this pair on top side failures until price shows a reason.

I will catch all of you sometime in the NY session. Have to make the wife happy n go shopping.

Take care.
Thought you were gonna trade in your wife for an ocean view?
New voice message: Why are you calling me? If I need you, I'll call you!
  • #75,077
  • Mar 13, 2009 2:01am Mar 13, 2009 2:01am
1.2879 - short, we're going back into the channel.
  • #75,078
  • Mar 13, 2009 2:01am Mar 13, 2009 2:01am
Quoting jon clogger
Yes, I have 1.2865 and 1.2830 as strong SR
be aware of the quarter pivot at 2842, if it busts the dp and xx50 psych levels, that one will be it for me if it even looks like it wants to stall...

gotta get there first. shong... lort, they're all workin right now.

so hey JC, you get tired of geppy, or she get tired of you?
FUBAR...
  • #75,079
  • Mar 13, 2009 2:05am Mar 13, 2009 2:05am
Quoting ak4x

so hey JC, you get tired of geppy, or she get tired of you?
I compared forexlion to bert-n-ernie on sesame street and got suspended. What a puss.

Plus I stumbled on this temporary strategy on EU with some new
RSI and STOCH parameters that's working right now, so why fix it if it aint broke. I'm sure by next week I'll get waxed and be back to the drawing board.
What's that smell?
  • #75,080
  • Mar 13, 2009 2:05am Mar 13, 2009 2:05am
ok i was lying. i wasnt neutral when i posted originally. i had a sell position i did not want to show hoping that this indeed would turn into a h&s. Thats what my gut feeling told me. I dont recommend to anyone doing this when pa could break either way. In any case..closed half the position at +50..other half stop loss at entry tp at where neckline would be 1.2745. To be honest...Im experimenting with trying to let positions run longer then my usual 50pips.

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