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  • #49,061
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:23pm Dec 9, 2008 12:23pm
maybe i should invest in t-bills.. current auction rate .000000% yeah baby give me some of that!!!!
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,062
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:26pm Dec 9, 2008 12:26pm
Quoting gatorinla
*standing at the dock with my 1.300 ticket in my hand waving as the ship goes over horizon*
At least you are on the dock instead of being in the middle of the ocean holding on a piece of wood watching the ships go by.

(I am there with you on the dock). But I thought the visual was funny!
  • #49,063
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:27pm Dec 9, 2008 12:27pm
blah went in short at 1.2990 and couldnt hold my position for longer then 20pips...sometimes scalping is a blessing and a curse...anyways...we broke down below the longer term upper wall of the 1month old triangle...pa above it lets consider a spike for now. a retest of that upper wall (currently 1.2955) would provide another great short entry if it holds..lets see now

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Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #49,064
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:32pm Dec 9, 2008 12:32pm
Quoting Mojea
At least you are on the dock instead of being in the middle of the ocean holding on a piece of wood watching the ships go by.

(I am there with you on the dock). But I thought the visual was funny!
no i went downstairs to cook for a few minutes and walked into it... i was the friggen dummy who posted the 1.306 resistance... i should of been in this one.. i could of be a contender!!! oh welll other 2 trades are doing ok..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,065
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:33pm Dec 9, 2008 12:33pm
I'm just a newbie but I feel really P.O.'d also since I missed the boat TWICE on this pair. Once on the way up ( I had no faith that it would continue) and on the way down ( the wife HAD TO have lunch at the apex of the Upward trend). $#@&

I hit the USDCHF for few on the tail end of the drop-off but the worst story is that I was IN on the EURUSD when it still had about 150 pips to go and pulled out for fear of hitting my stop when in actuality it only came within about 10 pips of the stop. $#%@ $%@#
  • #49,066
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:35pm Dec 9, 2008 12:35pm
Some resistance at 1.292 Intraday R1 acting as support..
Holding shorts for T1 @1.28816 (Daily pivot)

Just my 2 cents...
  • #49,067
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:37pm Dec 9, 2008 12:37pm
i think its worth nothing usd/jpy is getting dangerously close to the lows..ever...dow keeps dropping as well and all other pairs seem to get weaker versus the dollar. it seems like its only a matter of time before eur/usd falls down hard as well. the only question remaining is who is the leading indicator...eur/usd..or everything else...time will tell
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #49,068
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:37pm Dec 9, 2008 12:37pm
i'm out of my short now.now i'm long for 10-20 pips. too big of a move down.

long at 1.2924 limit at 1.2944
  • #49,069
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:40pm Dec 9, 2008 12:40pm
Quoting d-e-f
I'm just a newbie but I feel really P.O.'d also since I missed the boat TWICE on this pair. Once on the way up ( I had no faith that it would continue) and on the way down ( the wife HAD TO have lunch at the apex of the Upward trend). $#@&

I hit the USDCHF for few on the tail end of the drop-off but the worst story is that I was IN on the EURUSD when it still had about 150 pips to go and pulled out for fear of hitting my stop when in actuality it only came within about 10 pips of the stop. $#%@ $%@#
dont feel bad about the run up...it went against the trend big time..it lost all correlation to everything else...most of us missed that ride up (except possibly algirdas and his followers) but yea...sometimes its best to stay out if things dont make sense...i dont have any regrets and i expected this to happen...just because it didnt happen in a way that makes sense.
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #49,070
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:42pm Dec 9, 2008 12:42pm
closed everything in the green. this is nuts... going to go get a root canal or something.

careful trades all.
FUBAR...
  • #49,071
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:46pm Dec 9, 2008 12:46pm
Quoting psiholog
dont feel bad about the run up...it went against the trend big time..it lost all correlation to everything else...most of us missed that ride up (except possibly algirdas and his followers) but yea...sometimes its best to stay out if things dont make sense...i dont have any regrets and i expected this to happen...just because it didnt happen in a way that makes sense.
Thanks for the logical explanation of that very stressful event. Since I'm new and have real money riding on this I have the 'must get in on the big runs' mentality that I have to suppress. I felt competely helpless on the run up since I thought I should have a way in if I know how to do this stuff? My Stoch (slowline) was pushing the prices up on every time frame but I didn't have the guts to stay in it. 'Next time'......
  • #49,072
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:46pm Dec 9, 2008 12:46pm
Quoting sed34
i'm out of my short now.now i'm long for 10-20 pips. too big of a move down.

long at 1.2924 limit at 1.2944
Just a suggestion...why bail out..if you think the move becomes to large..

I use manual trailing stops between 50 - 150 pips depending on PA
This way you still secure most profits in case of a sudden retrace and it provides you with time for a possible re-entry at the same time..

Just my 2 cents...
  • #49,073
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:57pm Dec 9, 2008 12:57pm
Quoting Shadowfx
Just a suggestion...why bail out..if you think the move becomes to large..

I use manual trailing stops between 50 - 150 pips depending on PA
This way you still secure most profits in case of a sudden retrace and it provides you with time for a possible re-entry at the same time..

Just my 2 cents...
Hard to apply, I am wanting to take an add the dips strategy.

Im long again...this time maybe for the mother load
  • #49,074
  • Dec 9, 2008 12:57pm Dec 9, 2008 12:57pm
Quoting psiholog
i think its worth nothing usd/jpy is getting dangerously close to the lows..ever...dow keeps dropping as well and all other pairs seem to get weaker versus the dollar. it seems like its only a matter of time before eur/usd falls down hard as well. the only question remaining is who is the leading indicator...eur/usd..or everything else...time will tell
last night aus/usd fell before eu for what thats worth..
those who can, do. those who cant, talk about those who can
  • #49,075
  • Edited 1:26pm Dec 9, 2008 12:59pm | Edited 1:26pm
Last chart until daily close..

EU has been slowly but surely losing some of it's strong correlation to EJ and the yen crosses as some risk appetite returns, or seems to be returning even if only on a day to day basis.

That said, a strong move on EJ should still exert some influence on EU and my charts are not THAT out of synch just yet ...

Her's where EJ is on the 1hr . This could be a heads up indi for an EU move simply becuz it moves so much farther and faster. It's currently sitting right on the LTL that it just bounced on. That's also the 00 figure and 62% fibo. GY sitting on/near it's 136.00 figure and 1hr swing fib level as well.

Clearly breaking below this level should drag on EU, while a strong upmove being... well a strong upmove...
Attached Image
FUBAR...
  • #49,076
  • Dec 9, 2008 1:03pm Dec 9, 2008 1:03pm
current technical analysis. after briefly breaking the 1month old triangle we have broken the upwards channel...finally. now we are seeying a retest of the breakout wall which is holding for now with a small triangle that looks like a potential continuation down flag. false breaks may come before the real move...careful pippin all

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Edit: woot..25 pips on that one....now a retest of the breakout wall of the bear flag may provide another short entry..lets see
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
  • #49,077
  • Dec 9, 2008 1:11pm Dec 9, 2008 1:11pm
Quoting Shadowfx
Just a suggestion...why bail out..if you think the move becomes to large..

I use manual trailing stops between 50 - 150 pips depending on PA
This way you still secure most profits in case of a sudden retrace and it provides you with time for a possible re-entry at the same time..

Just my 2 cents...
i'll look more into that. the key is getting the right number of pips for the stop
  • #49,078
  • Dec 9, 2008 1:14pm Dec 9, 2008 1:14pm
bearish DV?
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  • #49,079
  • Dec 9, 2008 1:18pm Dec 9, 2008 1:18pm
hummm ema 50: m15 m30 h1 all of them are hard to break we have bounce and would be good short on top
  • #49,080
  • Dec 9, 2008 1:24pm Dec 9, 2008 1:24pm
1Hr Chart
I see downward trend.
P/A support/resistance level at 1.2880. If it breaks through , price may be headed 1.2800. If not, we'll see a bounce off of the 1.2880 and a continue upward trend.

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