How to determine the Trend | Forex Factory

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How to determine the Trend

  • #1
  • First Post: Edited Nov 19, 2008 12:20am Nov 18, 2008 8:56pm | Edited Nov 19, 2008 12:20am
Would like to dedicate this Thread to how to determine the TREND so post your ideas here.
Share your ideas on how you determine trend.

What do you use to determine the trend, do use a moving average, do you look from left to right or right to left or do you determine trend as a time specific factor.
  • #2
  • Nov 18, 2008 9:28pm Nov 18, 2008 9:28pm
My eyes. What exactly do you mean? If you want, you could run a 21 EMA and check what angle it's pointing but direction of the trend is pretty basic stuff I'd think
  • #3
  • Nov 18, 2008 10:03pm Nov 18, 2008 10:03pm
Look at 1H, 4H or higher time frames on one chart. Look at price on left side of chart and then look at last price on right side. Draw a line or use your eyes to determine what direction trend is going.


Look at examples given... it's that simple my friend.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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Click to Enlarge Name: down tremd.png Size: 19 KB
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #4
  • Nov 18, 2008 11:33pm Nov 18, 2008 11:33pm
Or as Jacko would say......
Quote
Firstly, how do you know what the trend is?

1. If the graph on the chart starts in the bottom left hand corner and ends in the top right hand corner, the market is going UP.

2. If the graph on the chart starts in the top left hand corner and ends in the bottom right hand corner, the market is going DOWN.

3. If you are still confused, print it off and show it to a 5 year old...they will get it right EVERY time...LOL

The trend is the BEST friend you will ever have in the Forex market.

Now if you don't have a 5 year old to show it to,
any blind duck with a glass eye in it's ass will also be able to see the trend.....
Same Whore .... Different Dress
  • #5
  • Nov 18, 2008 11:37pm Nov 18, 2008 11:37pm
trends are easy to identify once they're happening. it's identifying the start and ends of the trends that is the hard part. as for identifying the trend, like the guy above, i use my eyes. the way i identify the start and end is a secret.
  • #6
  • Nov 18, 2008 11:38pm Nov 18, 2008 11:38pm
Quoting blacksun1
trends are easy to identify once they're happening. it's identifying the start and ends of the trends that is the hard part. as for identifying the trend, like the guy above, i use my eyes. the way i identify the start and end is a secret.
aww go ahead .... your secrets safe with us.....
Same Whore .... Different Dress
  • #7
  • Nov 19, 2008 12:47am Nov 19, 2008 12:47am
Quoting johnedoe
Or as Jacko would say......


Now if you don't have a 5 year old to show it to,
any blind duck with a glass eye in it's ass will also be able to see the trend.....

This is great...
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #8
  • Nov 19, 2008 1:03am Nov 19, 2008 1:03am
Quoting CTGUY
This is great...
I hope you guys do not think for a second that i am asking for your help on how to determine TREND it is just suppose to be a dicussion that all can benefit.

If you ask me how i determine TREND, i use 4 creteria and 3 trend have levels:

1. time specific

2. super trend

3. major trend

4 minor trend

With these 4 steps you will know when the TREND is strong or weak.

All that nonse about look to the left and the right is a fools paradise.

CTGUY says look at the 1hr and 4hr fine but if the is a retracement coming how deep are you willing to take the drawdown.

There is more but this should start the new traders on the right part.

CTGUY you your system is just half-way there, the commonsense approach is to look at the 1hr and 4hr then you go to a smaller timeframe and then trade in the direction of the bigger timeframe.

Your comments are welcome but not your nonsense because i trade for a living also and being doing it for over ten years.

This thread is suppose to help the new traders.
  • #9
  • Edited 3:58am Nov 19, 2008 2:26am | Edited 3:58am
Quoting forextrend
I hope you guys do not think for a second that i am asking for your help on how to determine TREND it is just suppose to be a dicussion that all can benefit.

If you ask me how i determine TREND, i use 4 creteria and 3 trend have levels:

1. time specific

2. super trend

3. major trend

4 minor trend

With these 4 steps you will know when the TREND is strong or weak.

All that nonse about look to the left and the right is a fools paradise.

CTGUY says look at the 1hr and 4hr fine but if the is a retracement coming how deep are you willing...
Wow... a full time trader posting. I don't get to run into someone of your calibre on this forum. I need to tell others that we had the honor of your posting. Did you publish a book whereas I can get a signed copy?

Now, to get to the real world here. Your thread posting appeared that you were a new trader asking for instructions on how to determine trend direction. You should have correctly posted your method of determining trend direction as if you were enlisting your experience. You should have made your title of the thread "My way of determing trend direction".
If you were paying attention and reading the replies here, you would have read two postings on how experienced traders determine trend directions which is the easiest way for all to learn. You would have also noticed that the time frames to look at also. It doesn't matter which order you view them, as long as you can tell if your in the same direction as the trend. Also, determining trend direction is not a system, it is a method. This method is not a fools paradise but used by the best of traders.

I am glad that your a full time trader...have you made the big leap from micros to mini lots yet? I suggest that you look at profiles before you post in a stupid manner if you feel like challenging someone in the future. The homework would have prevented you to post foolishly to someone that is far ahead of yourself with trading years, experience and more successful. When someone replies nicely to your post as I have, you should return with a thank you... instead of attacking them.
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #10
  • Nov 19, 2008 2:33am Nov 19, 2008 2:33am
agree with CTGUY
  • #11
  • Edited 7:05am Nov 19, 2008 2:44am | Edited 7:05am
Quoting bksujal
agree with CTGUY
Thank you my friend..

His postings looked as if he was asking for help. I replied back with a great attitude and even took the effort to make and show charts.

In return, he attacked me. This makes absolutely no sense to me.

I seriously have problems with his statement that he is a fulltime trader. I sense immaturity and lack of communication skills. This is the same guy that tried to steal Tdions trading journal and was told to leave several times.
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #12
  • Nov 19, 2008 2:48am Nov 19, 2008 2:48am
Quoting CTGUY
Thank you my friend..

His postings looked as if he was asking for help. I replied back with a great attitude and even took the effort to make and show charts.

In return, he attacked me. This makes no sense to me.
he clearly mentions in his first post in this thread 'share your ideas' I thought u did that so why the hell is he attacking u. Your post on how u determine was of great help since u've been in this market for a decade and I have only been in this market 2-3 yrs. Anywayz mate ur welcome.
  • #13
  • Edited 6:46am Nov 19, 2008 3:07am | Edited 6:46am
Quoting bksujal
he clearly mentions in his first post in this thread 'share your ideas' I thought u did that so why the hell is he attacking u. Your post on how u determine was of great help since u've been in this market for a decade and I have only been in this market 2-3 yrs. Anywayz mate ur welcome.
I am always one to help others. As hectic as my schedule is and as a professional full time trader and doing so as a business, I still take time to share my very successful trading system and assisting others with their questions. My pm box has many entries from traders that thank me for my time that I use to help others. Those traders that do know my success ask me how I do find the time to return her and contribute. I have a very uplifting personality and barely nothing gets me down. That is why I don't understand the attack on me.
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #14
  • Nov 19, 2008 3:46am Nov 19, 2008 3:46am
Quoting forextrend
I hope you guys do not think for a second that i am asking for your help on how to determine TREND it is just suppose to be a dicussion that all can benefit.

If you ask me how i determine TREND, i use 4 creteria and 3 trend have levels:

1. time specific

2. super trend

3. major trend

4 minor trend

With these 4 steps you will know when the TREND is strong or weak.

All that nonse about look to the left and the right is a fools paradise.

CTGUY says look at the 1hr and 4hr fine but if the is a retracement coming how deep are you...
Maybe this topic should have been "Can you guess how I determine trend?" because people have only done what you have asked for...
  • #15
  • Nov 19, 2008 3:59am Nov 19, 2008 3:59am
Quoting fxRichard
Maybe this topic should have been "Can you guess how I determine trend?" because people have only done what you have asked for...
Even better... thanks for the thoughts wise friend
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #16
  • Nov 19, 2008 7:10am Nov 19, 2008 7:10am
Looks like the original post was changed to conceal the mistakes he made in the posting.
"To Be A Successful Forex Trader, You Need A Successful Forex Mentor."
  • #17
  • Nov 19, 2008 9:04am Nov 19, 2008 9:04am
to determine the trend.

who cares???.

what you're going to do about it.?

that's the key.
  • #18
  • Nov 19, 2008 9:05am Nov 19, 2008 9:05am
To bad somebody didn't quote his original post for posterity.......
Same Whore .... Different Dress
  • #19
  • Nov 19, 2008 9:07am Nov 19, 2008 9:07am
Quoting wiztrader
to determine the trend.

who cares???.

what you're going to do about it.?
I'm gonna kick it's ass all the way to the bank thats what......
Same Whore .... Different Dress
  • #20
  • Nov 19, 2008 9:13am Nov 19, 2008 9:13am
Quoting wiztrader
to determine the trend.

who cares???.

what you're going to do about it.?

that's the key.
I disagree.

The REAL key is: You know the trend, but do you know when to get in?

I like Jacko's posts and I do believe that the trend is your friend, but he also talks about buying the dips and selling on the highs. From my demo trading using his system, that really seems to be the key to all this. Yes, the trend will take care of you in the end, but knowing which dip to get in on and having the confidence to take a long position as a pair is (temporarily) falling, is the REAL key.
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