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  • #29,941
  • Sep 14, 2008 9:15am Sep 14, 2008 9:15am
Quoting Bemac
You may very well be correct but until I see something on the charts to convince me otherwise, I will be Bearish to a test of ~1.3750. Perhaps within the next couple of weeks.

Not to mention 1.36xx is on the radar.
This post is in line with my thoughts.
  • #29,942
  • Sep 14, 2008 9:25am Sep 14, 2008 9:25am
Quoting acumen
This post is in line with my thoughts.

bro, a rate cut on WED will erase all this right?
  • #29,943
  • Sep 14, 2008 9:54am Sep 14, 2008 9:54am
Boy chart overload this weekend on the thread with T/lines out the ying yang and oh the colors.

And those who really think weekend trading on a few oddball brokers really matters - how do they explain almost all Monday Far East openings are dead on or within a few pips of the previous Friday close. Exceptions being when there is news over a weekend?
  • #29,944
  • Sep 14, 2008 10:21am Sep 14, 2008 10:21am
Quoting trading801
anyone??

btw my take is still short... because the daily channel down draw from low of 26 and high of 28 AUG is not broken..

besides price actions is still wait below SMA 20 daily.. yes it may go up and then possibly down more.. but as far as i am concerned, positions still short...

only advise i need is more guidance on how to identify when is good to go in .. and when to shift SL and when to TP !
I believe a well respected trader here in FF asked you to post charts a while back and he would help you with this. Have you posted any charts yet?
Just a well meaning hint.
Jim
  • #29,945
  • Sep 14, 2008 11:12am Sep 14, 2008 11:12am
I'm still a bear.

If it hits 1.43 I'm wrong and flat until the market takes direction.

Therefore, I will sell when the 4 hour RSI hits 75 or reverses.

My profit taking is half at 1.4140 and half 1.4055.
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  • #29,946
  • Edited 11:57am Sep 14, 2008 11:23am | Edited 11:57am
Gap down? At least oandas order book shows nothing like that.

http://fxlabs.oanda.com/products/his...onhistory.html

Check show full graph to see this weekend positions

Also Greenspans comments don't help dollar a bit
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...uH8&refer=home
  • #29,947
  • Sep 14, 2008 11:29am Sep 14, 2008 11:29am
NYMEX crude started trading extra early today @ 10:00am EST

And it is down so far:
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Click to Enlarge Name: QM.PNG Size: 28 KB
  • #29,948
  • Sep 14, 2008 11:33am Sep 14, 2008 11:33am
Extract from a Bloomberg article:

Crude oil for October delivery fell $1.96, or 1.9 percent, to $99.22 a barrel at 11:33 a.m. on the Nymex. Futures touched $99.13, the lowest since March 25. Prices are up 25 percent from a year ago. Gasoline for October delivery fell 14.23 cents, or 5.1 percent, to $2.6273 a gallon in New York.


Looks like the fall in oil prices, coupled with the absence of any tangible resolution to Lehman's situation, could provide the perfect setup to a downside move in EUR when trading opens. I reckon there could be some carry trade unwinds on the back of risk aversion.

Do note though that Japan is closed on Monday. Hence, the movements in cross-yen could be less pronounced.
  • #29,949
  • Sep 14, 2008 12:02pm Sep 14, 2008 12:02pm
is there a gap on any major pairs?
  • #29,950
  • Sep 14, 2008 12:08pm Sep 14, 2008 12:08pm
Nice .
  • #29,951
  • Edited 12:44pm Sep 14, 2008 12:17pm | Edited 12:44pm
Quoting Tonest3r
is there a gap on any major pairs?
Look what I caught on tenfore:
The only explanation I have is bad data feed on the first on, the second (2 min later) may be caused on oil price fall.
Now 1.3900

Edit: now 1.41, that site (tenfore) sucks today
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  • #29,952
  • Sep 14, 2008 1:36pm Sep 14, 2008 1:36pm
Guys, I am confused about different explanations I read thru the threads here on FF.

SMA200

Some say price always return to the line.

Others say, go ONLY long above and ONLY short below.

Anybody that can shine some light on this?
  • #29,953
  • Sep 14, 2008 1:55pm Sep 14, 2008 1:55pm
The drop from 1.46xx was predicated on the idea that the U.S. would recover faster than the other majors. Well that hasn't happened and it doesn't look like it's going to happen any time soon. Sorry, that's all I can come up with, for short term I see upside gains for euro. I think the only thing the market priced in for the last week was a fantasy. Regardless, I'm liking the bounce off of the monthly trendline.
  • #29,954
  • Sep 14, 2008 2:11pm Sep 14, 2008 2:11pm
Quoting Freddyfx
Guys, I am confused about different explanations I read thru the threads here on FF.

SMA200

Some say price always return to the line.

Others say, go ONLY long above and ONLY short below.

Anybody that can shine some light on this?
when the price crosses a MA from down to up is a buy signal and from up to the down side is a sell signal....
  • #29,955
  • Sep 14, 2008 2:12pm Sep 14, 2008 2:12pm
Quoting acumen
This post is in line with my thoughts.
yep, trend is hard to beat
  • #29,956
  • Edited 3:26pm Sep 14, 2008 2:12pm | Edited 3:26pm
Lehman seems to be dead. First this

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1221..._us_whats_news

and then this

http://www.reuters.com/article/gc06/...44498020080914

and the latest

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...6QM&refer=home

Greenspan is also very negative on finance sector (this is huge, central bankers don't usually make these kind of comments)

http://www.reuters.com/article/gc06/...40268220080914

After these I'm very, very surprised if EURUSD continues down.

Also prepare for a stock market panic tomorrow.
  • #29,957
  • Sep 14, 2008 2:18pm Sep 14, 2008 2:18pm
Quoting cobraforex
Look what I caught on tenfore:
The only explanation I have is bad data feed on the first on, the second (2 min later) may be caused on oil price fall.
Now 1.3900

Edit: now 1.41, that site (tenfore) sucks today
At Oanda it touched 1.4338 after opening at the same price as friday's close and is now pointing down 1.4270.

I also use GCI Trading quotes page though the source seems to be the same Tenfore site:
http://www.gcitrading.com/forex-quot...FQUdSgodaDuKsg
They usually move during the weekend.

Oil is at 98.88 as per this live chart:
http://www.livecharts.co.uk/MarketCharts/brent.php
  • #29,958
  • Sep 14, 2008 2:24pm Sep 14, 2008 2:24pm
OIL 99.5
Don't Blame Yourself This Is Forex...
  • #29,959
  • Sep 14, 2008 2:29pm Sep 14, 2008 2:29pm
still 2 high
its just money
  • #29,960
  • Sep 14, 2008 3:12pm Sep 14, 2008 3:12pm
oil lower in electronic trading...euro higher?....today will be very interesting...
Different opinions highly valued, ignorant to slander.
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