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  • Post #15,721
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  • Edited at 8:13am Jul 23, 2008 7:55am | Edited at 8:13am
  •  belekas
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: gone fishing | 5,782 Posts
Quoting cesare76fx
Disliked
Well done to all that made pips on the retrace, now let's get back to the trend
Ignored
Was a risky countertrend trade, did you take it? Theres a nice descending channel, but ive entered too late not from the LTL and decided to close @ b/e, because thats a very risky trade on this retracement. Anyway if it goes up ill just short from the top or if it breaks the LTL then we go from there :-)

edit: but i see Oil bounced from descending wedge's LTL and its pulling EU up but still undecided...
 
 
  • Post #15,722
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:14am Jul 23, 2008 8:14am
  •  MaZae
  • | Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Member | 123 Posts
Quoting belekas
Disliked
edit: but i see Oil bounced from descending wedge's LTL and its pulling EU up
Ignored
belekas you are right but i guess it was just a small retracement..
this is my view.

noob question: i don't know if technical analysis tools such as fibs, supports and resistances, etc. work also in commodities but i have found them handy until now =/..
Attached Image
... /$ -> LONG
 
 
  • Post #15,723
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:19am Jul 23, 2008 8:19am
  •  nwsuccess
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2005 | 99 Posts
Quoting belekas
Disliked
Was a risky countertrend trade, did you take it? Theres a nice descending channel, but ive entered too late not from the LTL and decided to close @ b/e, because thats a very risky trade on this retracement. Anyway if it goes up ill just short from the top or if it breaks the LTL then we go from there :-)

edit: but i see Oil bounced from descending wedge's LTL and its pulling EU up but still undecided...
Ignored
Why was it a risky countertrend trade?
 
 
  • Post #15,724
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:22am Jul 23, 2008 8:22am
  •  Coconut
  • | Joined Jun 2008 | Status: Member | 62 Posts
LoL they make you believe its going long then they hold , push some buttons and robb you going short !

Oil just hit a new low today from odl charts

Boring to break even all day
 
 
  • Post #15,725
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:22am Jul 23, 2008 8:22am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Quoting MaZae
Disliked
belekas you are right but i guess it was just a small retracement..
this is my view.

noob question: i don't know if technical analysis tools such as fibs, supports and resistances, etc. work also in commodities but i have found them handy until now =/..
Ignored
Yes they do work in commodities...

I'm pleased to see that some of you starting to look more and more at a total economical picture and base your decisions and trades upon..

Mark my words..the more you understand the larger picture of the market...the more it will benefit your future trading results

Just my 2 cents...
 
 
  • Post #15,726
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:23am Jul 23, 2008 8:23am
  •  MTF Test
  • Joined May 2008 | Status: I Loose, I Win, I Conquer | 1,665 Posts
Yo ! just have a look guys
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Fools Rushing
 
 
  • Post #15,727
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:24am Jul 23, 2008 8:24am
  •  belekas
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: gone fishing | 5,782 Posts
Quoting nwsuccess
Disliked
Why was it a risky countertrend trade?
Ignored
Because all retracement trades are risky for me. Maybe you want to tell me why was it easy trade for you?
 
 
  • Post #15,728
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:25am Jul 23, 2008 8:25am
  •  green
  • | Joined Sep 2007 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
south!

i m going south
 
 
  • Post #15,729
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:28am Jul 23, 2008 8:28am
  •  steelhead
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2008 | 1,334 Posts
Quoting green
Disliked
south!

i m going south
Ignored

Your going to get your lunch handed too you if you go south to much.
 
 
  • Post #15,730
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  • Jul 23, 2008 8:41am Jul 23, 2008 8:41am
  •  nwsuccess
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2005 | 99 Posts
Quoting belekas
Disliked
Because all retracement trades are risky for me. Maybe you want to tell me why was it easy trade for you?
Ignored
I have an edge in the market and when there is a trade setup I define the risk and put the trade on and let it work. I know that if I am patient, persistent and disciplined my edge will play out very well.
 
 
  • Post #15,731
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:42am Jul 23, 2008 8:42am
  •  Shadowfx
  • Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Pro FX-Trader | 488 Posts
Hmm...

1.573 seems to hold for now, ranging between 1.573 - 1576 till DJI open & crude oil inventories at 3.35pm (GMT) is my expectation...

Time for some lunch, bit of sunshine & a dip in the pool....

Just my 2 cents...
 
 
  • Post #15,732
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:42am Jul 23, 2008 8:42am
  •  nwsuccess
  • | Commercial Member | Joined May 2005 | 99 Posts
Quoting steelhead
Disliked
Your going to get your lunch handed too you if you go south to much.
Ignored
Does it come with a toy?
 
 
  • Post #15,733
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:42am Jul 23, 2008 8:42am
  •  belekas
  • Joined Sep 2007 | Status: gone fishing | 5,782 Posts
Quoting nwsuccess
Disliked
I have an edge in the market and when there is a trade setup I define the risk and put the trade on and let it work. I know that if I am patient, persistent and disciplined my edge will play out very well.
Ignored
Then i wish you all the best in this bussines ;-)
 
 
  • Post #15,734
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:43am Jul 23, 2008 8:43am
  •  cesare76fx
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 550 Posts
Quoting belekas
Disliked
Was a risky countertrend trade, did you take it? Theres a nice descending channel, but ive entered too late not from the LTL and decided to close @ b/e, because thats a very risky trade on this retracement. Anyway if it goes up ill just short from the top or if it breaks the LTL then we go from there :-)

edit: but i see Oil bounced from descending wedge's LTL and its pulling EU up but still undecided...
Ignored
Hi, I didn't take the short, I just don't feel comfortable shorting euro and oil.
We had a retrace of 200+pips a few weeks ago on e/u, and that was the best entry of the month for a long of 300+pips.
I'm trading less as it is summer and even if I don't take vacation from trading this year I'm taking it easy and waiting for good prices. In the last few weeks it worked well for me, made pips buying euro and oil, and watched on the side waiting for a dip to buy again. I'm only in e/u long now, oil is a scary beast, even if inventory news today could shake up a few charts. If I get stopped out around 670 I will look for another entry long. Even thought this pair is ranging from 1.5400 to 1.5800 I still feel safer only buying dips.
 
 
  • Post #15,735
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 8:58am Jul 23, 2008 8:58am
  •  Srikanth
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Nov 2007 | 774 Posts
I'm shorting all those rallies.. We'll definitely gonna see 1.5350

Just believe me.. It's just a retracement or manupulation by BIG boys.. Stay safe ..short it short
 
 
  • Post #15,736
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:03am Jul 23, 2008 9:03am
  •  cesare76fx
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 550 Posts
Quoting Srikanth
Disliked
I'm shorting all those rallies.. We'll definitely gonna see 1.5350

Just believe me.. It's just a retracement or manupulation by BIG boys.. Stay safe ..short it short
Ignored
be carefull using that word in trading
 
 
  • Post #15,737
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:08am Jul 23, 2008 9:08am
  •  elmondello
  • | Joined Jun 2008 | Status: Member | 30 Posts
I'm hoping for 1.5710 or so... but maybe I'm kidding myself
 
 
  • Post #15,738
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:09am Jul 23, 2008 9:09am
  •  cesare76fx
  • | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Member | 550 Posts
This what I see and what I trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • Post #15,739
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:10am Jul 23, 2008 9:10am
  •  indotrader
  • | Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Member | 520 Posts
Ive been shorting this pair.. but Im not sure where the bottom will be.. so Im just gonna wait.. any other suggestion..? Im not sure its going lower than 5680
Money often costs too much...
 
 
  • Post #15,740
  • Quote
  • Jul 23, 2008 9:20am Jul 23, 2008 9:20am
  •  Jay Walker
  • Joined Jan 2008 | Status: HEY! WHA' HAPPENED? | 15,496 Posts
Quoting indotrader
Disliked
Ive been shorting this pair.. but Im not sure where the bottom will be.. so Im just gonna wait.. any other suggestion..? Im not sure its going lower than 5680
Ignored
It might be 5500, maybe even back to 5300, who the hell knows. But these past few days, I've been a bear.
Not all sins are created equal
 
 
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