Start Young. Think Big. Stick to It. 
- #8,623
- May 6, 2008 11:33am May 6, 2008 11:33am
yerp and u rite bearish sign showing in my chart,
but i'm not trade
just to share with u only
- #8,624
- May 6, 2008 11:38am May 6, 2008 11:38am
- | Joined Oct 2007 | Status: work in progress | 1,009 Posts
I posted charts earlier this week.
If you trade USD currencies based on the price of oil, I think you will be in for a hard fight. Just my opinion. Oil is an anomaly. You should be thinking the other way around..... if the dollar goes up, then oil goes down. Not the other way around. My guess is the price of oil is coming down. Not to mention seasonal factors and huge inventories.
WHen pension funds, and hedgies start pulling their money. Look out below and it WILL happen.
High oil prices hurts the EUROZONE as much as the USD.
In essense, I am a value trader and buying the EURO is not a good value right now.
and not indicators? This is a refreshing view to see. Most traders do not see this part of the equation.
Oh yes, lets not forget the soon to be Iraq factor in the price of oil and its effect on the global economy.
It is afterall an election year in the USA so you must factor that into the market also, now the picture becomes much clearer!!
Don't chase the market, Let the market come to you
- #8,625
- May 6, 2008 11:44am May 6, 2008 11:44am
- Joined Dec 2006 | Status: call me Kevin | 1,263 Posts
- #8,627
- May 6, 2008 11:52am May 6, 2008 11:52am
- Joined Dec 2006 | Status: call me Kevin | 1,263 Posts
- #8,629
- May 6, 2008 11:56am May 6, 2008 11:56am
- | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
On the path to Enrichment.
- #8,631
- May 6, 2008 12:04pm May 6, 2008 12:04pm
- | Joined Feb 2008 | Status: Live long and have fun :) | 1,386 Posts
That's a good bet Bruce Lee.
On the path to Enrichment.
If the US long bond closes below 115'08 then that would help the short side. Need some offense, looks like buyers are fizzling on the SP. IMM boys ready to run up the 3:00 close to the topside if equities stagnate.
- #8,633
- May 6, 2008 5:48pm May 6, 2008 5:48pm
- | Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,797 Posts
I'm in short 1.5495
crossing fingers...
[There is a famous method of placing haevy stone on your PC jump on it shouting: "EURO DOWN! EURO DOWN!" - must try it]
Still long from 1.5500.:nerd:http://theocacao.com/images/content/...-powerbook.jpg
- #8,634
- May 6, 2008 6:10pm May 6, 2008 6:10pm
- Joined Jan 2008 | Status: Trader | 2,996 Posts
Looking bullish if anything look at price action near the daily 38.2 fibb(purple fibb)
- #8,635
- May 6, 2008 6:11pm May 6, 2008 6:11pm
What is the reason behind the idea of a sharp drop in the EUR - read through everything and all I see is DOWN TODAY. DOWN. TODAY. 
There was no real reason for a down move, and with the 2 economic indicators coming from the ECB, it was clear sailing for the EUR to move upward - meaning nothing really from the US to sway the EUR otherwise.
None sense to me either
Anyone can explain why this upmove?
Mt trade hit SL againUsd/jpy sink
- #8,636
- May 6, 2008 6:20pm May 6, 2008 6:20pm
before i'm out,
for those who still holding thier long..
plz keep ur eyes looking for diz price 1.5585
Went long at 1.5470 after new support held nicely at 1.5453. TP at 1.5580 hit just after midnight my time
Looking for a nice re-entry point for another long. I can't see it going down unless is breaks support.
Fx_Genius, you may be right with history repeating itself once again. Charts are certainly pointing that way.
- #8,637
- May 6, 2008 7:21pm May 6, 2008 7:21pm
- Joined Oct 2007 | Status: Trader | 6,522 Posts
I went SHORT after seeing the Shooting Star CS confirmed by Bearish CS.
Now already BREAKING the support of the RANGING movement.
H1 CS closed below the Daily Pivot.
Almost all my TECHNICAL analysis bias with the BEAR for this pair for this moment.
It might go UP later and this down movement might be just a RETRACEMENT... but I am harvesting some pips for this Bearish Movement.
Let see If the BEAR can penetrate the Weekly Pivot. If it closed below the weekly pivot... my target will be the Yellow RBS line (Resistance Become Support).
IF failed to penetrate the Weekly Pivot... I'll take whatever profit I got and stay side line first. All about Price Action.
Moving down my SL to 1 pip on the Green. Nothing to lose but 1 pip to gain
Now already BREAKING the support of the RANGING movement.
H1 CS closed below the Daily Pivot.
Almost all my TECHNICAL analysis bias with the BEAR for this pair for this moment.
It might go UP later and this down movement might be just a RETRACEMENT... but I am harvesting some pips for this Bearish Movement.
Let see If the BEAR can penetrate the Weekly Pivot. If it closed below the weekly pivot... my target will be the Yellow RBS line (Resistance Become Support).
IF failed to penetrate the Weekly Pivot... I'll take whatever profit I got and stay side line first. All about Price Action.
Moving down my SL to 1 pip on the Green. Nothing to lose but 1 pip to gain
A man that trades on sentiment
Oh yes, lets not forget the soon to be Iraq factor in the price of oil and its effect on the global economy.
It is afterall an election year in the USA so you must factor that into the market also, now the picture becomes much clearer!!
I tried it, didn't work.
http://theocacao.com/images/content/...-powerbook.jpg
- #8,640
- May 6, 2008 7:49pm May 6, 2008 7:49pm
- | Joined Dec 2007 | Status: Trader | 2,797 Posts
Yup, good stuff Tmac...
Ouch, what really happened to it Fx_Genius?...
E$ still long = Googled "smashed monitors", not my laptop, it still is working.
I really liked the idea though..
"There is a famous method of placing haevy stone on your PC jump on it shouting: "EURO DOWN! EURO DOWN!" - must try it"
It just makes me laugh every time I read it.
Just trying to bring a little fun & smiles in this place.
