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  • #7,361
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:28am Apr 25, 2008 6:28am
Quoting Rebeltiger
normally when three black crow formed in daily chart, it's a bearish signal but in eur/usd case it usually makes bottom. what do you think?
Why would eurusd be different? You think it's bottomed out and will be uphill from here?
Expected the unexpected
  • #7,362
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:33am Apr 25, 2008 6:33am
Quoting scyang
Why would eurusd be different? You think it's bottomed out and will be uphill from here?
oh u mean usd/chf? well.... somebody think it's gonna hit 1.0700 or soemthing so i told him even if it keeps going up i don't think it will reach 1.0700 that's my point. i personally don't see that though.
  • #7,363
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:36am Apr 25, 2008 6:36am
Quoting scyang
Why would eurusd be different? You think it's bottomed out and will be uphill from here?
dunno what market should go to nite,
if i say short, still no clear direction,
if i say long, still no clear direction,
i'm still waiting to be done all my short post
and i have floting buy 200pips ( EURO2000 )at my another broker which my big account at FXCM..so sad
  • #7,364
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:39am Apr 25, 2008 6:39am
Quoting Rebeltiger
oh u mean usd/chf? well.... somebody think it's gonna hit 1.0700 or soemthing so i told him even if it keeps going up i don't think it will reach 1.0700 that's my point. i personally don't see that though.
I was more trying to find out about your statement aobut the three black crows indicating a bearish trend, but in the case of eurusd, it would be different. I didn't know anything about three black crows or what they mean for the near term trend. I certainly don't know why eurusd would be special case and different. But since you mentioned about the usdchf pair, am also curious what you think the pair would do in the near term, i.e. by the end of Friday. Thanks.
Expected the unexpected
  • #7,365
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:42am Apr 25, 2008 6:42am
Quoting scyang
I was more trying to find out about your statement aobut the three black crows indicating a bearish trend, but in the case of eurusd, it would be different. I didn't know anything about three black crows or what they mean for the near term trend. I certainly don't know why eurusd would be special case and different. But since you mentioned about the usdchf pair, am also curious what you think the pair would do in the near term, i.e. by the end of Friday. Thanks.
diz my oppinion if USDCHF and USDJPY down EURUSD should be up..
but todaY it's differnt situation, which USDJPY,USDCHF and EURUSD
back up again
  • #7,366
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:43am Apr 25, 2008 6:43am
Strong interaction with m1 ema250 (m5 ema50) all the way..
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,367
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:51am Apr 25, 2008 6:51am
Triangle low again, 3 pips grabbed, let's see what gives..
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,368
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:53am Apr 25, 2008 6:53am
Quoting Jurrasic
Triangle low again, 3 pips grabbed, let's see what gives..
Jurrasic may see the chart?
it's still in short isn't
  • #7,369
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:55am Apr 25, 2008 6:55am
Quoting Jurrasic
Triangle low again, 3 pips grabbed, let's see what gives..
It's too painnful just to have 3 pips each time, but that's a lot better than 30 pips in the red of course.
Expected the unexpected
  • #7,370
  • Apr 25, 2008 6:56am Apr 25, 2008 6:56am
Quoting scyang
It's too painnful just to have 3 pips each time, but that's a lot better than 30 pips in the red of course.
I know, I'm a coward who went against his own system and moved the sl..
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,371
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:00am Apr 25, 2008 7:00am
Quoting Jurrasic
I know, I'm a coward who went against his own system and moved the sl..
Were you in long or short? Are you planning on going in again? Where do you think this thing is headed? Been back and forth for a long time now. Can't seem to decide which way it wants to go.
Expected the unexpected
  • #7,372
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:00am Apr 25, 2008 7:00am
Quoting Ultraman
Jurrasic may see the chart?
it's still in short isn't
Who knows ? I shorted at 612 now for the longer term (sl 625) plus another small grab off the upper triangle line..

http://img2.freeimagehosting.net/uploads/36a4254821.jpg
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,373
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:03am Apr 25, 2008 7:03am
Quoting scyang
Were you in long or short? Are you planning on going in again? Where do you think this thing is headed? Been back and forth for a long time now. Can't seem to decide which way it wants to go.
When you trade 1m, you ussualy don't care where it's going Frankly, no idea plus today is Friday so it's no real indication.

EDIT: long off the border line of course. Getting tight in there, not scalping it any more.
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,374
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:11am Apr 25, 2008 7:11am
arg... I hate when I trade the triangles.. and close it at the other side of the triangle and then it comes the break. but it's ok.. positive pips are positive pips
  • #7,375
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:12am Apr 25, 2008 7:12am
Now it's time to check the technical analysis text books, do we get a drop the size of the base or not.. If only it really worked that way always...
On the path to Enrichment.
  • #7,376
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:22am Apr 25, 2008 7:22am
everything can happen on fridays
  • #7,377
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:24am Apr 25, 2008 7:24am
I think it will be the US consumer confidence report that will move the pair in some significant way maybe. Or you think it's already factored in? The consumer confidence has been bad from the US.
Expected the unexpected
  • #7,378
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:26am Apr 25, 2008 7:26am
Quoting emda
everything can happen on fridays

thats true..
i think it be will up soon anyway i'm still holding my short
  • #7,379
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:39am Apr 25, 2008 7:39am
WOW! I get up and have 2+ pages to read!

A few points I would like to make.
1) ECB want E$ lower.
2) WTI crude oil Still trading $114-$117 range.
3) RBOB gas trading Higher range $2.98-$3.02.
4) My current range chart from last night has a 500-700 range, was 300 last night, now -400 down from top. It might still have 100-300 to go. Yes same chart from last night, should up date it, maybe later.
5) Last news item.

Consumer Sentiment
"Measures consumer attitudes concerning both the present situation and future expectations. It's derived from a monthly 500-person survey conducted by the University of Michigan. Higher sentiment levels are a leading indicator of rising consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the economy."

How in the hell does a 500 person survey in a country of Billions make a statistically valid sample? If this thing shows positive at all they must be calling Bush & his buddy's for the poll.

I don't see anyway it could be a positive number, food prices, gas prices, electricity prices, cable & sat TV and even phone prices are all going up. While first filings for unemployment are down, it doesn't take into account all the people unemployed that have already filed or have had benefits expire and cannot file again.

I live in the Chicago area and have seen more company's closing than I can ever remember. And there are a lot of people looking for work at a lower wage than they were making, some by $20,000.

GM has about 30 plants idled or closed due to a supplier strike. They could easily step in and help the supplier come to an agreement with the union but they have a surplus of cars and being shut down saves them money.

I'm done rambling for now, if you are trading make it a good one, I out, have a good weekend.
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  • #7,380
  • Apr 25, 2008 7:40am Apr 25, 2008 7:40am
Quoting Jurrasic
When you trade 1m, you ussualy don't care where it's going Frankly, no idea plus today is Friday so it's no real indication.

EDIT: long off the border line of course. Getting tight in there, not scalping it any more.

If I were to trade the M1, I would care where it's going and I might have an idea where that might be. Watch out for the current flat line though...
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