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Aussie Pairs

  • #1,921
  • Jan 15, 2008 2:58pm Jan 15, 2008 2:58pm
Quoting DutchTrader
Yep, I'm aiming for the 200ema.

Just Trade It
  • #1,922
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:00pm Jan 15, 2008 3:00pm
Quoting Big Wave Rider
Retrace first, then bukkake
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,923
  • Edited 3:16pm Jan 15, 2008 3:09pm | Edited 3:16pm
Quoting Big Wave Rider
Great job on the pips but why close it? We have alot more bottom. Maybe.
Unfortunately, I had it set for 94.50 when I first opened the position. When I went to look at my positions, I didn't see it with the open positions. When I looked carefully, it was already closed. That goes to show everyone to carefully input figures, otherwise you can get burned or not make out the full potential of the trade. Live and Learn.

I do see more downside Weekly 100/200 have been breached. Barring any intervention, We could possibly see the August lows. I still have my GJ and a a few others that I'll keep my eyes on. Lets see if we can get the carry trades back as I would love to go long at these levels to earn some positive carry trade interest.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,924
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:10pm Jan 15, 2008 3:10pm
I don't think we're getting a retrace. Seriously.
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,925
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:16pm Jan 15, 2008 3:16pm
Quoting Big Wave Rider
AJ testing triangle
Which triangle is this? Chart?
  • #1,926
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:21pm Jan 15, 2008 3:21pm
Quoting DutchTrader
I don't think we're getting a retrace. Seriously.
I think Intel just made sure we wouldn't.
  • #1,927
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:21pm Jan 15, 2008 3:21pm
Quoting DutchTrader
I don't think we're getting a retrace. Seriously.
Definitely not. Intel is down 12% below the 4pm close on its earnings. The futures are getting hit hard again.
  • #1,928
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:23pm Jan 15, 2008 3:23pm
Let's meet at the 200 ema
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,929
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:25pm Jan 15, 2008 3:25pm
Quoting youalreadykn
I think Intel just made sure we wouldn't.
Impossible, that would mean that Jim Cramer was wrong
  • #1,930
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:29pm Jan 15, 2008 3:29pm
Quoting youalreadykn
Don't you love when markets become absolutely irrational?

Citigroup reports a writedown we knew about for a LONG time and it causes panic?
I personally see nothing irrational in today's dump taken by the equities. C's negative EPS surprise was 100%, and retail sales took a blood bath, too. I'm afraid tomorrow won't be too sunny, either; Intel has just missed both EPS and revenue forecast and is down more than 15%, Wells Fargo and JPM are reporting, and accounting for AH stock moves, the Dow is down 360+ points from today's opening.

Gentlemen, all hail the almighty bear!
  • #1,931
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:42pm Jan 15, 2008 3:42pm
Quoting Subdude
I personally see nothing irrational in today's dump taken by the equities. C's negative EPS surprise was 100%, and retail sales took a blood bath, too. I'm afraid tomorrow won't be too sunny, either; Intel has just missed both EPS and revenue forecast and is down more than 15%, Wells Fargo and JPM are reporting, and accounting for AH stock moves, the Dow is down 360+ points from today's opening.

Gentlemen, all hail the almighty bear!
Again, my comments were directed towards EUR pairs, including EUR/AUD.

As for Citigroup... they fired their CEO for a reason. None of this was a surprise and the rumor earlier in the week was $25B in writedowns so the number came in better than rumored. In November, the writedowns were too big for the market to handle. Now, the writedowns are too small as commented by some?

The markets are selling the rumor and then panic selling the news. I consider it irrational, but what do I matter in the grand scheme of things.

Intel's EPS and revenues were inline and beat margins. As for revised forecasts... who doesn't expect a ton of companies to revise forward projections given the current economy? Analysts expect $10B and Intel expects $9.4B-10B.

It could get UGLY when the Fed doesn't give everyone the 75bps cut they want.
  • #1,932
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:45pm Jan 15, 2008 3:45pm
Quoting youalreadykn
Again, my comments were directed towards EUR pairs, including EUR/AUD.

As for Citigroup... they fired their CEO for a reason. None of this was a surprise and the rumor earlier in the week was $25B in writedowns so the number came in better than rumored. In November, the writedowns were too big for the market to handle. Now, the writedowns are too small as commented by some?

The markets are selling the rumor and then panic selling the news. I consider it irrational, but what do I matter in the grand scheme of things.

Intel's EPS and revenues were inline and beat margins. As for revised forecasts... who doesn't expect a ton of companies to revise forward projections given the current economy? Analysts expect $10B and Intel expects $9.4B-10B.

It could get UGLY when the Fed doesn't give everyone the 75bps cut they want.
The market wants Citi to cut all the bad meat off, and they didn't. So ergo the reaction. Intel reported and was off 2 cents on EPS actually
Patience + Humility + Study = Success
  • #1,933
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:53pm Jan 15, 2008 3:53pm
Quoting youalreadykn
As for Citigroup... they fired their CEO for a reason. None of this was a surprise and the rumor earlier in the week was $25B in writedowns so the number came in better than rumored. In November, the writedowns were too big for the market to handle. Now, the writedowns are too small as commented by some?
When all said and done, it's the numbers that matter the most. The expected quarterly EPS was -$1.03. They reported -$1.99.

Quote
Intel's EPS and revenues were inline and beat margins.
Where are you getting this information? Here are the numbers.

EPS:
Avg. Estimate 0.40
Low Estimate 0.38
High Estimate 0.44
Actual: 0.38

Revenue:
Avg. Estimate 10.84B
Low Estimate 10.75B
High Estimate 11.10B
Actual: 10.7B
  • #1,934
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:55pm Jan 15, 2008 3:55pm
Quoting Subdude
When all said and done, it's the numbers that matter the most. The expected quarterly EPS was -$1.03. They reported -$1.99.


Where are you getting this information? Here are the numbers.

EPS:
Avg. Estimate 0.40
Low Estimate 0.38
High Estimate 0.44
Actual: 0.39

Revenue:
Avg. Estimate 10.84B
Low Estimate 10.75B
High Estimate 11.10B
Actual: 10.7B
EPS was 0.40 per Bloomberg, but let me check some other sources.
  • #1,935
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:56pm Jan 15, 2008 3:56pm
Quoting youalreadykn
EPS was 0.40 per Bloomberg, but let me check some other sources.
http://www.intc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=...&p=irol-irhome
  • #1,936
  • Jan 15, 2008 3:58pm Jan 15, 2008 3:58pm
Quoting Subdude
http://www.intc.com/phoenix.zhtml?c=...&p=irol-irhome
Thanks, just checked a Reuters source that said 0.38. Ouch.
  • #1,937
  • Jan 15, 2008 4:12pm Jan 15, 2008 4:12pm
I am looking at the downward fall to continue to around 8720. Couldn't close above the 9000 mark, now has retraced through lower boundary. Any other thoughts?
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  • #1,938
  • Jan 15, 2008 4:14pm Jan 15, 2008 4:14pm
Quoting TheRas
I am looking at the downward fall to continue to around 8720. Couldn't close above the 9000 mark, now has retraced through lower boundary. Any other thoughts?
It should continue lower due to risk aversion. How far, I can't say but I would like to see it at August lows.
Humble Lifetime Member
  • #1,939
  • Jan 15, 2008 4:30pm Jan 15, 2008 4:30pm
At that level i would be itching to go long.
  • #1,940
  • Jan 15, 2008 4:36pm Jan 15, 2008 4:36pm
Quoting TheRas
At that level i would be itching to go long.

I would definitely go long at that level. If we a major carry trade unwind happen (which we probably will see, soon), that would be a good level to go long. Earn positive % + the pips = $$$.
Humble Lifetime Member
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