Trading the Supermodel Indicator | Page 3 | Forex Factory

Options

Go to
Permalinks
Print Thread

Similar Threads

Adding an indicator to an indicator 11 replies

How to program the std indicator to take to take price from other indicator windows 0 replies

Indicator of the indicator 11 replies

Indicator/Trendline Pips indicator 2 replies

add indicator to an Indicator 4 replies

Trading the Supermodel Indicator

  • #41
  • Dec 27, 2007 11:49am Dec 27, 2007 11:49am
I would think a power stations would hedge itself from the rising costs of pollution as it will inevitably be asked to make power more pollution free, ie, adding coal scrubbers, etc. Also a hedge against the rising costs of emergency repairs, ie. during the recent US Midwest ice storms.

I also worked for a large nuclear station holding company and, as Phil says, there s no pollution button. Quite the contrary, such events are viewed as disasters for all involved.

Quoting semar
this line doesn't impose me too much trust...
Let me guess, they will call power stations to turn ON their pollution mode, so they can make millions. The same trick enron pulled with energy lines in california, if i'm right?

Again, In the future I what to extend my learning in economic, not in geography or physics to be able to tell where pollution clouds will go
In trading, there is no bullshit. You either make money or you don't.
  • #42
  • Dec 27, 2007 11:55am Dec 27, 2007 11:55am
Quoting mrgreen
I would think a power stations would hedge itself from the rising costs of pollution as it will inevitably be asked to make power more pollution free, ie, adding coal scrubbers, etc. Also a hedge against the rising costs of emergency repairs, ie. during the recent US Midwest ice storms.
The cost of cleaning up emissions can be partially offset by selling excess pollution credits that are no longer needed. The system works.
  • #43
  • Dec 27, 2007 12:50pm Dec 27, 2007 12:50pm
I was only joking, I didn't speak serious, but I'm serious when I say this guys doesn't get my trust
"Abandon all hope, you who enter here" La Divina Commedia, Dante Alighieri
  • #44
  • Jan 12, 2008 4:29pm Jan 12, 2008 4:29pm
My supermodel indicator, a.k.a. cabdriver or grandmother indicator, is indicating things might be fairly close to a bottom now. That doesn't mean things can't go down a bit more or that markets will take off immediately, but I think now is a good time to at least put something like 10% of your overall portfolio into an index ETF like the Rydex S&P Equal Weight Fund.


  • #45
  • Jan 13, 2008 6:05am Jan 13, 2008 6:05am
Quoting NewstraderFX
My supermodel indicator, a.k.a. cabdriver or grandmother indicator, is indicating things might be fairly close to a bottom now. That doesn't mean things can't go down a bit more or that markets will take off immediately, but I think now is a good time to at least put something like 10% of your overall portfolio into an index ETF like the Rydex S&P Equal Weight Fund.

So do you feel that after 2 months this scenario
http://forexfactory.com/showpost.php...6&postcount=62
http://forexfactory.com/showpost.php...11&postcount=8

has turned around and that the bear market has ended/is ending soon?

If so, how has your (in my perception of those earlier posts)pessimism about the Fed's ability to affect a change with cuts and interventions or where you simply saying the bear markt has a timer on it until the next cut?

I am just having trouble coping with the timeframes/terminology involved since I'm trying to think bull/bear cycle in terms of something preferably approaching years rather than weeks. (i.e. I don't believe in all this hairsplitting 5M trend 15m 1h 4h trend nonsense, there is only one real trend and that's the one moving the weekly and monthly charts around).

Just trying to figure out whether I'm just thinking wrong or whether the relations were different or so forth, especially since things like the normal state discussion seemed very, very macro and now scale seems to constantly shift and I simply can't wrap my head around any of this readjusting reality where every big announcement suddenly makes everything different again every few weeks.

I'm really, really simple minded in that regard. Either things are going into the crapper and market down, or it isn't and it's going up. I only have two buttons; I only have two choices. So I really would like to settle on one side eventually
Trust price. Know yourself.
  • #46
  • Jan 13, 2008 12:50pm Jan 13, 2008 12:50pm
Quoting philmcgrew
As for weak economic argument there are a number of scientists that would argue that warming and cooling cycles have occured since the beginning and would consider the panic itself weak.

They also have evidence to show that warm cycles were followed by ice ages. Which have been many, not just one like we were told in school.
The movie "day after tomorrow" is actually a viable scenario in which the North Atlantic current can change because of all the fresh water being dumped into the sea by melting ice. And if that happens no more summers on the beach in France. Some leading scientists say it wouldn't take really harsh winters to put us into an ice age but really mild summers in which the ice and snow stop melting and reflected the suns rays back into the atmosphere. But then again no two scientist can agree on what color is green, and none of this will probably happen in our lifetime.
Just Trade It
  • #47
  • Jan 13, 2008 1:16pm Jan 13, 2008 1:16pm
just make enough money in the forex, and buy your way out of the next ice age or global warming...buy a spacestation and float above it till it all gets worked out....remember to get fast speed internet though........you'll want to keep trading....
  • #48
  • Jan 13, 2008 5:52pm Jan 13, 2008 5:52pm
Quoting SeekingLight
So do you feel that after 2 months this scenario
http://forexfactory.com/showpost.php...6&postcount=62
http://forexfactory.com/showpost.php...11&postcount=8
has turned around and that the bear market has ended/is ending soon?
Since the first post on Nov 11, G/J has gone from 231 to 212-that's 1900 pips

The DOW has gone from 13,040 to 12,600 (-3.37%) and the S&P has done about the same.

Quoting SeekingLight

If so, how has your (in my perception of those earlier posts)pessimism about the Fed's ability to affect a change with cuts and interventions or where you simply saying the bear markt has a timer on it until the next cut?

I am just having trouble coping with the timeframes/terminology involved since I'm trying to think bull/bear cycle in terms of something preferably approaching years rather than weeks. (i.e. I don't believe in all this hairsplitting 5M trend 15m 1h 4h trend nonsense, there is only one real trend and that's the one moving the weekly and monthly charts around).

Just trying to figure out whether I'm just thinking wrong or whether the relations were different or so forth, especially since things like the normal state discussion seemed very, very macro and now scale seems to constantly shift and I simply can't wrap my head around any of this readjusting reality where every big announcement suddenly makes everything different again every few weeks.

I'm really, really simple minded in that regard. Either things are going into the crapper and market down, or it isn't and it's going up. I only have two buttons; I only have two choices. So I really would like to settle on one side eventually
The best thing I can tell you is that things have changed now. The fed is going to be far more aggressive in lowering rates and there is the fiscal stimulus package too.

That does not mean that housing has bottomed or that there will not be a couple of weak quarters-but now that the Fed is giving the market what it wants I believe they will be looking 6-9 months out and seeing a turnaround.
  • #49
  • Jan 13, 2008 6:35pm Jan 13, 2008 6:35pm
Quoting NewstraderFX
Since the first post on Nov 11, G/J has gone from 231 to 212-that's 1900 pips

The DOW has gone from 13,040 to 12,600 (-3.37%) and the S&P has done about the same.
Well yea, but the DJI can move 500 points in but 2 days and GJ dropped all of 1800+ pips in just 3 weeks...during the first unwind step it fell 2400 pips in 3 weeks..dimensions literally explode when conditions excaberate moves :o

Quote
The best thing I can tell you is that things have changed now. The fed is going to be far more aggressive in lowering rates and there is the fiscal stimulus package too.

That does not mean that housing has bottomed or that there will not be a couple of weak quarters-but now that the Fed is giving the market what it wants I believe they will be looking 6-9 months out and seeing a turnaround.

Hmmm...well given the 3 weeks examples above, if we really have another 6 months "playtime" left minimum, then all it takes is a few stoploss dominos to topple again and things can go a lot of places rather swiftly(the biggest price gaps happened in the shortest span of time both up and down).

Well, one way or another it'll be interesting...so you think the market / investors and the "general consensus" as well as the "big thinkers" will already be appeased by "swift action", "growth instead of inflation bias" and "immediate action" packs and measures?
Given a 6-9 month time horizon of adjustment, then?
Trust price. Know yourself.
  • #50
  • Jan 13, 2008 7:50pm Jan 13, 2008 7:50pm
I do and I'm looking at it this way.

Last Friday is my dividing line. For now, as long as the indices and G/J are above their Friday closing prices-I'm long.
  • #51
  • Feb 5, 2008 4:45am Feb 5, 2008 4:45am
Just wanted to say the same magazine here("Der Spiegel") that titled "USD crash" before EURUSD lost several hundred pips had the big bank crash on the title on the 28th of January(weekly magazine release), covering the events of the emergency 0.75 bps panic cut on Tuesday the week before and the Davos meeting.

Ironically it's all recession talk and deep red tint; whereas the markets have been moving upwards since.

Maybe I should start endorsing indicators again...in magazine cover form!
Trust price. Know yourself.
  • #52
  • Feb 8, 2008 7:50am Feb 8, 2008 7:50am
How about the EMAIL SPAM indicator?

Until recently, I used to get all kinds of offers in my spam box for easy credit/mortgages with no regard to my credit rating or my ability to make the payments...

Now things have changed: I am receiving more and more spam mail that keep offering me a way out of debt or foreclosure "consulting", and not so many offers for easy credit.

Unfortunately the "GAIN 36 INCHES OF LENGTH" mail is still in full force. No matter how much people are in debt, they're still ready to shell out for that.
  • #53
  • Apr 2, 2008 11:36am Apr 2, 2008 11:36am
The "how white is Bernanke's beard getting" indicator?
  • #54
  • Last Post: Apr 2, 2008 4:20pm Apr 2, 2008 4:20pm
the beard is a lagging indicator. i think the crackle in his voice is a MUCH more timely.
Relax and be happy.
0 traders viewing now