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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #27,561
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:12am Aug 29, 2007 8:12am
Where can I go long/short YUAN?? :
.
  • #27,562
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:12am Aug 29, 2007 8:12am
Quoting cesarnc
One thing I know. At 0200 bravado is showing up :
  • #27,563
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:17am Aug 29, 2007 8:17am
Quoting pino2
Who/what is your friend pino2??
.
  • #27,564
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:17am Aug 29, 2007 8:17am
Quoting cesarnc
Cīmon, turtle. If you cannot draw a freaking triangle, you better off getting back to Paint Brush instead of MT4



Just kidding... AS we say in Brazil, "I lose the friend, but I don't lose the joke"
Hey, I now everything you say is just in fun and I don't take anything seriously...I laugh at myself right along with ya.....that's what makes these slow times go by faster.......

It's not that I can't draw...just didn't know from what points...that's why I'm still learning...
  • #27,565
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:19am Aug 29, 2007 8:19am
Quoting bullrock
Who/what is your friend pino2??
Excuse me, I didn't understand you
  • #27,566
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:20am Aug 29, 2007 8:20am
Quoting cesarnc
Under panic, the market
- flocks into Treasurys (among other safe heavens), pushing dollar up
- unwind carry trades going back to yen, the currency that is borrowed because of the tiny interest.

When risk apetite is back, the market
- get out of Treasurys (and others) and get back to higher yields
- get back to carry trades and go to higher yields.
Can't believe I didn't mortgage my house and granny and botty to megashort the DOW at 14,000 - I kept saying to myself 'the market can remain irrational longer than you can stay liquid' - I kept saying it over and over

That Keynes feller convinced me from the grave and I lost out on a huge opportunity...

If they stick another 100 foot on top of the leaning tower of Pisa - it WILL fall down.

need more courage next time I see something like that...

ps have not had an offer on my UK house since mid may - reduced it big style twice - nothing

mid 90's here we come...

ps - it isn't in Darwen !
  • #27,567
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:20am Aug 29, 2007 8:20am
Quoting Turtle
Hey, I now everything you say is just in fun and I don't take anything seriously...I laugh at myself right along with ya.....that's what makes these slow times go by faster.......
How about recording the price action on 5 min chart for a day and then to replay it in say 10 minutes 50 times??? That would give you some thril...
.
  • #27,568
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:22am Aug 29, 2007 8:22am
thanks cesarnc... you're good man

Quoting cesarnc
Under panic, the market
- flocks into Treasurys (among other safe heavens), pushing dollar up
- unwind carry trades going back to yen, the currency that is borrowed because of the tiny interest.

When risk apetite is back, the market
- get out of Treasurys (and others) and get back to higher yields
- get back to carry trades and go to higher yields.
"Invest With The Insiders, Not The Masses" George Muzea
  • #27,569
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:23am Aug 29, 2007 8:23am
Quoting cesarnc
Under panic, the market
- unwind carry trades going back to yen, the currency that is borrowed because of the tiny interest.
If nikkei is up, I should be shorting gj, uj, ej is this right?
  • #27,570
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:31am Aug 29, 2007 8:31am
  •  CWH
  • | Joined Feb 2007 | Status: United We Buy, Divided We Sell | 249 Posts
Another attempt at 2.0155...........

"If, at first, you don't succeed, try, try, try again" - Winston Churchill
  • #27,571
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:31am Aug 29, 2007 8:31am
Quoting koyang
If nikkei is up, I should be shorting gj, uj, ej is this right?
No. What I see is that nikkei is not messing with Yen so hard as the US market.

There are preemptive unwinding just ahead of Tokyo and China open and that's all.

But when China tumbles, then shorting those pairs is a good idea.
  • #27,572
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:33am Aug 29, 2007 8:33am
Dow +100 in the first 2 minutes

That's what I'm talking about...
  • #27,573
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:42am Aug 29, 2007 8:42am
Quoting pino2
Excuse me, I didn't understand you
You said the tren is not your friend....
.
  • #27,574
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:47am Aug 29, 2007 8:47am
Quoting bullrock
You said the tren is not your friend....
yeah but trying to build a relationship
  • #27,575
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:52am Aug 29, 2007 8:52am
"Thoughts of a decent rally this week rest largely on the hope that Ben Bernanke will address the slowing economy at his Jackson Hole speech this Friday. They are emphasizing that, since the FOMC meeting August 7th, things HAVE changed, the Fed HAS seen more risk (e.g. they cut the discount rate), and Mr. Bernanke will address those increased risks on Friday. Also on Friday: personal consumption expenditure (PCE), a look at inflation at the consumer level. A lower PCE number will make it easier for the Fed to cut rates at its Sept. 18th meeting.

After that, traders are looking to the beginning of the roadshow for the First Data LBO financing, which will begin next week. Traders note that a warm reception will make a huge difference to the markets."

Pray, soros-jr... That's your only chance to get back to the market soon
  • #27,576
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:52am Aug 29, 2007 8:52am
Today i have the chance of going B/E if i see a major rejection or a certain price.

Please... no "Meryll Linch" BS today... or i'll ask BIN LADEN himself to take care of that panic crows.
  • #27,577
  • Aug 29, 2007 8:56am Aug 29, 2007 8:56am
Quoting cesarnc
"Thoughts of a decent rally this week rest largely on the hope that Ben Bernanke will address the slowing economy at his Jackson Hole speech this Friday. They are emphasizing that, since the FOMC meeting August 7th, things HAVE changed, the Fed HAS seen more risk (e.g. they cut the discount rate), and Mr. Bernanke will address those increased risks on Friday. Also on Friday: personal consumption expenditure (PCE), a look at inflation at the consumer level. A lower PCE number will make it easier for the Fed to cut rates at its Sept. 18th meeting.

After that, traders are looking to the beginning of the roadshow for the First Data LBO financing, which will begin next week. Traders note that a warm reception will make a huge difference to the markets."

Pray, soros-jr... That's your only chance to get back to the market soon
I don't think he will say anything..in hopes the market will correct itself..but by 9/18 if that is happening...RATE CUT.......
  • #27,578
  • Aug 29, 2007 9:00am Aug 29, 2007 9:00am
Quoting Turtle
I don't think he will say anything..in hopes the market will correct itself..but by 9/18 if that is happening...RATE CUT.......
When BRAVADO appears
.
  • #27,579
  • Aug 29, 2007 9:18am Aug 29, 2007 9:18am
Everybody quite. Everybody nervous?

I'm not... Just my head feels like it's going to pop
  • #27,580
  • Aug 29, 2007 9:22am Aug 29, 2007 9:22am
Just scalping right now......pound having trouble getting over 0160...DOW loss 20-40 points since that magic 100 number was reached.....thin volume trading....makes you have to be a quick thinker........
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