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  • #4,141
  • Mar 31, 2026 8:31am Mar 31, 2026 8:31am
Quoting Blalala
{quote} Hi ema, I’ve drawn those levels on my chart and traded them using patterns like inside bars, outside bars, rejection setups, etc. (I usually wait for a push and then trade the pullback and at the beginning of the US session and only GU and EU.) However, I find that these patterns tend to work less than 50% of the time, and the stop loss is quite wide, with R:R rarely greater than 1. Could you give me some suggestions to improve the probability?
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Today' EU and GU at London Open 8am EU {image} GU {image} ...
There a few things which you need to work on to improve profitability which I will talk about in this thread starting next month.
But first you need to work on trading those price action patterns and achieve consistency in trading those price action patterns.

Here are my trades closed Mar 30. You can learn from these for a start.

EU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EU Mar 30 trades closed 31-3-2026 8-24-46 am.png Size: 26 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tempFileForShare_20260331-081800 EU.png Size: 45 KB


GU
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Gu Mar 30 trades close 31-3-2026 8-20-42 am.png Size: 22 KB

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Gu Mar 30 trades close 31-3-2026 8-20-42 am.png Size: 22 KB



...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tempFileForShare_20260331-090617 GU.png Size: 75 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,142
  • Mar 31, 2026 9:34am Mar 31, 2026 9:34am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {quote} There a few things which you need to work on to improve profitability which I will talk about in this thread starting next month. But first you need to work on trading those price action patterns and achieve consistency in trading those price action patterns. Here are my trades closed Mar 30. You can learn from these for a start. EU {image} {image} GU {image} {image} ... {image}
Thanks your chart , But could you explain why you enter at this tight range ,it seems that there are no pattern at there . If I was position , I would enter after the big bar breakout close
Thank you
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #4,143
  • Mar 31, 2026 9:46am Mar 31, 2026 9:46am
Quoting zkchyo
{quote} Nice. I need to practice more. Will you enter these 1m/5m trades? The stress level high rocket to the moon...
the real focus should be on yourself not others which time frame that you are most comfortable with after keeping track over a period of time.
ITB - Seeing Orderliness amongst 'Randomness'
  • #4,144
  • Mar 31, 2026 10:24am Mar 31, 2026 10:24am
Quoting Inthebox
{quote} the real focus should be on yourself not others which time frame that you are most comfortable with after keeping track over a period of time.
Thank you. I'll stick to 15m and 30m for now.
  • #4,145
  • Mar 31, 2026 12:06pm Mar 31, 2026 12:06pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {quote} There a few things which you need to work on to improve profitability which I will talk about in this thread starting next month. But first you need to work on trading those price action patterns and achieve consistency in trading those price action patterns. Here are my trades closed Mar 30. You can learn from these for a start. EU {image} {image} GU {image} {image} ... {image}
I can see a slight divergence between ( EU and GU) positively correlated pair. Kindly reconfirm sir.
  • #4,146
  • Mar 31, 2026 5:37pm Mar 31, 2026 5:37pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} {quote} There a few things which you need to work on to improve profitability which I will talk about in this thread starting next month. But first you need to work on trading those price action patterns and achieve consistency in trading those price action patterns. Here are my trades closed Mar 30. You can learn from these for a start. EU {image} {image} GU {image} {image} ... {image}
Hi EM. Would you mind sharing your trade management model? How do you scale-out positions and move SL for protection?
  • #4,147
  • Mar 31, 2026 8:33pm Mar 31, 2026 8:33pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
UJ Mar 31 London 9am - is 9am the right time ? - is the 4Hr is the right time ? {image} ...

UJ Apr01 Tokyo 10am 4Hr *LIVE*

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ Apr 01 NiTS 1-4-2026 9-30-59 am.png Size: 66 KB

...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,148
  • Mar 31, 2026 8:42pm Mar 31, 2026 8:42pm
AU Apr01 Tokyo 10am *LIVE*

- first trading day of the new month

- Daily SnR

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AU Apr01 Daily SnR 1-4-2026 9-40-32 am.png Size: 62 KB


...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,149
  • Edited 11:22pm Mar 31, 2026 11:08pm | Edited 11:22pm
Good trade today on Nikkei.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 44 KB


After market open, price has 2 types of intentions.
1. Price moves to a level to collect more orders.
2. Price starts a move and continues a move. (impulsive move could be before or after the open)

For 1, check HTF levels. It could be double tops/bottoms setup or just a pullback from a HTF perspective.
For 2, prepare for 1-2-3 or imp&pb setup.

Either one setup happens first, go with it as long as it's not in the dead zone.

Price retraced back to a support level and I entered when price crossed over the previous candle's close. I still out early around 4R. 7.5R is hard from psychological perspective but hope I'll get there one day.

There's a better trade after 11 AM but it violates 1.5 hour rule.
  • #4,150
  • Apr 1, 2026 12:44am Apr 1, 2026 12:44am
Quoting emmanuel7788
{quote} Yesterday was not the best day BUT closing the trade before the New York session was the right decision. {image} {image} ... {image}

BTC April01 London 6am *LIVE* ... a new day and a new month

- watching the 4Hr price action at key Daily SnR

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: BTC Apr01 H4 at Daily SnR 1-4-2026 1-41-29 pm.png Size: 76 KB


...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,151
  • Apr 1, 2026 1:18am Apr 1, 2026 1:18am
Quoting zkchyo
{quote} Hi EM. Would you mind sharing your trade management model? How do you scale-out positions and move SL for protection?

Very good questions:

First, your Trade Management must be based on your trade Entry and Exit Strategy of your trading system.

Your Entry and Exit Strategy must be based on prevailing Market Type conditions.

Under current market type conditions - hourly volatile conditions because of geopolitical situations in the Middle-East and also in Europe.

My trade entry is based on the Daily and the 4Hr trade windows. Taking in view the confluence of Monthly SnR levels, the Weekly SnR levels and the Daily SnR levels. Most trade entries are on the 1Hr price action with timing on the M30, M15 and also M5.

My Exit strategy is the grab the pips during the first 1 to 3 hours in the 4Hr trade windows. Remember, every 4Hr trade window is something happening - market session closing, new market session opening, news and event, etc.
Exit Strategy include Capital Protection after trade entry, i.e. in the event price pulls back after certain number of pips, I exit to preserve trading margin.
Exit Strategy include Time-based exit - i.e. if the trade did not move after the 2 and 3 candle, I exit with a loss.

Example of UJ trades this week:

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ Apr01 trades closed 1-4-2026 12-07-03 pm.png Size: 23 KB


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: tempFileForShare_20260401-121311 UJ Mar31.png Size: 54 KB

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Click to Enlarge Name: tempFileForShare_20260401-120625 Uj Apr01.png Size: 36 KB
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,152
  • Apr 1, 2026 1:26am Apr 1, 2026 1:26am
XAU April01

"Arjun candle"

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAU April 01 NiTS h1 Arjun candle 1-4-2026 2-23-27 pm.png Size: 59 KB


...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,153
  • Apr 1, 2026 1:50am Apr 1, 2026 1:50am
EURNZD Apr01

- today is start of a new month,

- there is no bearish reversal BUT long-term buyers exiting,

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EN Apr01 H4 tech end-of-trend 1-4-2026 2-47-43 pm.png Size: 72 KB


...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,154
  • Apr 1, 2026 7:20pm Apr 1, 2026 7:20pm
Quoting emmanuel7788
XAU April01 "Arjun candle" {image} ...

XAU Apr 02 Tokyo 9am

- price action at Daily SnR

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAU Apr02 TOK9am 2-4-2026 8-06-48 am.png Size: 67 KB



...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,155
  • Apr 6, 2026 9:30pm Apr 6, 2026 9:30pm
Nikkei

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 56 KB
  • #4,156
  • Apr 6, 2026 10:43pm Apr 6, 2026 10:43pm
UJ 5R
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 39 KB
  • #4,157
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:17am Apr 7, 2026 3:17am
EURUSD Apr07 Price Action at Daily SnR

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD Apr07 Daily SnR 7-4-2026 4-14-53 pm.png Size: 68 KB


...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,158
  • Apr 7, 2026 3:24am Apr 7, 2026 3:24am
XAU Apr07 target 4758 Daily SnR


Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: XAU Apr09 target 4758 7-4-2026 4-23-26 pm.png Size: 67 KB

...
Honesty is a very expensive gift. You wont find it in cheap people.WBuffett
  • #4,159
  • Apr 7, 2026 4:06am Apr 7, 2026 4:06am
DAX

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: screenshot.webp Size: 60 KB


I was at the meeting... so I missed this 7.5R trade. Instead, I only got 1.8R.
There was a big move around 16:00~16:30. (UTC+8) Looks like some HFT algorithms reacted to the news. I remember Rob once showed a NFP trade example. It makes me believe that everything is set up already for a move. There was an old blog called Kewltech sharing the same point of view.
  • #4,160
  • Apr 7, 2026 4:27am Apr 7, 2026 4:27am
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