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F/m Investments’ Washington, D.C., office is just a short drive from the Federal Reserve’s headquarters. But under the central bank’s new leadership, CEO Alexander Morris has found the distance feeling far greater. Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh embarked on an overhaul of the central bank’s forward-looking communication since taking the post in May. That move ...
China's economy has some big problems. Here are just some of the recent data points that should worry global markets: China's Q2-2026 GDP came in at 4.3% - well below its 5% annual target and the lowest in 3.5 years1. Births fell to 7.92 million in 2025 - down 17% from 20242 - and the lowest count since records began in 1949. New home prices fell 3.3% ...
Over the past several years, Wall Street and Washington, D.C., have grown used to being able to reliably predict what the Federal Reserve would do at its interest-rate meeting, weeks before the gathering took place. But now we're in a new era. Instead of guiding the market toward the likely outcome of the upcoming meeting, the new Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, ...
From economics.bmo.com | Jul 18, 2026
This is an unusual time for markets, with a reasonable debate for both sides on whether the next move by central banks will be to hike or cut interest rates. Certainly, markets are leaning to at least one hike by the Fed and perhaps half of one by the Bank of Canada by the end of 2026, but there’s not much conviction. All it would take to wash away those ...
A Hudson Bay Capital think piece by Roubini and Miran is normally a five-alarm macro bin fire, except their latest also has the highly respected Peter Ireland as co-author. The paper, A return to monetarism?, reads very much like something Peter would write and nothing at all like anything Roubini or Miran have produced before. But if Peter has brought them ...
Markets are pricing in at least one more interest-rate increase from the U.S. Federal Reserve this year following hotter inflation data and a more hawkish tone from policymakers. Consumer prices rose 3.5% in the year through June, less than markets expected and a slowdown from 4.2% in May, which was the highest annual increase in three years. Meanwhile, new ...
From notayesmanseconomics.wordpress.com | Jul 17, 2026
This morning has brought news on an issue that is usually apart from on here hidden in the shadows. In the Covid pandemic period central banks became Lords of all they surveyed in government bond markets. Along the way they became very popular in establishment circles as these purchases drove bond yields lower and allowed governments to borrow very cheaply ...
From channelnewsasia.com | Jul 17, 2026
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on Friday the government will pursue steps that encourage investment in domestic financial assets by households and state pension funds including Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF). Under law, investments by state pension funds must be conducted exclusively for the benefit of those insured and, from a ...
BoJ to keep rate unchanged at July meeting - Kyodo
Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi says the government will promote investment in domestic financial assets, including by households and pension funds like GPIF. TAKAICHI: ENCOURAGING GPIF INVESTMENT IN JAPAN ASSETS IS KEY TAKAICHI: GPIF INVESTING IN DOMESTIC ASSETS WOULD HELP ECONOMY
- pewebly replied 5 hr ago
AUDJPY M5 BUY I am working on a signal system that can reduce my screen time while hopefully keeping or even improving the success rate. Here is a SUPER buy signal with all ...
Trading Made Simple(r) -
vvFish replied 12 hr ago20/07 15:30 CAD CPI m/m 21/07 1:45 NZD CPI g/g 9:00 GBP Claimant Count Change 23/07 4:30 AUD Employment Change 15:15 EUR Main Refinancing Rate
News trading discussion - continuation -
TerryDawe replied Jul 18, 2026WCC in effect since April with two false breaks since then. Price swinging from top to bottom of WCC and based on this thread philosophy no clear PASR signals to go short at this ...
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