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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #873,021
  • Mar 17, 2026 9:31am Mar 17, 2026 9:31am
GU plan:
Still leaning bearish while below resistance.

  1. Sell zone: 1.2780 – 1.2800
  2. SL: above clean breakout
  3. Targets: 1.2700 / 1.2650

Price keeps reacting weak on pushes up, looks like distribution before next leg down.
Not chasing lows, only interested in selling rallies.

XAUUSD EA Dev | M1 | Live Testing Private group (limited) – see profile
  • #873,022
  • Mar 17, 2026 9:52am Mar 17, 2026 9:52am
Quoting ricmaj
{quote} Is that short not to early? thought you were looking for shorts around 1.338ish zone ?
I decided to start the shorts from 1.3342 all the way to 1.3384 area.

Quoting Guy1969
{quote} I'm waiting for 1.550 on EU and 1.3364 on GU.
1.55 on EU... Typo I guess
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #873,023
  • Mar 17, 2026 9:58am Mar 17, 2026 9:58am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} I decided to start the shorts from 1.3342 all the way to 1.3384 area. {quote} 1.55 on EU... Typo I guess
Those corresponds to downward H4 trend lines, the price levels/zones posted for EU and GU will be my ideal short entries.
  • #873,024
  • Mar 17, 2026 10:21am Mar 17, 2026 10:21am
Quoting Guy1969
{quote} Those corresponds to downward H4 trend lines, the price levels/zones posted for EU and GU will be my ideal short entries.
This time last week, we already had 200 pips bounce off the low... And thereafter price still went to attack the low with much force.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #873,025
  • Mar 17, 2026 10:59am Mar 17, 2026 10:59am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} This time last week, we already had 200 pips bounce off the low... And thereafter price still went to attack the low with much force.
Yes, the H1 breakout on risk is keeping me to scalp long. I'm scalping into the zones I posted earlier, for AU I'm targeting 0.7165, and NZ 0.5902. I'm up 250p so far this week, so another 250p for my weekly pip target.
  • #873,026
  • Mar 17, 2026 12:02pm Mar 17, 2026 12:02pm
Quoting Georginson
{quote} This time last week, we already had 200 pips bounce off the low... And thereafter price still went to attack the low with much force.

considerring tmr’s news… i would expect only 1.33 to 1.34 max range… if it goes slowly up.. tmr they will crush it with the news…
  • #873,027
  • Mar 17, 2026 12:16pm Mar 17, 2026 12:16pm
Throwing one more trade into the risk mix, GBPCAD, long target 1.8340.
  • #873,028
  • Mar 17, 2026 12:33pm Mar 17, 2026 12:33pm
Quoting Fishbones
{quote} considerring tmr’s news… i would expect only 1.33 to 1.34 max range… if it goes slowly up.. tmr they will crush it with the news…
So many big news tomorrow but none bigger than the current War in Iran / Israel. Last time war broke out in Ukraine/Russia price collapsed to 1.03 + Liz Truss failed tax reform.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #873,029
  • Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm Mar 17, 2026 12:45pm
Quoting Georginson
{quote} So many big news tomorrow but none bigger than the current War in Iran / Israel. Last time war broke out in Ukraine/Russia price collapsed to 1.03 + Liz Truss failed tax reform.
This time round, the war has retail chasing shorts, and the smart money is plowing into stops, manipulating the trend to benefit them. Knowing what they're up to, we can hurt them at their own game. A risk crash is coming, and my timeline has it toward the latter part of tomorrow, running into Thursday.
  • #873,030
  • Mar 17, 2026 1:22pm Mar 17, 2026 1:22pm
GU at 1.3364, but the M30 says there's more bulls, keeping long.
  • #873,031
  • Edited 3:34pm Mar 17, 2026 1:49pm | Edited 3:34pm
Quoting Georginson
{quote} So many big news tomorrow but none bigger than the current War in Iran / Israel. Last time war broke out in Ukraine/Russia price collapsed to 1.03 + Liz Truss failed tax reform.
we are 20 days in this new war now

Ucraine war initial fall of GBPUSD was 600pips 24.02.2022 price 1.3620 -> 15.03.2022 price 1.30
followed by a 7days bounce to 1.33 between 16.03-23.03.2022
going back down to 1.30 in 15 D1 candles before hard fall in 6 D1 to 1.242

This war, except the start date which is weird similar, doesn t seems to reflect the same pattern?... I mean after initial fall we actualy had a move up breaking the high of the war beginnings, which suggest different pattern?...
  • #873,032
  • Mar 17, 2026 4:39pm Mar 17, 2026 4:39pm
Quoting Fishbones
{quote} we are 20 days in this new war now Ucraine war initial fall of GBPUSD was 600pips 24.02.2022 price 1.3620 -> 15.03.2022 price 1.30 followed by a 7days bounce to 1.33 between 16.03-23.03.2022 going back down to 1.30 in 15 D1 candles before hard fall in 6 D1 to 1.242 This war, except the start date which is weird similar, doesn t seems to reflect the same pattern?... I mean after initial fall we actualy had a move up breaking the high of the war beginnings, which suggest different pattern?...
Yes, this pattern is somewhat weird and different.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #873,033
  • Mar 17, 2026 6:24pm Mar 17, 2026 6:24pm
Adjusting GBPCAD long target to > 1.8385
  • #873,034
  • Mar 17, 2026 10:19pm Mar 17, 2026 10:19pm
Short CADJPY, target 115.00, short AUDJPY, target 111.85
  • #873,035
  • Mar 18, 2026 12:44am Mar 18, 2026 12:44am
Quoting Guy1969
Timing risk, I expect the DXY to find support @99.200. I'll go short risk there.

99.2 looks good...
dxy is chanelling...


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  • #873,036
  • Edited 1:07am Mar 18, 2026 12:56am | Edited 1:07am
Quoting Fishbones
{quote} 99.2 looks good... dxy is chanelling... {image}
Yes, might even hit 99.00
  • #873,037
  • Mar 18, 2026 1:38am Mar 18, 2026 1:38am
DXY_H1. Price at the SMA200, watching for a fail and drop to 99.00 zone. M5-M30 all below SMA200. I expect the SMA100 (currently @98.90) on the H4 chart to provide support.
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  • #873,038
  • Mar 18, 2026 2:39am Mar 18, 2026 2:39am
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5' --- Yeah.....I like what I see.. . . . .

  • #873,039
  • Mar 18, 2026 2:43am Mar 18, 2026 2:43am
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H.

  • #873,040
  • Mar 18, 2026 2:56am Mar 18, 2026 2:56am
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