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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #26,581
  • Aug 23, 2007 6:52pm Aug 23, 2007 6:52pm
Quoting VEC
what i would want to know is for how much longer the carry crosses are gonna drag eurusd and gbusd down with them, cant go on forever.. . . and that means i also would like to know for how much longer the dow is going to drag down(and up) gbdusd and eurusd, which really cant go on forever?

if some one could clarify i would be forever thankfull..
Just enjoy the joyride VEC.

It's better to know what is the dragging force so you can chase it. I hate those days I spend running like a mouse in a chicken barn trying to catch up with the market. For me, Dow could call the shots here forever.
  • #26,582
  • Aug 23, 2007 6:58pm Aug 23, 2007 6:58pm
Quoting cesarnc
Just enjoy the joyride VEC.

It's better to know what is the dragging force so you can chase it. I hate those days I spend running like a mouse in a chicken barn trying to catch up with the market. For me, Dow could call the shots here forever.
i suppose thats good advice, and the right way to see things. . .
  • #26,583
  • Aug 23, 2007 7:06pm Aug 23, 2007 7:06pm
Does not take a genius to realize that the dollar is between a rock and a hard place right now.
Good news drives the Dow up...which drags the dollar down.
Bad news brings Ben Bernanke in..... with loads of cash in one hand and a 0.5 interest rate cut (anytime) on the other, which hits the dollar even harder.

Tough situation !!!! The only wild card against this scenario I see right now is the fact that forex is counter intuitive. Otherwise it would be easy right????

So...if suddenly the cable stops behaving like a carry trade and gets itself divorced from the Dow.........huh...can you imagine that ????
For he that would be deceived, let him.
  • #26,584
  • Aug 23, 2007 7:15pm Aug 23, 2007 7:15pm
Quoting hoezhiens
http://www.andyfoulds.co.uk/amusement/bushv2.htm

interesting...
LMAO, make me stop!!! I just can't stop!
btw, in certain moves/angles, his nose looks like a teeny... ok, i'm so not going there in case I'm the only one with a dirty-ish mind who sees it
Cable is my sugardaddy
  • #26,585
  • Aug 23, 2007 7:18pm Aug 23, 2007 7:18pm
Quoting pinchapip
Does not take a genius to realize that the dollar is between a rock and a hard place right now.
Good news drives the Dow up...which drags the dollar down.
Bad news brings Ben Bernanke in..... with loads of cash in one hand and a 0.5 interest rate cut (anytime) on the other, which hits the dollar even harder.

Tough situation !!!! The only wild card against this scenario I see right now is the fact that forex is counter intuitive. Otherwise it would be easy right????

So...if suddenly the cable stops behaving like a carry trade and gets itself divorced from the Dow.........huh...can you imagine that ????
and all of those loads of cash in one of his hand, arent they gonna cause even higher inflation?

are they printing new money? the fed i mean.

and add a possible rate cut to that.
  • #26,586
  • Aug 23, 2007 7:48pm Aug 23, 2007 7:48pm
Quoting VEC
and all of those loads of cash in one of his hand, arent they gonna cause even higher inflation?

are they printing new money? the fed i mean.

and add a possible rate cut to that.
Inflation will dismiss or at least postpone a rate cut VEC...as you probably know.
But I don't think the money that was pumped during the last few days will create inflation that fast

I'm just trying to visualize a possible scenario for the FOREX market to act counter-intuitively.

A Japanese hike ???? Nahhhh....japan is so demoralized that soon they will start paying interest to borrowers.

Well...maybe something is flying under the radar in Europe.....sub-prime here is a done deal...priced...what about if the same problem arises over there. The European banks cashed HEAVILY on the American real estate boom. I heard on bloomberg that yesterday the ECB was still pumping cash into the system.

Who knows !!!!!!!
For he that would be deceived, let him.
  • #26,587
  • Aug 23, 2007 7:57pm Aug 23, 2007 7:57pm
Quoting cesarnc
LOL....

Just put a small long AUDUSD SL 50, trailing 100 to see where it drags me...

Nothing fundamental or techincal... Just like his SMILE
looking good.... that trade is already +35

sorry for grabbing you by the tail buddy. Nothing personal, just business


http://www.wildlifearchives.com/imag...gator-head.jpg

Back by London...
  • #26,588
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:17pm Aug 23, 2007 8:17pm
Quoting pinchapip
Inflation will dismiss or at least postpone a rate cut VEC...as you probably know.
But I don't think the money that was pumped during the last few days will create inflation that fast

I'm just trying to visualize a possible scenario for the FOREX market to act counter-intuitively.

A Japanese hike ???? Nahhhh....japan is so demoralized that soon they will start paying interest to borrowers.

Well...maybe something is flying under the radar in Europe.....sub-prime here is a done deal...priced...what about if the same problem arises over there. The European banks cashed HEAVILY on the American real estate boom. I heard on bloomberg that yesterday the ECB was still pumping cash into the system.

Who knows !!!!!!!
if oil prices start edging up again, as they might, concidering the wintertime in the northern hemisphere is when the demand for oil usually peaks every year, inflation will probobly rise as well. i suppose we should hope for a mild winter wich brings down the demand for oil.

inflation postponing a rate cut thats needed, thats not good at all. .. .

im shure the subprime mess is gonna cause alot of problems here i europe. we might even have our own mortage problems surfacing soon. i know for a fact that the people here in sweden are, relative to normal in this country, extremely in dept.
  • #26,589
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:19pm Aug 23, 2007 8:19pm
Quoting cesarnc
looking good.... that trade is already +35

sorry for grabbing you by the tail buddy. Nothing personal, just business



Back by London...
hehe.

yeah that long aud-trade turned out ok for you i suppose . .. :surprised
  • #26,590
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:31pm Aug 23, 2007 8:31pm
For those of us who look at 40 posts per page - this is page 666.
  • #26,591
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:40pm Aug 23, 2007 8:40pm
Hi everybody, I am BWR and I am drunk not to be confused with an alcoholic because us drunks dont go to meetings, at least thats what I say to make my self feel better, oh yeah analisys go cable go
P.s I am not sober

http://tn3-1.deviantart.com/fs8/300W...by_HamJava.jpg
Just Trade It
  • #26,592
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:48pm Aug 23, 2007 8:48pm
Quoting Big Wave Rider
Hi everybody, I am BWR and I am drunk not to be confused with an alcoholic because us drunks dont go to meetings, at least thats what I say to make my self feel better, oh yeah analisys go cable go
P.s I am not sober

http://tn3-1.deviantart.com/fs8/300W...by_HamJava.jpg

Double beef...double cheese........


Cable let's make another run to 2.0100 before the NY session.....
  • #26,593
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:49pm Aug 23, 2007 8:49pm
ROCK ON JIMI
ROCK ON

http://www.rolfmackowiak.de/images/h...tock-front.jpg
Just Trade It
  • #26,594
  • Aug 23, 2007 8:57pm Aug 23, 2007 8:57pm
LOVE ZEPPELIN TOO


http://scienceblogs.com/insolence/up...plant-page.jpg
Just Trade It
  • #26,595
  • Aug 23, 2007 9:20pm Aug 23, 2007 9:20pm
Alright cable, I feel you going either way (based on a Friday threat of a storm or profit taking day)...


2.0000 and below or 2.0100 firing into next week???????
  • #26,596
  • Aug 23, 2007 11:17pm Aug 23, 2007 11:17pm
prefer Long position

Macd divergency and 2 fast digital filters turn
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  • #26,597
  • Edited 11:25pm Aug 23, 2007 11:24pm | Edited 11:25pm
I can't go on weekend so early, local financial markets here in India are too volatile coz of the political crisis going on, so I've to work today, so I'll be around.

Quote
does any one know if there are any good (M)irc channels for traders, fx-traders, commoditys etc. etc. ???
there are couple good I think but not public, let me know if u find access, just try joining forex, fx etc

will let my eyes remain glued to cable, I'm developing a strategy for today and monday depending on how london morning treats cable.
Hello World!
  • #26,598
  • Aug 23, 2007 11:44pm Aug 23, 2007 11:44pm
What's up Clock.........
  • #26,599
  • Aug 24, 2007 12:14am Aug 24, 2007 12:14am
Quote
What's up Clock.........

well, I'll spend next few hrs figuring out whats been happening behind the curtains during the US session, overselling, overbuying whatever by feeling the behavior and pattern of the chart and depending on that might take shorts if they look good with tight buy stops. No fix strategy though.
Hello World!
  • #26,600
  • Aug 24, 2007 12:25am Aug 24, 2007 12:25am
Waiting to see if this long develops....if not... head to bed and wake up at 10am for the final fireworks of the week.......
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