Merry Christmas one and all, will be back when in profit, sound familiar...{image}
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Cable Update (GBPUSD)
- #870,521
- Dec 22, 2025 10:48pm Dec 22, 2025 10:48pm
- Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Trader | 5,844 Posts
- #870,523
- Dec 23, 2025 12:17am Dec 23, 2025 12:17am
- | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: MMA Pro Wrestler | 17,549 Posts
{quote} CABLE SHORT N3 May this the last trade for 2025 Hope got some luck for this trades. {image}
CABLE
dayummm........
last week trades stopped out........LOL
Trying to scalping SHORT again.........
So for now, markets are relatively quiet—and that makes sense.
We’re in late December with Christmas week.
Things have been slow, and they’ll likely stay that way going into next week as liquidity thins out.
Of course, knowing we’re heading into the holidays, what happens after that is still up in the air.
But just my two cents—I really think now is a good time to take a step back from the markets.
If you do trade, maybe do it with a smaller position size, like 0.05 SA Rand per position
All just my opinion, of course.
Not financial advice.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit:
$15,104
- #870,524
- Dec 23, 2025 12:35am Dec 23, 2025 12:35am
- | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: MMA Pro Wrestler | 17,549 Posts
{quote} CABLE dayummm........ last week trades stopped out........LOL Trying to scalping SHORT again.........
SHORT Scalping.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit:
$15,104
- #870,525
- Dec 23, 2025 12:52am Dec 23, 2025 12:52am
- | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: MMA Pro Wrestler | 17,549 Posts
Merry Christmas one and all, will be back when in profit, sound familiar...
In reality, this is often a loss in disguise—driven by emotion, not discipline.
True profitability is measured by metrics that account for all costs and risks.
Profit Factor (Gross Profit / Gross Loss): Target >1.5. A 1.0 factor leaves no margin for costs.
Risk/Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:1; professionals structure for 1:2 or better to ensure positive expectancy.
Risk-Adjusted Returns (Sharpe/Sortino): Large drawdowns cripple these ratios.
Professionals prioritize strategies with high return per unit of downside risk (Sortino).
Cost-Adjusted Returns: Real profit is net of commissions, spreads, and swap fees.
Overnight financing (swap) can erase thin margins, turning seemingly breakeven trades into net losses.
Mindset Difference:
Amateur: Focuses on individual trades, uses breakeven stops to avoid psychological loss, ignores carrying costs.
Professional: Manages by statistical expectancy.
Prioritizes capital preservation, factors in all costs before entry, and demands robust metrics after fees.
Bottom Line:
A "breakeven" trade after a drawdown is frequently a net loss once costs are included.
From an industry standard, such performance is subpar.
Professional trading is about sustainable, cost-aware profitability—where your edge remains positive after all real-world deductions and drawdowns are systematically controlled.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit:
$15,104
- #870,526
- Dec 23, 2025 1:01am Dec 23, 2025 1:01am
- | Joined Dec 2008 | Status: MMA Pro Wrestler | 17,549 Posts
{quote} Those are mistakenly consider a trade closed at breakeven after a large drawdown as "acceptable."
They often substitute genuine performance metrics with external validation—prioritizing subscriber counts, likes, and views over verified, audited results.
This reflects a mindset more focused on public storytelling than on statistical integrity—as if the ultimate measure of success is earning a celebratory hug from her wife after barely escaping a losing trade with a “breakeven” slip.
It’s the trading equivalent of celebrating a draw as a championship win.
If platforms like Forex Factory were to establish credible rankings, a true professional benchmark might require at least three consecutive months of profitable trading with a maximum drawdown below 3%.
Such a standard would separate marketing narrative from tangible performance, filtering out those who trade for applause from those who trade for sustainable profit.
True professionalism is validated by track records, not follower counts—and certainly not by domestic approval ratings.
I come from the future.
Karen X Mas Bonus 2025 All Time Profit:
$15,104
- #870,527
- Dec 23, 2025 1:54am Dec 23, 2025 1:54am
- Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Trader | 10,371 Posts
5' --- Still LONG . . . SL at 34 79 but . . T.Prfts ~ 1.35 00 is not a bad idea. . . .
- #870,529
- Dec 23, 2025 2:07am Dec 23, 2025 2:07am
- Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Trader | 10,371 Posts
5' --- 1.35 07 is good enough for me . Grab my prfts and out . . .
- #870,530
- Dec 23, 2025 2:25am Dec 23, 2025 2:25am
- Joined Aug 2016 | Status: Trader | 10,371 Posts
5' --- SHORT here , NOW . . .
- #870,531
- Dec 23, 2025 3:15am Dec 23, 2025 3:15am
- Joined Aug 2008 | Status: Trader | 3,976 Posts
Live trade ~ GBPUSD only. No chart! Follow at your own risk!
- #870,535
- Dec 23, 2025 6:51am Dec 23, 2025 6:51am
- Joined Aug 2010 | Status: absolute beginner | 5,463 Posts
GU sell conditions rising:
h4: weekly selling zone reached
m15: TL will soon be broken and sell arrows
h4: weekly selling zone reached
m15: TL will soon be broken and sell arrows
trading is like dancing, don't think and just listen to the music!
The British Pound is finishing the year with a bang!
GBP/USD has officially surged past the 1.3500 psychological level, hitting its highest mark in over ten weeks.
This bullish momentum is being driven by a combination of resilient UK growth data and a sliding US Dollar as markets price in further Fed easing heading into 2026. While the holiday liquidity is thin, the technical breakout above the 200-day moving average suggests that the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Keep your eyes on the US GDP data dropping later today for the next potential catalyst!
Quick Trading Tips:
Bullish Target: 1.3527 (October high) followed by 1.3580.
Support Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450.
Strategy: Look for "buy on dip" opportunities near the 1.3450 level, but be mindful of increased volatility due to pre-holiday thin markets.
GBP/USD has officially surged past the 1.3500 psychological level, hitting its highest mark in over ten weeks.This bullish momentum is being driven by a combination of resilient UK growth data and a sliding US Dollar as markets price in further Fed easing heading into 2026. While the holiday liquidity is thin, the technical breakout above the 200-day moving average suggests that the path of least resistance remains to the upside. Keep your eyes on the US GDP data dropping later today for the next potential catalyst!
Quick Trading Tips:
Bullish Target: 1.3527 (October high) followed by 1.3580.Support Zone: 1.3430 – 1.3450.Strategy: Look for "buy on dip" opportunities near the 1.3450 level, but be mindful of increased volatility due to pre-holiday thin markets.
to err is human
- #870,537
- Dec 23, 2025 8:07am Dec 23, 2025 8:07am
- Joined May 2022 | Status: Trader | 8,020 Posts
The British Pound is finishing the year with a bang!
since the years almost over it a good time to look at the bigdaddy chart
heres a yearly GU chart...a close above that red line at 3506 on the 31st means we shud see price reach that shaded area
thats why i found it incredulous that the idiot gang stayed bearish biased this year even with an idiot in the white house when price is bouncing for 8 years in a range at the alltime lows LOL
if that was a 5 or 15 minute chart what would scalpers be doing?....only the dumbest hedging/averageing traders would be shorting the lows ROFLMAO
dont forget gentlemen thats a yearly chart so it may well take the rest of humptys time in office the next 3 years for price to reach 1.500 or it could do it in one and a half years especially if he starts a war with venezuela
just stay bullish GU for the next 3 years guys
short trump and go long the deepstate
- #870,538
- Dec 23, 2025 10:18am Dec 23, 2025 10:18am
- Joined May 2020 | Status: Best trader ever to exist ever | 10,701 Posts
At the moment I'm a tad bias SHORT GU, heres my method... {image}
- #870,539
- Dec 23, 2025 10:49am Dec 23, 2025 10:49am
- Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Research Analyst | 4,290 Posts
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
- #870,540
- Dec 23, 2025 11:02am Dec 23, 2025 11:02am
- Joined Apr 2021 | Status: Trader | 5,844 Posts
{quote} This is a good analysis but I see some charts in Trump's first year in the first tenure (year 2017) and similar move and similar prices as Trump's First year of his second tenure. Just as year 2017 saw heavy dollar sell off till January 2018, something similar is playing out again as Dollar has heavily sold off in year 2025 and possibly will extend to January for maybe a target of 1.4000 - 1.4200 before Dollar will gain momentum and crash GBPUSD rate to 1.2500 late next year. I will like to look back at this post this same time in year 2026...
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