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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #867,121
  • Oct 15, 2025 11:21am Oct 15, 2025 11:21am
Quoting msqk
{quote} 3370 is my 4hr equilibrium and a close above it is the supply of the said timeframe, so a pullback into the demand area could be a fair ground for a buy. The 1hr equilibrium is adjusting accordingly from 3310-3324 to protect bull structure @ 3333. The structure is awkwardly defined for lack of a better word, hence a good level for a buy. 3413 is 161.8 expansion as minimum TP of the breakout mitigation I mentioned in my earlier post {image}
I already placed a buy limit at 3380.
  • #867,122
  • Oct 15, 2025 11:44am Oct 15, 2025 11:44am
after red and green arrows video

next post is target hit


trading is so easy
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #867,123
  • Oct 15, 2025 11:48am Oct 15, 2025 11:48am
no sell yet but i am waiting for tomorrow


my bias is still down
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MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #867,124
  • Oct 15, 2025 12:20pm Oct 15, 2025 12:20pm
if today closing is below 1.33700 then 1.33000 tommorow maybe
  • #867,125
  • Oct 15, 2025 1:07pm Oct 15, 2025 1:07pm
Quoting hustler
if today closing is below 1.33700 then 1.33000 tommorow maybe
please elaborate why
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #867,126
  • Oct 15, 2025 1:20pm Oct 15, 2025 1:20pm
Quoting ScalaFX
{quote} please elaborate why
that my chart brother i hope you understand
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  • #867,127
  • Oct 15, 2025 1:31pm Oct 15, 2025 1:31pm
EU, short, target 1.1570
  • #867,128
  • Oct 15, 2025 2:24pm Oct 15, 2025 2:24pm
Quoting MrFanciful
{quote} I once looked over 3 years of NFP data, looking for a correlation between the news release and the subsequent market movement. If the news was positive for the dollar, did the dollar go up or down, and vice versa. Half the time the dollar went up, the other half time it went down. Very little correlation. Likewise, I also have looked at simple statistics on the number of bearish and bullish candles, both as individual candles and statistics on consecutive bullish and bearish candles. For individual candles, and all timeframes, the law of...
As someone who trades NFP, CPI, GDP, PCE etc. for years now I think i can give my 2 cents on this topic.

You are right about the fact that there's no strict correlation between the price and the data. So the USD doesn't always go up when the numbers are green on the calendar, nor it always drops when the numbers are red (worse than expected)

The context matters a lot. It is everything. Is the FED hawkish? Dovish? Is there a high possibility that the FED actually act on this data or will they just ignore it?

I will give you a couple examples:

1. FED was very dovish in 2021, CPI and PCE prints were coming up higher than expected almost every month, but the USD was weakening consistently, bc the FED saw the inflation as "transitory" and ignored the inflation prints. They were solely focused on the labour market and growth.

2. In 2022, FED turned hawkish, higher CPI and PCE readings were almost crashing the markets every month, huge losses occured on the US equities and Gold went down to as low as 1600 dollars per ounce.

Around mid to late 2022, inflation readings gradually started to cool down, markets started to get more optimistic. US equities and Gold started picking up, EU and GU also had a relief rally.

So what I'm trying to show is, in 2021 and 2022 you see similar inflation reports, almost every month they are beating the expectations, yet we see 2 different years with 2 different price reactions. The story can change the outcome significantly.

So next time you see an inflation read or labor market data such as NFP. Ask yourself these questions:

1. Will the FED act on it or ignore it?
2. Is the number just a one month occurring or does it make a trend (look at the last 3 prints, if you see a gradually increase or decrease in the numbers, they might be telling a story)
3. What does other data tell you about the state of the economy? (GDP, CPI, PCE, NFP etc.) Look at the bigger picture, what does it tell you?
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #867,129
  • Oct 15, 2025 4:15pm Oct 15, 2025 4:15pm
Quoting hustler
{quote} that my chart brother i hope you understand {image}
so, you changed your mind while close was above?
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #867,130
  • Oct 15, 2025 4:16pm Oct 15, 2025 4:16pm
Quoting Nordling
{quote} As someone who trades NFP, CPI, GDP, PCE etc. for years now I think i can give my 2 cents on this topic. You are right about the fact that there's no strict correlation between the price and the data. So the USD doesn't always go up when the numbers are green on the calendar, nor it always drops when the numbers are red (worse than expected) The context matters a lot. It is everything. Is the FED hawkish? Dovish? Is there a high possibility that the FED actually act on this data or will they just ignore it? I will give you a couple examples:...
best, please everyone who trading usd pairs read this twice, thanks Nordling
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
  • #867,131
  • Oct 15, 2025 5:57pm Oct 15, 2025 5:57pm
Long USDCAD, target 1.4110
  • #867,132
  • Oct 15, 2025 6:28pm Oct 15, 2025 6:28pm
Short GBPCAD, target H1 SMA200 @1.8715
  • #867,133
  • Oct 16, 2025 1:52am Oct 16, 2025 1:52am
.
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Leave Israel alone and Palestine will be free
  • #867,134
  • Oct 16, 2025 2:56am Oct 16, 2025 2:56am
Macro's are just about to rub their shoulders/cross,
nothing yet for me, waiting a pullback, if it happens, to join the train.
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MARKET ABHORS LAZINESS,DOING MY HOMEWORK ....
  • #867,135
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:04am Oct 16, 2025 3:04am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I already placed a buy limit at 3380.
This was very precise, looking at my charts, I'm forging towards such precision in the future.
Exposed level(my own definition of certain levels) scares me a bit, but with time I'll dare them.
MARKET ABHORS LAZINESS,DOING MY HOMEWORK ....
  • #867,136
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:24am Oct 16, 2025 3:24am
great trading!!
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I only follow traders with IQ above 160
  • #867,137
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:35am Oct 16, 2025 3:35am
Inserted Video
  • #867,138
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:47am Oct 16, 2025 3:47am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} I already placed a buy limit at 3380.
Out at 3437. +57 pips.
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  • #867,139
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:52am Oct 16, 2025 3:52am
Quoting msqk
{quote} This was very precise, looking at my charts, I'm forging towards such precision in the future. Exposed level(my own definition of certain levels) scares me a bit, but with time I'll dare them.
You have to trust your levels. That's the only way. Make your trade volume small so that you won't be flustered. My weekly chart gave me the confidence because I know that price can play games but it's not easy to completely chamge the weekly structure.

Find below my weekly chart that convinced me. It should rotate in that triangle and the burst up or down. Most likely upwards.
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  • #867,140
  • Oct 16, 2025 3:58am Oct 16, 2025 3:58am
Quoting Mitiblotch
{quote} You have to trust your levels. That's the only way. Make your trade volume small so that you won't be flustered. My weekly chart gave me the confidence because I know that price can play games but it's not easy to completely chamge the weekly structure. Find below my weekly chart that convinced me. It should rotate in that triangle and the burst up or down. Most likely upwards. {image}
People don't plan to lose. They lose because they don't plan.
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