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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #91,221
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:42am Oct 9, 2025 10:42am
Quoting carbonmimeti
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Hey, don't get mad at people who call you out on digressing from the purpose of the thread. Stay on topic instead! This is the Interactive Trading forum! You have been around here long enough to know better.
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #91,222
  • Oct 9, 2025 10:45am Oct 9, 2025 10:45am
There's a disconnect in the market.

Every single yen pair is down except for UJ and that's reasonable because when futures retreat traders rotate in yen.

So for UJ and the dollar to be strong when the overall market is retreating and there is absolutely no economic data to work with....

It's just kinda silly and is mostly connected with algorithmic trading.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #91,223
  • Oct 9, 2025 11:32am Oct 9, 2025 11:32am
Quoting Jgcole83
There's a disconnect in the market. Every single yen pair is down except for UJ and that's reasonable because when futures retreat traders rotate in yen. So for UJ and the dollar to be strong when the overall market is retreating and there is absolutely no economic data to work with.... It's just kinda silly and is mostly connected with algorithmic trading.
Hi, I dont understand this concept. Why is this connected to algorithmic trading and yes my EA is bearish since this weeks open and what is your bias of UJ now.
Persistent
  • #91,224
  • Edited 4:17pm Oct 9, 2025 12:35pm | Edited 4:17pm
Quoting Tabtrades
{quote} Hi, I dont understand this concept. Why is this connected to algorithmic trading and yes my EA is bearish since this weeks open and what is your bias of UJ now.
Algorithms are probably looking at dual volatility functions of each pair along with support and resistance and dollar strength as an individual currency..

Anyway one of the algorithms I work with will make a bullish call on an individual currency if everything aligns

Since there are multiple conflicts with the overall market structure that's what I'm looking at.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #91,225
  • Edited 1:12pm Oct 9, 2025 1:00pm | Edited 1:12pm
Outside of that though everyone should be very worried about the shit show and volatility that will take place with the data dump when the US government re opens.

In my opinion it's highly likely there's going to be some type of flash crash.
"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #91,226
  • Edited 2:02pm Oct 9, 2025 1:48pm | Edited 2:02pm
Quoting Jgcole83
Outside of that though everyone should be very worried about the shit show and volatility that will take place with the data dump when the US government re opens. In my opinion it's highly likely there's going to be some type of flash crash.
I didn't think about it that way. That's actually useful information. Maybe I should place some limit orders at extreme demand zones.
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #91,227
  • Oct 9, 2025 5:00pm Oct 9, 2025 5:00pm
Quoting FX.Knight
{quote} {image} {image} {image}
I didn't take a trade today.
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  • #91,228
  • Oct 9, 2025 6:40pm Oct 9, 2025 6:40pm
Quoting Jgcole83
There's a disconnect in the market. Every single yen pair is down except for UJ and that's reasonable because when futures retreat traders rotate in yen. So for UJ and the dollar to be strong when the overall market is retreating and there is absolutely no economic data to work with.... It's just kinda silly and is mostly connected with algorithmic trading.
It's just that USD is stronger than other currencies since there's geopolitical uncertainties with EU, France, Japan's new government etc. The market is looking for safe havens. Probably Euros are being converted to USDs. There's also some profit taking going on in both US equities and Gold, investors cashing in.

But i don't think USD strength will last long. US equities and Gold likely to climb higher once the dust settles.

Green pips to all
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #91,229
  • Oct 9, 2025 6:44pm Oct 9, 2025 6:44pm
Quoting Jgcole83
Outside of that though everyone should be very worried about the shit show and volatility that will take place with the data dump when the US government re opens. In my opinion it's highly likely there's going to be some type of flash crash.
Agreed. Market is eager to dump their cash into stocks and gold and will look for excuses to do so. Idk about the UJ but any bad data from the US will shoot the gold & equities higher + rate cuts will aggressively get priced in
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #91,230
  • Oct 9, 2025 7:08pm Oct 9, 2025 7:08pm
he’s gonna pop - cypher
  • #91,231
  • Oct 10, 2025 2:58am Oct 10, 2025 2:58am
Inserted Video
  • #91,232
  • Oct 10, 2025 10:18am Oct 10, 2025 10:18am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/ejgAx70qq-c
Target hit
  • #91,233
  • Oct 10, 2025 10:34am Oct 10, 2025 10:34am
And just like that, welcome into the correction.
  • #91,234
  • Oct 10, 2025 11:04am Oct 10, 2025 11:04am
Finally the red candle needed to short next week will start to short yay for seeing 152! Was my trigger to start looking for good shorts…. Yes a gap and I wasn’t in red all week hyper focused in gap. Still in demo so easier said than done but …. Confluences EVERYWHERE!
  • #91,235
  • Oct 10, 2025 11:37am Oct 10, 2025 11:37am
USDJPY 4H...from post 91201....
update after little crash...price stop @ red diagonal of the first square
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #91,236
  • Edited 1:30pm Oct 10, 2025 11:44am | Edited 1:30pm
Out and about so I'm using my phone.

Something to think about is anytime price makes a major move like this on the weekly chart it makes 100% retracement over 95% of the time the very next week.

That means you could see a correction bringing price back down to 148.

This also closes the gap we had on Sunday.

Gaps close 60-70% of the time.

Play the numbers.
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"A true speculator tries the market small." - Jesse Livermore
  • #91,237
  • Oct 10, 2025 4:21pm Oct 10, 2025 4:21pm
Quoting Jgcole83
Out and about so I'm using my phone. Something to think about is anytime price makes a major move like this on the weekly chart it makes 100% retracement over 95% of the time the very next week. That means you could see a correction bringing price back down to 148. This also closes the gap we had on Sunday. Gaps close 60-70% of the time. Play the numbers. {image} {image}
Agree .. this would correlate with the other JPY pairings. Not sure about your 60-70% though .. more like 90-95% given time.
  • #91,238
  • Oct 10, 2025 5:47pm Oct 10, 2025 5:47pm
Quoting FX.Knight
{quote} I didn't take a trade today. {image} {image} {image}
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  • #91,239
  • Oct 11, 2025 9:24am Oct 11, 2025 9:24am
Inserted Video

Something we made that new and old traders both enjoy
Thanks guys for the support you have shown
  • #91,240
  • Oct 11, 2025 11:37am Oct 11, 2025 11:37am
Quoting Bloodwish
https://youtu.be/5B0HzGjoS8k Something we made that new and old traders both enjoy Thanks guys for the support you have shown
Very neat presentation
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