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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #863,001
  • Jul 18, 2025 8:29am Jul 18, 2025 8:29am
dollar crashing even before humpty opens his mouth LOL

when he does talk out of his ass the dollar is ready for it LOL
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #863,002
  • Edited 9:30am Jul 18, 2025 8:34am | Edited 9:30am
Too ugly wating it may take a shape ! Ist starts with breaks and hold 3450 and 40 ! 3 accumulated shorts activated over 3450!
Break out can be 3457.anyeay need fast movements ! Only few hours left weekend!
Initial sr should be 3425 areas !
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #863,003
  • Jul 18, 2025 8:56am Jul 18, 2025 8:56am
Quoting Mitiblotch
Up and away! What I want below: {image}
Below 1.3564 is targeting 1.2650 on months ahead.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #863,004
  • Jul 18, 2025 9:07am Jul 18, 2025 9:07am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Below 1.3564 is targeting 1.2650 on months ahead.
when?

what timeframe...weekly or monthly chart?
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #863,005
  • Jul 18, 2025 9:14am Jul 18, 2025 9:14am
Quoting Zebi
{quote} when? what timeframe...weekly or monthly chart?
Monthly chart...
Year 2023 high was 1.31
Year 2024 high was 1.34
Year 2025 high is 1.37...
. that's 300 pips interval... The fall after year 2023 and 2024 highs happened to be 1100 and 1300+ pips.

This year 2025 will most likely see price crash to 1.2650... i rate this as 80% chance of occurence.
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Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #863,006
  • Edited 10:05am Jul 18, 2025 9:35am | Edited 10:05am
No wait for normal pa noe just tanking , breaks 3441 and rest 3425 to calm down !! I have to go market soon !!
Similar taking expecting eurusd to below 1612
If this abnormal swing similar a diamond then even if try ignore or invalid likely test react low !! That the bottom first today or next working day !!
And if this pattern actually works then the same or more the last fake news effects up before may down and more , needed strong need next
Good to 3441 testing and eurusd 1646 top failure limit !
Next reaction eurusd around tl / channel low 1639
May correspond 3429
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #863,007
  • Jul 18, 2025 9:38am Jul 18, 2025 9:38am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Below 1.3564 is targeting 1.2650 on months ahead.
You know I don't use very long term projections personally. I use the monthly pivot. Monthly pivot is 3625 and price below it means sell, generally. Although dips can be bought, which I did. But I'll have to assess each month. So next month I'll see the pivot and trade accordingly.
  • #863,008
  • Jul 18, 2025 9:41am Jul 18, 2025 9:41am
Quoting FXfund01
{quote} Not happening, GBPUSD is falling all the way to 1.25.
Based on what? I need a full weekly close below 3300 to even begib to think such a number.
  • #863,009
  • Jul 18, 2025 9:41am Jul 18, 2025 9:41am
Quoting Georginson
{quote} Monthly chart... Year 2023 high was 1.31 Year 2024 high was 1.34 Year 2025 high is 1.37... . that's 300 pips interval... The fall after year 2023 and 2024 highs happened to be 1100 and 1300+ pips. This year 2025 will most likely see price crash to 1.2650... i rate this as 80% chance of occurence. {image}

you are not seeing anything below 1.30


that is a protected major whole number
MY OPINION NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE
  • #863,010
  • Jul 18, 2025 10:10am Jul 18, 2025 10:10am
Quoting FXfund01
{quote} Pound is going to 1.25. UK cut rates already and they will do more. USA is on hold and they do not know if they will cut at all. With recent higher inflation numbers, they will not cut but hold. UK inflation is too hot, so they will cut. {image} {image} {image}
no logic at all
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #863,011
  • Jul 18, 2025 10:12am Jul 18, 2025 10:12am
there's no way the uk or the us should be cutting, yet trump is forcing this issue, the fed never lowered its rate 300 point in one go, ever,
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #863,012
  • Jul 18, 2025 10:16am Jul 18, 2025 10:16am
Quoting FXfund01
{quote} Based on weak UK data numbers. USA is much stronger, Dollar is turning bullish, and it is going back up to 110 maybe above. Pound is going to 1.25. UK cut rates already and they will do more. USA is on hold and they do not know if they will cut at all. With recent higher inflation numbers, they will not cut but hold. UK inflation is too hot, so they will cut. Try to look at data, and than go on the charts. Do not allow yourself reacting on smaller timeframes, you will always lose money. Look at monthly and weekly chart, it paints a big picture....
That's okay. Nice analysis and I respect it. Trust me, the moment price starts breaking down I'll be selling. Until then I'll hold my cards.
  • #863,013
  • Jul 18, 2025 10:30am Jul 18, 2025 10:30am
Quoting FXfund01
{quote} Based on weak UK data numbers. USA is much stronger, Dollar is turning bullish, and it is going back up to 110 maybe above. Pound is going to 1.25. UK cut rates already and they will do more. USA is on hold and they do not know if they will cut at all. With recent higher inflation numbers, they will not cut but hold. UK inflation is too hot, so they will cut. Try to look at data, and than go on the charts. Do not allow yourself reacting on smaller timeframes, you will always lose money. Look at monthly and weekly chart, it paints...
Why would they cut rates if inflation is already running too hot? Cutting rates will only fuel hot inflation further.
Leave Israel alone and Palestine will be free
  • #863,014
  • Jul 18, 2025 11:26am Jul 18, 2025 11:26am
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} Small signs of bullish rejection on the daily time frame and I don't discount a test of 1.35000. My buy trade remains. Have a great week Folks. {image}
At this point in time, I am unfazed by the apparent bearishness in GU. On the contrary GU is showing a nice rejection off the current weekly support zone to end the week on a nice candle wick. The 20th of the month to month end can see a nice reversal back into the uptrend. Having said a monthly close above or below 1.35425 will be crux in determining short or long in the medium term. Will update in time to come.
Trade safe.
Cheers
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Trade to trade another day
  • #863,015
  • Edited 12:41pm Jul 18, 2025 11:26am | Edited 12:41pm
Happy to see 3425 broken successfully in one attempt , so watching 3412 test batter breaks to close weekly ..take care
And eurusd 1612
Weekly in in good shape through the day today and may better with minimum wick down and before rejection was due a joke and hence likely fake. Next week confirmation day may range or confirm bear to next level, Test 3262 and down !!
Next last h5 candle may try close below 3393
And daily candle likely negative having big wick up
Testing 3411 , no reaction or rejection , breaks may back a little before 3393 if today !
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Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #863,016
  • Jul 18, 2025 11:36am Jul 18, 2025 11:36am
im gona add GU longs ifn this hourly candle closes above 3434 in 25 min. cause humpty gona lose his mind over the weekend with his health issue and epstein birthday card and do stupid shit like these new tariffs just now LOL
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #863,017
  • Jul 18, 2025 11:51am Jul 18, 2025 11:51am
Quoting Zebi
im gona add GU longs ifn this hourly candle closes above 3434 in 25 min. cause humpty gona lose his mind over the weekend with his health issue and epstein birthday card and do stupid shit like these new tariffs just now LOL
I don't think that's going to happen Zeb, it's bouncing off daily resistance and the wedge like a crash dummy.
Leave Israel alone and Palestine will be free
  • #863,018
  • Jul 18, 2025 11:55am Jul 18, 2025 11:55am
Quoting Forgediron
{quote} I don't think that's going to happen Zeb, it's bouncing off daily resistance and the wedge like a crash dummy.

3434 is the level im adding longs if price does a hourly close above that today
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #863,019
  • Jul 18, 2025 11:56am Jul 18, 2025 11:56am
Quoting Zebi
{quote} 3434 is the level im adding longs if price does a hourly close above that today
yeah I know
Leave Israel alone and Palestine will be free
  • #863,020
  • Jul 18, 2025 1:24pm Jul 18, 2025 1:24pm
Quoting Wavegarrick
{quote} At this point in time, I am unfazed by the apparent bearishness in GU. On the contrary GU is showing a nice rejection off the current weekly support zone to end the week on a nice candle wick. The 20th of the month to month end can see a nice reversal back into the uptrend. Having said a monthly close above or below 1.35425 will be crux in determining short or long in the medium term. Will update in time to come. Trade safe. Cheers {image}
Thank you so so much Leon for answering to my post, he's mine...
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