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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #89,601
  • Apr 14, 2025 7:16pm Apr 14, 2025 7:16pm
UJ AND GJ
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https://x.com/moneyprinte
  • #89,602
  • Apr 14, 2025 11:54pm Apr 14, 2025 11:54pm
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  • #89,603
  • Edited 10:02am Apr 15, 2025 1:48am | Edited 10:02am
In short-143.30
sl- 144.10
tp-141

never think price is too low for shorting, go with the monentum… keep shorting at every level
  • #89,604
  • Apr 15, 2025 1:55am Apr 15, 2025 1:55am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{image}
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  • #89,605
  • Apr 15, 2025 2:01am Apr 15, 2025 2:01am
Luck shows up when preparation gets serious
Hope is not a strategy. Design is.
"Luck isn't found-it's designed."
  • #89,606
  • Apr 15, 2025 5:59am Apr 15, 2025 5:59am
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  • #89,607
  • Apr 15, 2025 7:48am Apr 15, 2025 7:48am
Quoting SabkaBaap
In short-143.30 sl- 144.10 tp-141 never think price is too low for shorting, go with the monentum… keep shorting at every level

This is not good advice. Especially if the person taking it doesn't know how to identify when momentum is slowing. This advice in my oppinon can lead to fomo, and hope trading. Fomo thinking you can still get in, and hopeing price will turn back into what you thought was the momentum. Now if the higher time frames show S/R below... then continue, but shorting every level is like folks who bought every level on the bull run only to get ripped in the turn.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,608
  • Apr 15, 2025 8:23am Apr 15, 2025 8:23am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} This is not good advice. Especially if the person taking it doesn't know how to identify when momentum is slowing. This advice in my oppinon can lead to fomo, and hope trading. Fomo thinking you can still get in, and hopeing price will turn back into what you thought was the momentum. Now if the higher time frames show S/R below... then continue, but shorting every level is like folks who bought every level on the bull run only to get ripped in the turn.
lets talk when uj reaches 138 by next week… no reversal before 135..at office…will post a chart soon

u hv been advising to go long since 147.
  • #89,609
  • Apr 15, 2025 8:28am Apr 15, 2025 8:28am
Quoting SabkaBaap
{quote} lets talk when uj reaches 138 by next week… no reversal before 135..at office…will post a chart soon u hv been advising to go long since 147.
Perhaps you should re read my post. Even if it does go there. This is not good advice. I have advised CAUTION to longs, and my targets have been hit.
Also... my big picture was that we would go sideways off of that 4hr Doji. Sideways means some down... some up.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,610
  • Apr 15, 2025 8:44am Apr 15, 2025 8:44am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Bad 4hr print. Could be sign of sideways action for the week Lets see how asian open sounds off {image}

@sabkabaap
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,611
  • Apr 15, 2025 8:49am Apr 15, 2025 8:49am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
Afternoon all. UJ 5m has a rejection candle on that low, however nothing is present on the 15. Also price appears to be drawing a bearish flag. My advice would be to place a trend line across the top of this on the 5m and sell anytime price hits it. Intraday high I believe will top off around 142.9 Sorry guys. started typing this and got busy at work. Would have worked nicely for us. But because I didn't share it only I got in. ES500 as usual mirrored..
Bearish flag......
Sell anytime price hits it.

Nothing bullish here.

I think you may have taken that too personally. It wasn't. It was about the adivice, This forum has a lot of new people learning. To tell a newbie that every time price levels out to sell is less than desireable. Especially without confluence. My opinion of course....
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,612
  • Apr 15, 2025 9:17am Apr 15, 2025 9:17am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image}
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  • #89,613
  • Apr 15, 2025 9:22am Apr 15, 2025 9:22am
Quoting ThaoAnh
{quote} {image}
GM . What do those green lines represent, and how are they drawn?
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,614
  • Apr 15, 2025 9:44am Apr 15, 2025 9:44am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} GM . What do those green lines represent, and how are they drawn?
For me, I consider it SR. I take the high-low period (example: 5 or 10 H1) and divide it into 1/2, 1/4, 1/8.
  • #89,615
  • Apr 15, 2025 9:45am Apr 15, 2025 9:45am
1HR chart shows Bearish rejection and indicision candles. My current target is 142.2


UJ faded off the S/R. UJ and ES500 have been hand in hand past few weeks, so ES may join on the lows. If UJ continues sideways on the `15m this will improve those odds.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,616
  • Apr 15, 2025 10:03am Apr 15, 2025 10:03am
Quoting SabkaBaap
In short-143.30 sl- 144.10 tp-141 never think price is too low for shorting, go with the monentum… keep shorting at every level
@obsaymkmoney—- can u tell me why u think downward momentum is fading, i dont use complex jargon’s or million trendlines, LH was 158… so simply LL will be below 139.56… simple… short any uptick
  • #89,617
  • Edited 11:39am Apr 15, 2025 11:26am | Edited 11:39am
Quoting SabkaBaap
{quote} @obsaymkmoney—- can u tell me why u think downward momentum is fading, i dont use complex jargon’s or million trendlines, LH was 158… so simply LL will be below 139.56… simple… short any uptick

Not what I said my friend. What I said was that UJ fadED off of the S/r

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I then went on to say that ES and UJ have been hand in hand. So ES MAY join on the lows.
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IF UJ continues to go sideways those odds improve.
As you can see my charts are clean. Could be a language barrier. To fade off something, means to move away from it.

Also you don't seem to understand what I initially said, and appear to be more concerned with proving that the move down isn't over. I at no point said that the move to the south on UJ was over. I don't know that it is.. or isn't at this point. I do know that there is a gap above that needs filling. My comment was directly pointed at the fact that you said to KEEP SHORTING EVERY LEVEL. To a new person such a bold statement from a message board they deem to be filled with knowledgeable people, could possibly intice them to short every level just because the previous one was short. That is not good trading advice. I have been wrong, and have the charts on her to prove it. I will be wrong about my predictions in the future. I can't control that. What I can control though is what kind of advice I give to people starting out.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,618
  • Apr 15, 2025 1:08pm Apr 15, 2025 1:08pm
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Moving SL into profit, first target 5373. That indicision candle. If we print below it I will add.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,619
  • Apr 15, 2025 3:47pm Apr 15, 2025 3:47pm
i no longer trade looking for support and resistance. It may seem so because I use those levels in my trading jargon, but I actually look for areas of liquidity. Areas on the chart with no or few wicks. This is where you will find people's stop loss orders. On this 4hr chart many people sold this level shown below and their stop loss orders are just waiting for a large firm to drive price up there and take them out. Last week when I called for price to peak below the HL area I was searching for bullish stop orders. They were taken out. We have all been in these trades, we just didn't know what was happening. Trades where we are going great.. in the money and the pips are looking so good we just know it is going to keep going. Only for it to turn on us, take out our stop loss.. and then go in the dirrection we initially thought. Or... it continues going wrong and because at one point we were in such a possitive position we think the trade will come back. The body of these 4hr candles are getting smaller and flatter. Momentum is slowing. Will it pick up again? It might, but I would require serious confirmation because we are at an area of resistance, and as I mentioned I am looking for price to take out those stop loss orders. I work in a hedge fund. These are the tricks the pros use. You can be prey. or predator. Both eat... but I prefer the latter.

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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #89,620
  • Apr 15, 2025 4:19pm Apr 15, 2025 4:19pm
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