I am waiting for a corrective fall for new purchases of the pair.
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DislikedSharing my trades...later the haters and amateurs will be crying while I bang big{image} {image}
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DislikedI did some statistical analysis over the weekend using 22 years of price data. Looking at the 8 hour timeframe, the probability of any given candle being bearish is 48.92%. Using a binomial distribution, the probability of a move like last week where there are 13 bullish candles and 2 bearish candles is about 0.5%. Or, on average a week like last week occurs once every approximately 200 weeks or roughly once every 4 years. So everyone criticizing others for shorting, may have been correct with their bullishness, but probability was very much...Ignored
Disliked{quote} Hi, so bulls were against the odds of that statistic repeating as you indicate above, ie 13 candles total with 11 bullish/2bearish, but it's a totally meaningless statistic, on a not widely followed t/f. The money that moves this market doesn't look @ 8hr t/f's, and it certainly doesn't look at how many times and the odds of 13 candles with 2 x bearish ones in there repeats! The fact is that the bulls were trading with the prevailing overall price action, and any bears holding and targeting a cricket score were swimming against that tide,...Ignored