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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #852,841
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:15pm Feb 4, 2025 2:15pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Macrofx1, I believe you b/c even J. Peterson wouldn't be able to explain this transformation unless...someone hit you on the head with a mallet.
What transformation is that?
FED is a 24/7 machine that never runs out of the money
  • #852,842
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:15pm Feb 4, 2025 2:15pm
Quoting Waveskierrob
{quote} He was a challenging character, if you are him good luck to you, well done for coming back, but my spider senses says you're not, but could be wrong...
Well whoever he was, good luck to him.
FED is a 24/7 machine that never runs out of the money
  • #852,843
  • Edited 2:39pm Feb 4, 2025 2:17pm | Edited 2:39pm
Quoting BeeTogether
So whilst GJ was on the quieter front today even with some data. It seems ready implode or explode on Trumpys next muzzle removal. 193 not cracked at all despite hanging around it all day and then drops off maybe due to boredom lol. Some big data releases left this week so maybe we will see 194 before the drop (not sure how much over 194). Also if BoE is as expected we may see a non eventful week. Roll on tomorrow
his bark wont be scaring markets as much going forward since he stopped takin his ADHD meds and keeps reversing himself by the hour so just fade price after its initial kneejerk reaction...
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #852,844
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:21pm Feb 4, 2025 2:21pm
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My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
  • #852,845
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:23pm Feb 4, 2025 2:23pm
Quoting Macrofx1
{quote} Thanks for explaining your analysis.

i may have to subscribe to you so i dont miss your analysis since you've already attracted multiple detracters in such short time so you must be good LOL
short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #852,846
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:29pm Feb 4, 2025 2:29pm
Quoting Waveskierrob
{quote} He was a challenging character, if you are him good luck to you, well done for coming back, but my spider senses says you're not, but could be wrong...
Waveski, I would say "intellectually challenged"
Always trade your own plan...I don't provide trading signals.
  • #852,847
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:29pm Feb 4, 2025 2:29pm
market is waiting for the Trump to open his mouth
what is your prediction?
  • #852,848
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:30pm Feb 4, 2025 2:30pm
Quoting Coreg2004
{quote} Waveski, I would say "intellectually challenged"
you could very well be right....
  • #852,849
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:33pm Feb 4, 2025 2:33pm
This could push dollar higher and shake the market short term.
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FED is a 24/7 machine that never runs out of the money
  • #852,850
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:37pm Feb 4, 2025 2:37pm
Quoting Macrofx1
This could push dollar higher and shake the market short term. {image}
hope so
  • #852,851
  • Feb 4, 2025 2:38pm Feb 4, 2025 2:38pm
Quoting Macrofx1
This could push dollar higher and shake the market short term. {image}
its about israel/hamas so I'm sure don and the fugitive war criminal visiting the white house will try to push out Palestinians and break the cease fire
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short trump and go long the deepstate
  • #852,852
  • Edited 3:24pm Feb 4, 2025 3:11pm | Edited 3:24pm
The long-term GU bulls face one major conundrum i.m.o If the FED keeps holding, and other economies starts cutting, it's down hill for risk. Some investment houses who originally projected 25-50bp cuts, are now moving closer to zero cuts for 2025. So what changed? Well $Trump=Volatility, the man just simply cannot be controlled, and the FED knows that.

https://www.forexlive.com/news/nomur...2025-20250131/
  • #852,853
  • Feb 4, 2025 3:33pm Feb 4, 2025 3:33pm
Ready for Trump fireworks?
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  • #852,854
  • Feb 4, 2025 3:35pm Feb 4, 2025 3:35pm
He's a macro, man, which is the nick he used on his return off revoke number one (that we know about) only to be banned again.
He's the guy who's always $ bullish no matter what the dollar is doing-the $ is king.
He will be quoting macro stuff from his book published in the early 1900s as a matter of fact.
GDP in the US is so great, but never mind that the growth comes from a $3 trillion deficit.
He's the guy who talks about the VIX on Forex Factory and uses that chart template.
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #852,855
  • Feb 4, 2025 3:58pm Feb 4, 2025 3:58pm
Quoting Bones
He's a macro, man, which is the nick he used on his return off revoke number one (that we know about) only to be banned again. He's the guy who's always $ bullish no matter what the dollar is doing-the $ is king. He will be quoting macro stuff from his book published in the early 1900s as a matter of fact. GDP in the US is so great, but never mind that the growth comes from a $3 trillion deficit. He's the guy who talks about the VIX on Forex Factory and uses that chart template. {image}
...and
  • #852,856
  • Edited 5:26pm Feb 4, 2025 4:07pm | Edited 5:26pm
so you're wrong
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #852,857
  • Feb 4, 2025 4:07pm Feb 4, 2025 4:07pm
Quoting Bones
He's a macro, man, which is the nick he used on his return off revoke number one (that we know about) only to be banned again. He's the guy who's always $ bullish no matter what the dollar is doing-the $ is king. He will be quoting macro stuff from his book published in the early 1900s as a matter of fact. GDP in the US is so great, but never mind that the growth comes from a $3 trillion deficit. He's the guy who talks about the VIX on Forex Factory and uses that chart template. {image}
Anyone that has any basic education and experience in trading, uses VIX. VIX reading below 20 suggests a perceived low-risk environment, while a reading above 20 is indicative of a period of higher volatility. The VIX is commonly used to measure investor confidence in the market. You are trying so hard all day to compare me to some techanalyst, meanwhile you are missing opportunities in trading markets. I do not have any books from 1900's. I have attached what I did earlier in the post, main leading indicators for forex analysis. I am not always bullish on DXY, but we can see that USD has been bullish since 2011. I understand that fundamental analysis is something new to you and looks complicated, but it is not. It is something I have learned and adapt to my trading and it does work. You may be use to drawing lines and patterns on your chart, that is fine, if that is how you trade, but this is how I trade. Yes, I use VIX a lot to measure investors confidence. IF you want to know more about VIX, feel free to look up online and learn and try to use it in trading yourself. You are just wasting time by trying to compare me to someone that was here and got banned or whatever happened. Democrats are bullish DXY and Republicans are bearish. But that does not mean that it happens overnight, and does not mean that it will be like that every time a new party is elected. I mean if you traded long enough you would know that trading is business of probabilities. Looks like this techanalyst really did something bad to you, since you are thinking about that username and are trying to compare me to that username. You come across as being obsessed with this techanalyst, he really did a number on you from reading your posts and you trying to compare me to that username.

 

  1. Economic context:
    Deficits can be necessary during economic downturns to stimulate growth through government spending.
  2. Debt-to-GDP ratio:
    The most important metric is often the ratio of national debt to GDP, which indicates how large the debt is relative to the size of the economy.
  3. Policy decisions:
    Managing the deficit requires careful policy decisions to balance spending with revenue collection.

The debt-to-GDP ratio is a metric that compares a country's public debt to its gross domestic product (GDP). It's often expressed as a percentage. A higher debt-to-GDP ratio indicates that a government may have more difficulty paying back its debt.
Factors that affect debt-to-GDP ratio

  1. Wars and recessions: The debt-to-GDP ratio tends to increase during wars and recessions, and then decrease afterwards.

  1. Government surplus: A government surplus can decrease the debt-to-GDP ratio.

  1. GDP and inflation growth: Growth in GDP and inflation can decrease the debt-to-GDP ratio.

As of September 30, 2024, the debt-to-GDP ratio in the United States was 123%. This means that the country's debt was $35.46 trillion, while its GDP was $28.83 trillion.

Looking forward to your analysis and comparing me to other members here on forex factory.

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Click to Enlarge Name: Leadingindicators.png Size: 19 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2025-02-04_16-59-26.png Size: 45 KB
FED is a 24/7 machine that never runs out of the money
  • #852,858
  • Feb 4, 2025 4:11pm Feb 4, 2025 4:11pm
Quoting Bones
so you're wrong {image}
how?
  • #852,859
  • Feb 4, 2025 4:15pm Feb 4, 2025 4:15pm
Quoting Frenky
Ready for Trump fireworks? {image}
This should go down soon...
FED is a 24/7 machine that never runs out of the money
  • #852,860
  • Feb 4, 2025 4:19pm Feb 4, 2025 4:19pm
Quoting Pat Chiko
{quote} CABLE Must be luck day . Took some out to buy food. The rest let it get trailing stop {image}
Why buy here?
What did price engulfed, that gave signal to buy?
It is little ambiguous.
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