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GbpUsd Statistical Probability With Price Action 109 replies

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Statistical Validation on trading 24 replies

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Statistical Probability Trading With Price Action

  • #221
  • Jun 5, 2007 7:33pm Jun 5, 2007 7:33pm
Below is a Table Of Content showing where the (DAR) for the below currencies are posted.

Post 81 shows 4hr range for each 4hr candle/bar
GbpUsd
EurJpy
GbpJpy
UsdCad

UsdJpy

Posts For Daily Average Range For The Below Currencies

EurJpy Posts 151-153 (updated)
GbpJpy Posts 181-183 (updated)
GbpUsd Posts 144-146 (updated)
UsdCad Posts 166-168 (updated)
UsdJpy Posts 189-191 (updated)
EurUsd Posts 159-161 (updated)
UsdChf Posts 174-176 (updated)
EurAud Posts 136-138 (updated)

Posts For Weekly Average Range For The Below Currencies

EurAud Posts 115-116
EurJpy Posts 117-118
EurUsd Posts 119-120
GbpJpy Posts 121-122
GbpUsd Posts 123-124
UsdCad Posts 125-126
UsdChf Posts 127-128
UsdJpy Posts 202 &203 (updated)

Price Action Around Floor Traders Supports, Resistance, and Pivot Points With Daily Fib Retracements.
EurAud Posts 139-143 (updated)
GbpUsd Posts 147-150 (updated)
EurJpy Posts 154-157 (updated)
EurUsd Posts 162-165 (updated)
UsdCad Posts 169-172 (updated)
UsdChfPosts 177-180 (updated)
GbpJpy Posts 184-187 (updated)
UsdJpy Posts 192-195 (updated)

DAILY FIB RETRACEMENTS

GbpUsd Post 220
  • #222
  • Jun 5, 2007 9:05pm Jun 5, 2007 9:05pm
gt, Boy, this is some really good stuff and you have obviously put a good bit of work into what you've given us. Thanks much, Bob
Hej.
  • #223
  • Jun 5, 2007 9:13pm Jun 5, 2007 9:13pm
Quoting Stitch961
gt, Boy, this is some really good stuff and you have obviously put a good bit of work into what you've given us. Thanks much, Bob
Thanks hopefully you can take the information and incorporate it into your system and get better entries and exits. I mostly trade S & R and break outs. Looking at some weeklystrategies.
  • #224
  • Jun 5, 2007 9:17pm Jun 5, 2007 9:17pm
Looking at a possible weekly high
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  • #225
  • Jun 5, 2007 10:22pm Jun 5, 2007 10:22pm
Quoting goodthings
GbpUsd weekly range average
Hi Goodthings,

I am confused by the weekly ranges that you have on posts #197 and 203. I am not sure if post #197 is referring to the gbp/usd or the gbpjpy. Then it appears that the gbp/jpy is repeated but with different numbers in post #203. Maybe it's just a typo. Could you clarify.

Another question - how do you do your research to record weekly and daily ranges?

Did you see the recent issue of Currency Trader mag (April issue, I think) of the gbp/usd pair characteristics? I found that info very helpful. If you don't have it I can forward it to you. It's free in pdf format.
  • #226
  • Jun 6, 2007 4:37am Jun 6, 2007 4:37am
Quoting KudzuFX
Hi Goodthings,

I am confused by the weekly ranges that you have on posts #197 and 203. I am not sure if post #197 is referring to the gbp/usd or the gbpjpy. Then it appears that the gbp/jpy is repeated but with different numbers in post #203. Maybe it's just a typo. Could you clarify.

Post 203 is correct. I will also have to change the table of contents

Another question - how do you do your research to record weekly and daily ranges?
I get the informaion from my daily and weekly charts off of Met4. I copy them to excell then put them in my excell spread sheet with the calculations. Did you see the recent issue of Currency Trader mag (April issue, I think) of the gbp/usd pair characteristics? I found that info very helpful. If you don't have it I can forward it to you. It's free in pdf format.
Yes that would be good. You can either post it here and I can down load it or I will pm you with my personal email address.
  • #227
  • Jun 7, 2007 9:18pm Jun 7, 2007 9:18pm
Daily Fibs GbpUsd
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  • #228
  • Jun 7, 2007 9:22pm Jun 7, 2007 9:22pm
GbpUsd Weekly Fib Retracements
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Click to Enlarge Name: GbpUsd weekly fib retracements.GIF Size: 11 KB
  • #229
  • Jun 7, 2007 9:30pm Jun 7, 2007 9:30pm
Yellow Fibs are Weekly based on this weeks high and low (this could change)Green fibs are daily from yesterday's high and low.

See previous two posts for percentage of time it retraces to the fib levels

So far weekly range of motion is 221 pips

2007 (WAR) 239 pips

10 week (WAR) 216 pips
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  • #230
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:06am Jun 10, 2007 6:06am
Daily Range
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  • #231
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:07am Jun 10, 2007 6:07am
Daily Range Averages
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  • #232
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:08am Jun 10, 2007 6:08am
Chart showing range of motion the last 20 days Pink line is yearly average the yellow line is 20 day average and the blue line shows rang of motion (RM) for the past 20 days
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  • #233
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:09am Jun 10, 2007 6:09am
Daily retracemets
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  • #234
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:10am Jun 10, 2007 6:10am
Price motion days of the week
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  • #235
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:12am Jun 10, 2007 6:12am
S & R
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  • #236
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:16am Jun 10, 2007 6:16am
Weekly Fibs
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Click to Enlarge Name: GbpUsd weekly fib retracements.GIF Size: 11 KB
  • #237
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:17am Jun 10, 2007 6:17am
Weekly Average Range (WAR)
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  • #238
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:20am Jun 10, 2007 6:20am
The pink line is the weekly average range (WAR) for the year and the blue line shows the range of motion (RM) for the past 20 weeks
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  • #239
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:24am Jun 10, 2007 6:24am
This is where GbpUsd is trading in regards to previous day's (Past Friday) fibs and past weeks fibs. See posts 236 and 233 for the percentage of times it retraces to the fib levels.
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  • #240
  • Jun 10, 2007 6:25am Jun 10, 2007 6:25am
Weekly highs
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