Scalp - Geometry + Structure + SnD + SnR, Swing - EMA Rejections

I have been posting trades on other threads but have decided to consolidate everything onto this thread.

I feel I am not trading the systems as initially intended by the people who started the thread and therefore have decided to create this thread here where I will post all my trades.

I am completely open to any discussion of my trades and constructive criticism. I will try my best to answer any questions.

The two threads I have used to generate these strategies are:
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...actal-geometry
https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...g-price-action

My trading is based off these threads but I have my own twist on both. Therefore there are two strategies here.

Swing Strategy:

D1 & H4 Charts Only.
EMA 14 Or EMA 200 Rejection.
Rejection defined as doji piercing the EMA or wick piercing the EMA where the wick is at least 65% of the body.
I can also enter after a doji with no EMA rejection (this is discretionary)
Trades need to be taken in the overall direction of the market. I use the following things to identify this:

1) Overall momentum: Separation & Angle of EMAs (this is a rough guide)

2) Structure: Mainly using 1-2-3 patterns (picture attached). I also use break of trendlines to be a good precursor to shift in structure.

3) Overall order flow: Direction of current W1 & MN candles (this depends on time of week/month) and size & direction of previous candle

Once a valid trade is identified, I will enter at a discount trying to target any obvious SnD or just the latest High/Low.
SL goes above/below the SnD that the D1/H4 candle of interest is rejecting. This is usually a wick that the D1/H4 is reacting to.
TP is fixed at 1.5R, 90% of the time but I have discretion to go for more if I see fit.

It's important to note here that the decision to take a trade that is technically valid because of an EMA rejection is subjective. I hope to improve the winrate with this subjectivity over time by studying the losses & missed opps.

The opportunities for this strategy vary massively. Some weeks nothing and some weeks a lot of setups.
This strategy is long term in nature and the end goal is just to trade off the daily but for now will follow H4 as well.

Scalping:

This one is harder to define. However in simple terms I look to see where price is coming from and where it is going to. I favour trades inline with the overall direction of the market which is using the same criteria as the swing strategy. I then just look for a point of reference. Some people use EMAs (like my other strategy) and others just use a straight line. I look for Geometry that has the confluence of a SnD or SnR zone. These zones can be anything from SnR, QM, SnD etc. Geometry is defined as a fractal line (see the thread above) or even just a trend line. If there are big wicks I will use a wickless trendline. Once I have this zone, I wait to see how price reacts to my trend line/fractal line.
A lot of my trades are just waiting for a structure break inline with the overall direction of the market. Once I have a break, I try and find the intersection of geometry and a zone to play off. I then wait for price to retrace and see how price reacts at my level. Most of my entries are engulfs however I sometimes take dojis.

It's important to note there are no hard and fast rules for this strategy. I simply take trades that make sense to me and then over time look for patterns in my losses and adjust my definition of "what makes sense" while keeping in mind what is going well.

This strategy is more time consuming but once I have taken 1-2 trades, I'm done for the day.

I will try my best to post trades as I have taken them with an explanation. I believe this helps with my own accountability too.

Let's see how it goes!

Swing Strat:

USDCHF

Let's start things off with this trade from last night.

MN: EMAs down and candles pushing down.
W1: After a big move up we are pushing down inline with MN.
D1: EMAs bearish and price is rejecting that zone.
Candle of Interest: Doji rejection of EMA.
Entry: After the close of the daily, I set a PO for the latest high.
SL: Original SL above that big wick (highlighted with the arrow).

Result: Win!

This was the first trade of this strategy.

Swing Strat:

EURCAD

MN: Break of TL to the upside with strong monthly pushes. We are rejecting the EMA200 but need to see what that translates to on lower LTFs.
W1: The latest engulf was to the upside also we have a lot of wicks to the upside.
D1: That zone at the top is a nice liquidity target for price. Technically we have a 1-2-3 pattern down but W1+ structure is up. Also the 1-2-3 pattern is just coming to demand.
H4: It can be seen we have come to fresh demand which is holding. 1-2-3 patterns to the upside inline with W1+ structure. Also price is engulfing to the upside.
Candle of Interest: H4 rejection of EMA.
Entry: After the close of H4 I found a M30 Rally Base Rally (Sam Seiden methodology) to enter off.
SL: Just made sense to me to put it there.

Update - RESULT: Loss

Scalping Strat:

USDCHF

MN: EMAs down and candles pushing down.
W1: After a big move up we are pushing down inline with MN.
D1: EMAs bearish and price is rejecting that zone.
H4: Bearish EMA & Structure (1-2-3 pattern)
H1: Clear range down to the flipzone.
M15: Found a historical fractal line that price wicked to previously and rejected. We also have a SnR zone there.
Entry: Was tempted to enter after the doji but waited for further confirm. Entry was after the bearish engulf on M15.

Result: Win.

Scalping Strat:

AUDCHF

HTFs are not the clearest as we are consolidating so taking the cues from LTFs.

H1: structure is down and EMAs down.
M15: we have a Fractal Line + Wickless Trend Line + First Drop Base Drop that broke structure from that base from the past
Confirm is a very strong engulf after a clean break from LN Open
These kinds of trade where there is no strong HTF bias have a lower winrate but this looked good to me

Result: WIN

Swing Strat:

US30:
D1+ All bullish
H4 EMA14 Rejection
Entry was a little late as I waited for a little confirmation (engulf) before entering.
I am unable to show the live position because index trades are taken from a different platform but this is my live position.

Result: WIN

Swing Strat:

D1: EMA200 Rejection + Doji
W1: Structure Bullish

Swing Strat:

DE40

All HTFs Very Bullish.
Entry signal was H4 EMA14 Doji.
Again I can't show live positions on Index trades unfortunately but that's the trade I have on.

Update:
Result: WIN

Update:

SL Hit.

Swing Strat:

NJ:

HTF all Bullish
D1: Double Rejection of both EMAs
H1 Entry at Rally Base Rally

This trade activated and hit TP overnight.

Result: WIN

Swing Strat:

EU:

H4: EMA 14 Rejection
D1: Engulf down

This is a counter-trend trade as HTF is bullish so a little more risky but LTF seems to have nice momentum down.

Update:
Result: WIN.

Swing Strat

USDCAD:

H4 EMA 14 Rejection.
Weekly Structure Up.

Result: WIN

Well done Brother...

Regardless the entry point on ANY method, if you are trading with the Trend you are better than half way to a profitable trade.

BUT... the key to success is controlling Risk.

Take a coin and flip it 10, 20, and 100 times.

Record the results on a spreadsheet.
... heads are your winning trades and tails are your losers.

You may get 6 or more losers in a row at times, but the other side of the coin is you may get 6 or more wins in a row.
... you have no edge until you adjust your risk.

NOW
Record $2 wins on heads.
Record $1 losses on tails.

This is a simulation of a Trading Strategy with a 50% winrate using a TakeProfit of 2 times your risk... a Risk:Reward of 1:2

The higher the Reward you go for, the more chance you have encountering long losing streaks.

Thanks bro! It's mainly your rules! The only thing I do is filter the signals manually. Last week I was a little distracted by something new I was trying but from next week will get back to trading this strat. It's so simple! And yes I completely agree with you!


And yes I have a fixed R:R of 1.5 and then just try and work on win rate over time. It works well for me as takes out a lot of the stress about when to close a trade.

Lastly, I have decided to migrate to this thread:

https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...d-common-sense

The guy who started it has an amazing style of trading I really like as it's so simple and this strategy of yours meets his criteria for his thread so I will be posting there.

Don't be a stranger! Post there if you get some time. Would be great to have experienced traders posting EMA strats in that thread and benefit all. Hopefully we can help each other to become better traders.

Thank you!

Hi thehusla,
what does this indicator do??

atb vvm

Hi here,
s. Chart

atb vvm

He thehusla
what does this indcator do?

atb vvm

Gives valid signals based on the rules.

thanks for Ur answer,

Do U use it Urself?

atb vvm