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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #710,961
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:06am Dec 2, 2022 1:06am
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,501 Posts
I think 2150 area is a set up for a 300-350 odd pip move north

USD approaching support
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Good Vibes - In charts we trust
Pulchra All Time Return: -88.4%
 
1
  • Post #710,962
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:09am Dec 2, 2022 1:09am
  •  trade866
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Quoting Pat Chiko
Disliked
{quote} Friday is NFP Day. TGIF The US NFP data will drive the primary move tomorrow in the intraday chart. PREVIEW: November US Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 200,000; Unemployment Rate Seen Steady at 3.7%{image} Most of these estimate are pretty much all high. I would have figured , it would be more have been in that 175k range. If the number fall below 175K, chance another round of spike up for GU on NFP. Any comment and view welcome. Troll will be executed on the spot.
Ignored
Fed officials are chiefly concerned about wage growth and the effect it is having on price pressures, given it is running far in excess of what is needed for inflation to fall back to the Fed’s 2 per cent target.
Average hourly earnings in November are expected to have increased another 0.3 per cent, a slightly lower monthly pace than the previous period but amounting to a 4.6 per cent annual jump. Many sectors remain hobbled by worker shortages, pushing up wages as companies try to attract new hires. In November, the so-called labour force participation rate, which tracks the share of workers either employed or looking for a job, is expected to remain stuck below pre-pandemic levels at 62.3 per cent. Holding back labour supply is a flood of early retirements and a slowdown in immigration.

-ft.com
 
2
  • Post #710,963
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:14am Dec 2, 2022 1:14am
  •  mrluckystar
  • Joined May 2011 | Status: Balance sh*t | 2,062 Posts
Quoting Pat Chiko
Disliked
DXY on NFP {image} Technically it has definitely topped, same as US yields... unless a severe global recession hits. After at an extensive drop and hitting support, probability is a bounce, things just don't go straight down and considering the FED will still raise rates in 2 weeks. May be we can see another pump. Have a good NFP, and thanks for today is Friday......
Ignored
Got it..

Usdx this year should touch 101.80 minimum (100 max) in oder to balance...

Thanks Pat!
Peace Yo!
 
1
  • Post #710,964
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:25am Dec 2, 2022 1:25am
  •  Pat Chiko
  • Joined Dec 2008 | Status: Newbie | 12,072 Posts
Quoting trade866
Disliked
{quote} Fed officials are chiefly concerned about wage growth and the effect it is having on price pressures, given it is running far in excess of what is needed for inflation to fall back to the Fed’s 2 per cent target. Average hourly earnings in November are expected to have increased another 0.3 per cent, a slightly lower monthly pace than the previous period but amounting to a 4.6 per cent annual jump. Many sectors remain hobbled by worker shortages, pushing up wages as companies try to attract new hires. In November,...
Ignored
Increased by 0.3%,but, Inflation is wiping out wage gains.
Real average hourly earnings fell in November on both a month-to-month and year-to-year basis.

Here's where economist and financial wizards start to manipulate the numbers
Here's the number visually.
Source : Bureau of Labour Stats
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Overall average hourly earnings have now fallen below their pre-pandemic trend after adjusting for inflation.

That is why FED and Economist wouldn't want to use median earnings ,instead used of average.
Inequality is so high it is destroying the information in those numbers.

And to make things worse, The US treasury printed 40% of all the USD every printed in the last year and they’re still printing money. Inflation was a given and created for the people.
I come from the future.
 
8
  • Post #710,965
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:36am Dec 2, 2022 1:36am
  •  dantpm
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Stubborn, slow but still learning! | 2,073 Posts
Quoting Pat Chiko
Disliked
{quote} Increased by 0.3%,but, Inflation is wiping out wage gains. Real average hourly earnings fell in November on both a month-to-month and year-to-year basis. Here's where economist and financial wizards start to manipulate the numbers Here's the number visually. Source : Bureau of Labour Stats{image} Overall average hourly earnings have now fallen below their pre-pandemic trend after adjusting for inflation. That is why FED and Economist wouldn't want to use median earnings ,instead used of average. Inequality is so high it is destroying the...
Ignored
Pat, I thought the treasury and the FED started pulling down the money supply in the summer this year?
Stubborn, often slow but still learning!
 
2
  • Post #710,966
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:45am Dec 2, 2022 1:45am
  •  suhas316
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 511 Posts
Short Crude Oil
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Born to Trade Forex !!!
 
1
  • Post #710,967
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:52am Dec 2, 2022 1:52am
  •  Robinhood1
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Postmaster | 10,424 Posts
Morning music. Its 8 am where i am. Specially for my buddy LvMMT

Inserted Video
PHASE II running 666
 
2
  • Post #710,968
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:53am Dec 2, 2022 1:53am
  •  Robinhood1
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Postmaster | 10,424 Posts
Quoting suhas316
Disliked
Short Crude Oil {image}
Ignored
You good at oil, not at GJ where there is a battle. Good luck
PHASE II running 666
 
1
  • Post #710,969
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:53am Dec 2, 2022 1:53am
  •  Houtbay
  • Joined Nov 2020 | Status: Member | 4,213 Posts
Cable I think will decline into the 1.19s
 
2
  • Post #710,970
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 1:54am Dec 2, 2022 1:54am
  •  sclpzmalay
  • Joined Jun 2010 | Status: scalperzmania forex hymnology | 240 Posts
Quoting trumps
Disliked
I think 2150 area is a set up for a 300-350 odd pip move north USD approaching support {image} {image} {image}
Ignored
I still waiting US session for next move.
study of behavior and mind,conscious and unconscious
 
 
  • Post #710,971
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:01am Dec 2, 2022 2:01am
  •  Robinhood1
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Postmaster | 10,424 Posts
Quoting Robinhood1
Disliked
{quote} Usdcad This could be 2nd support out of 3 plus the failure sending price between 1st & 2nd support and thus begining a nice run up. Waiting for 3rd support now {image}
Ignored
Usdcad

Still forming
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PHASE II running 666
 
1
  • Post #710,972
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:02am Dec 2, 2022 2:02am
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 22,257 Posts
i accept a drop today after reaching 1.23000 res
meanwhile i am found new strategy that would save me from the bears trap yesterday
there was a break below the 30 ema bands but there was no conformation from the bb macd indicator
wait wait what i am will do to you on Wednesday , crooky mf
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  • Post #710,973
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:02am Dec 2, 2022 2:02am
  •  Indiara
  • Joined Aug 2022 | Status: Waiting in the long grass | 1,394 Posts
Eeeek.....I only just got here in time for Uncle Frankie! Hello friends, I hope you are all well and made some pips from what looks like another good NY session yesterday.

Perhaps there will be some cream for me today
I am neither brave nor stupid...I am just a part time trader
1
6
  • Post #710,974
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:09am Dec 2, 2022 2:09am
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 22,257 Posts
i show this yesterday , this potential stop hunt but ignored it
or hope it won't played out
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3
  • Post #710,975
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:13am Dec 2, 2022 2:13am
  •  OragonFx
  • Joined Sep 2022 | Status: Confused | 106 Posts
If this is a consolidation, then its preparing for a big move. Trade safe everyone and remember todays friday!

but it looks like bulls reloading for a big move
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No pen no gen
 
1
  • Post #710,976
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:16am Dec 2, 2022 2:16am
  •  suhas316
  • Joined Aug 2014 | Status: Member | 511 Posts
Quoting suhas316
Disliked
Short Crude Oil {image}
Ignored
30+ pips now
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Born to Trade Forex !!!
 
3
  • Post #710,977
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:20am Dec 2, 2022 2:20am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Underwater | 8,991 Posts
Sell limit 1.2257
sl 1.2291
Tp 1.215
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3
  • Post #710,978
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:20am Dec 2, 2022 2:20am
  •  OragonFx
  • Joined Sep 2022 | Status: Confused | 106 Posts
Quoting Pat Chiko
Disliked
{quote} And to make things worse, The US treasury printed 40% of all the USD every printed in the last year and they’re still printing money. Inflation was a given and created for the people.
Ignored
DOOMED. People should invest with something with real value like gold
No pen no gen
 
1
  • Post #710,979
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2022 2:22am Dec 2, 2022 2:22am
  •  Bella.al
  • Joined Oct 2022 | Status: Girl of Steel | 483 Posts | Online Now
Come on Bears Do Something!

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Goddess of Thunder..
1
6
  • Post #710,980
  • Quote
  • Edited 3:00am Dec 2, 2022 2:23am | Edited 3:00am
  •  Fardeen1209
  • Joined Jul 2021 | Status: Rookie | 1,336 Posts
Quoting Pat Chiko
Disliked
{quote} Friday is NFP Day. TGIF The US NFP data will drive the primary move tomorrow in the intraday chart. PREVIEW: November US Nonfarm Payrolls Expected to Rise by 200,000; Unemployment Rate Seen Steady at 3.7%{image} Most of these estimate are pretty much all high. I would have figured , it would be more have been in that 175k range. If the number fall below 175K, chance another round of spike up for GU on NFP. Any comment and view welcome. Troll will be executed on the spot.
Ignored
With ADP figures released way below the estimate while the monthly average Initial Job claims kept increasing, the probability for a below than expected is very high!
Even big banks like JPM, GSachs and Nomura forecast <200K, and very often their forecast is close to right and the market listens to them, IMO.

However, it becomes a trend for almost 3-4 months since NFP data released kept shocking the market by almost twice the amount of the Forecasted figures.
Trade at good levels or no trade at all!
 
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