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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #707,281
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:04am Nov 15, 2022 8:04am
  •  PatienceFx
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: enjoying life | 15,098 Posts | Online Now
booked all trades
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Indicators on my chart help me guess the trade they do not guarantee result
 
5
  • Post #707,282
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:05am Nov 15, 2022 8:05am
  •  MrFanciful
  • | Joined Mar 2021 | Status: Member | 767 Posts
Quoting JayBag
Disliked
{quote} I have to agree. Nothing fishy at all. Price will always go where it wants to go... MM are only good at throwing us off with how they set these candles up Besides that, price will always go where it wants no matter our opinion
Ignored
How do you determine where it's going?
I always seem to be on the wrong side.
 
1
  • Post #707,283
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:07am Nov 15, 2022 8:07am
  •  JayBag
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Clueless | 6,418 Posts
Quoting fxpider
Disliked
{quote} That leads me to ask, where does the price want to go? and how to know that?
Ignored
Very valid question

I still have not figured that part out for over 12 years now. Oh dear, do we ever figure that out?
After that long staring at charts, all I have is 'IDEAS'

Nothing is ever definitive in this industry.
 
2
  • Post #707,284
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:09am Nov 15, 2022 8:09am
  •  AlfieSolomon
  • Joined May 2021 | Status: Member | 606 Posts
I think it's targeting the 1.197 region which is also a FVG on Daily timeframe
 
 
  • Post #707,285
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:10am Nov 15, 2022 8:10am
  •  trade866
  • Joined Dec 2011 | Status: Member | 59 Posts
Buyer done here 1.1900... most prob
 
 
  • Post #707,286
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:11am Nov 15, 2022 8:11am
  •  Headland
  • Joined Apr 2020 | Status: not posting atm | 5,176 Posts
...sorry to interject on those 2 questions re '... How do we know where it is going...' addressed to Jaybag.

No-one knows where it is going....it's all probability, it's all we have. All you can do is play your edge when it develops. Some trades will win, and some will lose. Adapt your risk and money management appropriately, and that's it.

Definition of an edge:

A Trading Edge is a repeating circumstance or set of circumstances (ie a set-up or combination of set-ups comprised of whatsoever variables) that suggest a greater probability of one thing happening over another, based on historical precedent over a large representative empirically documented sample size, to that point in time. Additionally and alternatively; if the edge does not suggest a greater probability of one thing happening over another, then based on a large representative empirically documented sample size to date, it suggests that more gain is available when it succeeds than when it fails, sufficient to realize a net gain over any given future sample size of trades.
Intraday (mainly) swing scalper (+,) via a Supp/Res & PA based edge.
 
1
  • Post #707,287
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:14am Nov 15, 2022 8:14am
  •  pgidia
  • Joined Mar 2011 | Status: Still Learning | 868 Posts
Quoting PatienceFx
Disliked
booked all trades {image}
Ignored

Waiting for revert on 3 lines

what are those ??
PaRaM
 
 
  • Post #707,288
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:16am Nov 15, 2022 8:16am
  •  fxpider
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 340 Posts
Quoting JayBag
Disliked
{quote} Very valid question I still have not figured that part out for over 12 years now. Oh dear, do we ever figure that out? After that long staring at charts, all I have is 'IDEAS' Nothing is ever definitive in this industry.
Ignored
These 'IDEAS' make us BIASED and we see what we like to see rather than what we are supposed to see in the chart. And doing so most of us, fall into the trap of engineered illusion. Just IMHO.
Always learning
 
1
  • Post #707,289
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:17am Nov 15, 2022 8:17am
  •  JayBag
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Clueless | 6,418 Posts
Quoting MrFanciful
Disliked
{quote} How do you determine where it's going? I always seem to be on the wrong side.
Ignored
First, we must decide if we want to SCALP, SWING or POSITION.

In my case, I love SWING hence my current trade target is around 300pip. Now, to try to archive that, I must be willing to give at least 100 pips. (That's just me) others could risk way less. If one decides to be a POSITION trader, one should be ready to risk more.

To loosely answer your question, I just have ideas of areas to hunt for longs or short. I play around that area and that's it. I don't have any magic or special ways of pinpointing. (I may get lucky at times with clean entries but not always)

Do you know the biggest problem? A scalper taking exact entries with a SWINGER

Bottom line, I don't know much just like everyone else
 
6
  • Post #707,290
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:20am Nov 15, 2022 8:20am
  •  redcat3003
  • | Commercial Member | Joined Jul 2021 | 221 Posts
Quoting JayBag
Disliked
{quote} First, we must decide if we want to SCALP, SWING or POSITION. In my case, I love SWING hence my current trade target is around 300pip. Now, to try to archive that, I must be willing to give at least 100 pips. (That's just me) others could risk way less. If one decides to be a POSITION trader, one should be ready to risk more. To loosely answer your question, I just have ideas of areas to hunt for longs or short. I play around that area and that's it. I don't have any magic or special ways of pinpointing. (I may get lucky at times with clean...
Ignored
make screenshot of your trade explorer and make us happy
more than 1200% per day ?
RedcaT 3003
FTMO 10K - 2 (passed ) All Time Return: 6.8%
 
 
  • Post #707,291
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:22am Nov 15, 2022 8:22am
  •  JayBag
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Clueless | 6,418 Posts
Quoting fxpider
Disliked
{quote} These 'IDEAS' make us BIASED and we see what we like to see rather than what we are supposed to see in the chart. And doing so most of us, fall into the trap of engineered illusion. Just IMHO.
Ignored
You are 100% correct.

As of this moment, I have bear ideas till 1.1555 area.
I know for a fact where to pull the plug if I don't get it.

Just like everything else, it starts with an IDEA. Some work and some don't
Would you say Thomas Edison fell into a trap of illusion?
 
 
  • Post #707,292
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:24am Nov 15, 2022 8:24am
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 22,229 Posts
this is a start
i want more !!!!!!!!!!
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gap close at dx
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  • Post #707,293
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:24am Nov 15, 2022 8:24am
  •  JayBag
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Clueless | 6,418 Posts
Quoting redcat3003
Disliked
{quote} make screenshot of your trade explorer and make us happy more than 1200% per day ?
Ignored
I wish I sold Icecream
Anyway, I was just lucky the other day.

I hope I get lucky today
 
2
  • Post #707,294
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:27am Nov 15, 2022 8:27am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Underwater | 8,949 Posts
idea

1.194 (hidden supply on daily) is possible area for start the move but also now.
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Keep it simple, stupid.
 
 
  • Post #707,295
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  • Nov 15, 2022 8:30am Nov 15, 2022 8:30am
  •  mtako
  • Joined Sep 2020 | Status: Member | 5,005 Posts
Happy Tuesday mates Couldn't read you yet as I have been doing some extra work. But at last I have breather and it feels soooo good!!!!

Look at them 2 best of friends, salivating because they "Pavlov-remembered" what happened last time !

Quoting mtako
Disliked
Buying time !!!! from here 1779
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
Got in mid-range, now in the lows : buy stop 1.1755
Ignored
Quoting mtako
Disliked
bought here 1727, triad done !
Ignored
Intraday, bulls have enough control in my book to hold through some pullbacks, but perhaps closing one soon ! Dynamic SL of my 1779 now at 1849. All other longs' SLs at BE. Buy stop 1943
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If I don't mention SL and TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
 
1
  • Post #707,296
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:31am Nov 15, 2022 8:31am
  •  fxpider
  • Joined Nov 2012 | Status: Member | 340 Posts
Quoting JayBag
Disliked
{quote} You are 100% correct. As of this moment, I have bear ideas till 1.1555 area. I know for a fact where to pull the plug if I don't get it. Just like everything else, it starts with an IDEA. Some work and some don't Would you say Thomas Edison fell into a trap of illusion?
Ignored
For Thomas Edison, in our jargon, a "SMART MONEY" would be a better fit.
Always learning
 
 
  • Post #707,297
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:33am Nov 15, 2022 8:33am
  •  JayBag
  • Joined May 2016 | Status: Clueless | 6,418 Posts
Quoting fxpider
Disliked
{quote} For Thomas Edison, in our jargon, a "SMART MONEY" would be a better fit.
Ignored
Fair enough

Smart Money it is then
 
 
  • Post #707,298
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:34am Nov 15, 2022 8:34am
  •  MrFanciful
  • | Joined Mar 2021 | Status: Member | 767 Posts
Think I'm going to close my account and find something else to waste my money on
 
2
  • Post #707,299
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:35am Nov 15, 2022 8:35am
  •  kuroro001
  • Joined Jul 2007 | Status: Member | 17,772 Posts
inflation is gone, 0%

No more

You can load all longs, GU to 1,30+
COT: The precious data ignored
 
 
  • Post #707,300
  • Quote
  • Nov 15, 2022 8:35am Nov 15, 2022 8:35am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Underwater | 8,949 Posts
Quoting Whale
Disliked
idea 1.194 (hidden supply on daily) is possible area for start the move but also now. {image}
Ignored
Guess not, bulls in the house for now.
Keep it simple, stupid.
 
 
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