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  • #155,821
  • Sep 2, 2022 2:28am Sep 2, 2022 2:28am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Wow.. Breaking above 0.9980 was quicker and easier than I thought... I switch back to bullish, because this makes me think that the most recent drop actually was fake... In that regard, I will try to buy dips once NFP volatility starts...
now the key is they pass 200SMA ( around 0.9983 )on H1 and close H1 over it.

Then we can see fast move till 1.0025-35 zone.

Have a nice day!
Everyone makes mistakes, but only few use equity management.
  • #155,822
  • Sep 2, 2022 2:32am Sep 2, 2022 2:32am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Wow.. Breaking above 0.9980 was quicker and easier than I thought... I switch back to bullish, because this makes me think that the most recent drop actually was fake... In that regard, I will try to buy dips once NFP volatility starts...
Same here. Have closed all my longs at 9975 thinking of 9980 may smack it down. Haha damn
Patience, Emotion Control and Discipline.
  • #155,823
  • Sep 2, 2022 2:41am Sep 2, 2022 2:41am
Quoting marcin.kamaj
{quote} now the key is they pass 200SMA ( around 0.9983 )on H1 and close H1 over it. Then we can see fast move till 1.0025-35 zone. Have a nice day!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,824
  • Sep 2, 2022 2:53am Sep 2, 2022 2:53am
NFP Sweet Spots

Below chart shows all the potential sweet spots and s/r levels for NFP, based on H4.. It looks like zeeee bulls are coming!

I hope it helps
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD-H4.png Size: 17 KB
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #155,825
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:03am Sep 2, 2022 3:03am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
NFP Sweet Spots Below chart shows all the potential sweet spots and s/r levels for NFP, based on H4.. It looks like zeeee bulls are coming! I hope it helps {image}
Hey Ata, thanks for your chart! So where are you looking to buy?
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,826
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:22am Sep 2, 2022 3:22am
The bounce from yesterday might be over. Support and decision point is at 0.9965 on 15 minutes chart.

Another one idea is that EU creates a new support above 0.9965 at 15 min chart around 0.9980 and then dropes back to test it.

Anyway you see it is the same concept of following price action, higher lows need a break to consider a reverse on the trend.

0.9940 teritorry should offer some support in a drop - lets hope!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,827
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:28am Sep 2, 2022 3:28am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Hey Ata, thanks for your chart! So where are you looking to buy?
Once I draw my channel, I often try to buy below balance line (channel median line)

For today, that would be somewhere between 0.9950 and 0.9920... Can't be sure.. Must see how volatile NFP gets..
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #155,828
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:30am Sep 2, 2022 3:30am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Once I draw my channel, I often try to buy below balance line (channel median line)
Ok thanks! But you would not short until your long limit is reached because you switched to bullish?
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,829
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:33am Sep 2, 2022 3:33am
Quoting nic9man
{quote} Ok thanks! But you would not short until your long limit is reached because you switched to bullish?
Bro.. I already share a trade explorer to show what I do.. no need to ask for these details..

And yes I shorted already around 0.9980 because I expected that area to resist but it didn't.. Later I will try to get rid of that short order...

Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #155,830
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:38am Sep 2, 2022 3:38am
Just watching if to involve again, limit up 0007 intact, while limit down 9975 intact too. So breaks down to bounce may short next to see. Anyway if 0007 intact or even 0024 then we can see a new low today. Once for all bounce to bear continue while 4th h4 candle stay bull to challenge bear ! Still time there to tank fast price below 9963 and 53 to ensure bottom test present h4 candle.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: sketch-1662107456590.png Size: 68 KB
Not understand?better not follow my analyses!doubt clearer first, risks ++
  • #155,831
  • Sep 2, 2022 3:58am Sep 2, 2022 3:58am
It would retest .9940 again
Opened short for narrow TP
Just my view
  • #155,832
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:04am Sep 2, 2022 4:04am
Quoting Erkat
I think there is still hope for bulls
It seems that a wedding is being prepared at the bear camp⁦
Half of the time, the market is building resistance and support levels, and
  • #155,833
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:10am Sep 2, 2022 4:10am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
{quote} Bro.. I already share a trade explorer to show what I do.. no need to ask for these details.. And yes I shorted already around 0.9980 because I expected that area to resist but it didn't.. Later I will try to get rid of that short order...
thx, understood
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,834
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:35am Sep 2, 2022 4:35am
today will be interesting because frankly I don't know too many people who are confident of where the EU is headed - either short or long-term.

Cases can be made for both bears and bulls and everyone is looking at the NFP as the "catalyst" that gets things moving. Maybe it will maybe it won't and frankly it really doesn't matter. what?

If the reading is STRONG (20000 > estimated) that market will assume that 0.75% FED will be locked in with a possible 1.0% looming for September (AIN'T GOING TO HAPPEN). Therefore the dollar will zoom

If the reading is WEAK (20000 < estimated) ThIS would cause the USD to retrace back to the 108.5 area causing Euro to ascend to 1.01 possibly

Which direction will it go? I really wish I knew. Good luck to all
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #155,835
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:38am Sep 2, 2022 4:38am
The ghost of the news again EUR PPI m/m came 4.0% that is 1.5% up from the forecast of 2.5% and 2.7% up from the previous release, 1.3% - revised with +0.2% from 1.1%.

EU may move above 0.9997 high if, bulls decide to pick it here, so watch next we may see it above parity at 1.0009.

Quoting Js3mwtRc
The ghost of the news again EUR PPI m/m came 4.0% that is 1.5% up from the forecast of 2.5% and 2.7% up from the previous release, 1.3% - revised with +0.2% from 1.1%. EU may move above 0.9997 high if, bulls decide to pick it here, so watch next we may see it above parity at 1.0009.
0.9969 now is looking good for any bounce on both sides!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,836
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:52am Sep 2, 2022 4:52am
I just turned head to long EU
Daily chart: would set up bottom leg 2 for upside
Just my view
  • #155,837
  • Sep 2, 2022 4:57am Sep 2, 2022 4:57am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EUR_USD_20220902_05.52.png Size: 22 KB
My hourly chart is telling me that parity is the defining price. That is where there is a downtrend and the MACD is beginning to roll over.

On the OTHER hand my "gut" is telling me that parity will not hold and that EUR is due to rocket to 1.0080 today based on :

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY_2022-09-02_05-56-19.png Size: 21 KB
I'm expecting the dollar to retrace to the 38% fib which goes with my "gut" but that 1 hour EU chart looks bearish...

Decisions...decisions...
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #155,838
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:01am Sep 2, 2022 5:01am
Quoting fxsport
{image}My hourly chart is telling me that parity is the defining price. That is where there is a downtrend and the MACD is beginning to roll over. On the OTHER hand my "gut" is telling me that parity will not hold and that EUR is due to rocket to 1.0080 today based on : {image}I'm expecting the dollar to retrace to the 38% fib which goes with my "gut" but that 1 hour EU chart looks bearish... Decisions...decisions...
Looks like your gut won.
  • #155,839
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:02am Sep 2, 2022 5:02am
Took profits on my remaining shorts, seems to uncertain from here. Might try 1.0033 for one more shot.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,840
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:10am Sep 2, 2022 5:10am
Quoting fxsport
{image}My hourly chart is telling me that parity is the defining price. That is where there is a downtrend and the MACD is beginning to roll over. On the OTHER hand my "gut" is telling me that parity will not hold and that EUR is due to rocket to 1.0080 today based on : {image}I'm expecting the dollar to retrace to the 38% fib which goes with my "gut" but that 1 hour EU chart looks bearish... Decisions...decisions...
If, NFP fail to deliver then, EURUSD could go to 1.0089 again, or some pips above, a place where selling should prevent any serious damage to the bear - just my thought for the risky guys I use stops. Also the area of 0.9940 could offer a good long to the bull. I can't think buying, or selling now until after the release.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
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