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  • #155,841
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:10am Sep 2, 2022 5:10am
Fake bull b4 NY and b4 NFP
  • #155,842
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:11am Sep 2, 2022 5:11am
It goes from one fib to the other until now. 61,8 resisted now.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDH1.png Size: 12 KB
  • #155,843
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:14am Sep 2, 2022 5:14am
Quoting dantpm
{quote} Looks like your gut won.
Something is fishy - this move in EU is due to DXY weakness only. The higher CPI didn't have the impact that it should have (meaning no one really believe the ECB is going to raise rates 0.75%)

Why am I concerned? I expect a pullback in USD but movements this early indicate to me a "false break" and smell of banks getting the market to move in the opposite direction in order for them to accumulate liquidity.

I'm short another market and waiting before taking a long in EU.

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: fishy.jpg Size: 9 KB
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #155,844
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:15am Sep 2, 2022 5:15am
Bulls be careful. I smell a trap. I really hope that the recent downward action was fake and this today will hold but it is very similar to what happened last few days with 160 pips ups (29th to 30th of August) and downs (31st and 1st).
  • #155,845
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:18am Sep 2, 2022 5:18am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} If, NFP fail to deliver then, EURUSD could go to 1.0089 again, or some pips above, a place where selling should prevent any serious damage to the bear - just my thought for the risky guys I use stops. Also the area of 0.9940 could offer a good long to the bull. I can't think buying, or selling now until after the release.

What he said. In fact I've got sell orders at 1.0080 with 30 SL and buys at 0.9920 with tighter 25 SL
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #155,846
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:21am Sep 2, 2022 5:21am
Sold @ 1.0009

Sl 30 pips

Tp 0.9950
  • #155,847
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:30am Sep 2, 2022 5:30am
Quoting fontu
{quote} This h4 may try continue correct while limit h4 tf 0007 and In smaller tf limits go 9972, 85 and 0024, pullback or bullback. It continue correct overnight without having bottom test should easily frigile and bear continue. Daily not close exact 9941, so consciously maintaining bear intention! Lets see {image}
Hello Source,
Sorry for the delay in responding, I wasn't online here due to my off hours. I have two ticks on my chart 1.00130 and 1.00350 within that range was where the price worked the most. I'll try to get out of the Longs at 1.00500 or just below. (But I believe that today we can reach the range of 1.01400).
"No pain no gain"
  • #155,848
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:38am Sep 2, 2022 5:38am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} What he said. In fact I've got sell orders at 1.0080 with 30 SL and buys at 0.9920 with tighter 25 SL
0.9920 looks too low for me, but safer and EU might travel fast down just to get there The same could happen with 1.0089, its more safe to sell in a bear market and I can bet it will go down before NFP too if, it reach there!

Thanks!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,849
  • Sep 2, 2022 5:41am Sep 2, 2022 5:41am
Short limit for 1.0045, if reached before the payrolls.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #155,850
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:00am Sep 2, 2022 6:00am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
{quote} 0.9920 looks too low for me, but safer and EU might travel fast down just to get there The same could happen with 1.0089, its more safe to sell in a bear market and I can bet it will go down before NFP too if, it reach there! Thanks!
I found that using "safer" sell stops and buy stops works better on high volatility days as spreads increase."

For me it's all about the DXY and 109. If it closed below there EU takes off like a rocket. If 109 holds (and I'm leaning this way) then I will definately be selling the break.
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #155,851
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:07am Sep 2, 2022 6:07am
Watch DXY carefully. 110.25 is the limit. That's when the bulls kicks off in EURUSD.
  • #155,852
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:13am Sep 2, 2022 6:13am
Quoting Traderview
Sold @ 1.0009 Sl 30 pips Tp 0.9950
I have sold alike (0.9997). My TP is 0.9975 only, though.
  • #155,853
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:23am Sep 2, 2022 6:23am
Sell limit just got activated but it's not a high probability
Trendline could act as support
NFP could spike this thing either ways, traders should be cautious of this pair at the moment
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSD_2022-09-02_12-21-50_d82bb.png Size: 34 KB
  • #155,854
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:24am Sep 2, 2022 6:24am
Quoting Traderview
Sold @ 1.0009 Sl 30 pips Tp 0.9950
Closed it @ 0. 9989.
Sidelines until NFP.
  • #155,855
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:41am Sep 2, 2022 6:41am
Quoting yvestrcz
{quote} I have sold alike (0.9997). My TP is 0.9975 only, though.
I keep mine alive as I believe the ascending broadening wedge that I can see on M15 has the potential to take it as low as perhaps 0.99615 or so.
  • #155,856
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:52am Sep 2, 2022 6:52am
morning wait for it, go back to where we drop from...
  • #155,857
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:52am Sep 2, 2022 6:52am
Quoting fxsport
{quote} I found that using "safer" sell stops and buy stops works better on high volatility days as spreads increase." For me it's all about the DXY and 109. If it closed below there EU takes off like a rocket. If 109 holds (and I'm leaning this way) then I will definately be selling the break.
Safer, but hard to predict! I look at USDX too, but for me best is a longer view. Althought drop below 109 may-be just the beginning of a bigger drop.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #155,858
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:53am Sep 2, 2022 6:53am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: eurusd-02-09.png Size: 11 KB
"No pain no gain"
  • #155,859
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:54am Sep 2, 2022 6:54am
Short term value indicating bearish signal which is related to interpretation of longerterm market developments that formed short term value. Im going to stay short and ride NFP out
  • #155,860
  • Sep 2, 2022 6:57am Sep 2, 2022 6:57am
Looking as EURUSD chart it seems on NFP data the EURUSD will go upside toward 1.0030 and 1.0060. Today closing above 1.0050 will open the upside room till 1.0204 in next week. Let see what will happend in next 35 mins.
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