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EURUSD only

  • #154,941
  • Aug 22, 2022 4:59am Aug 22, 2022 4:59am
Daily close is VERY important!!!
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  • #154,942
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:03am Aug 22, 2022 5:03am
in general, I expect something like this scenario: the euro will roll back a bit, drop the freeloaders, then go seriously south, and stops may be hunted there, so there is hope that we will slip through to 0.96 without stopping. if not, then we can be stuck there for a long time - for a few more weeks. any objections?

The logic here is as follows: those who jumped into the last car - whose money will they take away from the market? That's why I call them "freeloaders". they are usually knocked out by a rollback of about half the movement

in my opinion, it can still go to 1.015 or even 1.02
IgorFX
  • #154,943
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:05am Aug 22, 2022 5:05am
Considering that we're at the parity already the 2nd time, there's NO NEED for the retracement. It should just GO ALL THE WAY DOOOOOWN!!!!!
  • #154,944
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:10am Aug 22, 2022 5:10am
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always shorting eu All Time Profit: $1,476
  • #154,945
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:15am Aug 22, 2022 5:15am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
A new small trend created. If, you connect 1.0096 Fridays high European session high and todays Asian high at 1.0047 you will see what I mean. That and 1.0034 decision point are holding the trend down now. Next nearest target could be 1.0008.
I marked 1.0000 as a decision point now!

Edit: also 1.0019 could also offer a long opportunity.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,946
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:35am Aug 22, 2022 5:35am
Quoting Ata-Turkoglu
Meanwhile, on H1... Sell pressure sits currently around 1.0033.... Bulls can only bloom if they can achieve an H1 candle close above it... {image}
Based on H1, I am updating 1.0033 to 1.0021...
Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #154,947
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:46am Aug 22, 2022 5:46am
This is tomorrows calendar, the arrows are showing the forecast (red for worst & green for better than the previous release). What it supposed to be true here the most is that EU should fall down the morning at the Europe/London session and rise up after the US open. Lets see if, all go well as planned!
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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,948
  • Aug 22, 2022 5:51am Aug 22, 2022 5:51am
Meanwhile, on H4...

MY S/R levels for the next 7 hours or so...
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Focus only on what truly matters!
  • #154,949
  • Aug 22, 2022 6:54am Aug 22, 2022 6:54am
Wonder for how long they can protect parity..
Boy o boy when parity drops..
  • #154,950
  • Aug 22, 2022 7:26am Aug 22, 2022 7:26am
The next big fib extension to the downside will be .98212 and then .97227. It will take something in the news to break below these levels for certain. Otherwise, we should start to move higher. Selling at these levels is becoming very risky, short-term and long-term.
  • #154,951
  • Aug 22, 2022 7:55am Aug 22, 2022 7:55am
Quoting Matej.FX
Wonder for how long they can protect parity.. Boy o boy when parity drops..
There will be a lot of defense at parity. Even the ECB will be defending this level.
  • #154,952
  • Aug 22, 2022 8:23am Aug 22, 2022 8:23am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} There will be a lot of defense at parity. Even the ECB will be defending this level.
The ECB will certainly not be defending this level. They do no intervention at the FX market. In its history the ECB only intervened in 2000 and 2011... Right now there are no interventions.
Another day, another dollar.
  • #154,953
  • Aug 22, 2022 8:24am Aug 22, 2022 8:24am
Down channel is active, i only will look for sell setups
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  • #154,954
  • Aug 22, 2022 8:25am Aug 22, 2022 8:25am
Quoting Matej.FX
Wonder for how long they can protect parity.. Boy o boy when parity drops..
2 hours at the most?
  • #154,955
  • Aug 22, 2022 8:26am Aug 22, 2022 8:26am
Quoting MarvOli
{quote} There will be a lot of defense at parity. Even the ECB will be defending this level.
Why would they? To feed you greedy sellers?
  • #154,956
  • Aug 22, 2022 9:29am Aug 22, 2022 9:29am
What a drop, but it can do better, 0.9976 is where we should see bulls and bears deciding the next move.
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,957
  • Aug 22, 2022 9:34am Aug 22, 2022 9:34am
Will there be a double bottom?
  • #154,958
  • Aug 22, 2022 9:39am Aug 22, 2022 9:39am
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  • #154,959
  • Aug 22, 2022 9:48am Aug 22, 2022 9:48am
Quoting Js3mwtRc
What a drop, but it can do better, 0.9976 is where we should see bulls and bears deciding the next move.
The bulls saw no mercy, lets see at 0.9978 if, it gets there!
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #154,960
  • Aug 22, 2022 10:04am Aug 22, 2022 10:04am
Based on H1, my nearest resistance is now at 0.9986...
Focus only on what truly matters!
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