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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #85,721
  • Aug 10, 2022 8:03am Aug 10, 2022 8:03am
I think that bulls may have disappeared after the soft CPI report. Rallies should be sold from now on, until at least the next NFP report.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,722
  • Aug 10, 2022 8:56am Aug 10, 2022 8:56am
Quoting ForexGoose
I think that bulls may have disappeared after the soft CPI report. Rallies should be sold from now on, until at least the next NFP report.
Agreed. They were done last week. This was IMO a bull trap.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,723
  • Aug 10, 2022 9:09am Aug 10, 2022 9:09am
ugh.. missed my entry.
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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,724
  • Aug 10, 2022 9:48am Aug 10, 2022 9:48am
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be a thinker before being a reacter
  • #85,725
  • Aug 10, 2022 10:11am Aug 10, 2022 10:11am
130.9 is the next likely target for bears
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,726
  • Aug 10, 2022 10:28am Aug 10, 2022 10:28am
I think the bear could continue in the Asian session.
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,727
  • Edited 11:21am Aug 10, 2022 11:07am | Edited 11:21am
Quoting ForexGoose
130.9 is the next likely target for bears {image}
Only if wave 5 fails. 128.4. If more ugly news comes out.. 124 ish. IMO..


EDIT Sorry. You are right. Bears may jump ship there and then get back in on the retrace. The bottom is lower though IMO

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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,728
  • Aug 10, 2022 11:19am Aug 10, 2022 11:19am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} 149 IMO. If inflation really looses it 180ish. We are just getting into things. Crypto winter is coming, and they speculate October 2023 to be the spring. If that is even somewhat true, UJ is going to be on highs. Right now that market (Bitcoin) seems to have bottomed and left the bracket going north, which will corelate to us moving down. I am bearish through FOMC. IMO 134.9 is about to fail. I base this on the charts, and on a little trick I have picked up. I call it my FOMC indicator. The Thursday before FOMC between 9 and 11 pm EST.,...

Remember back on July 23rd when I said we were Bearish THROUGH FOMC???? Take a look at this daily chart. The Thursday before FOMC between 9 and 10 EST the chart showed what later became the start of wave 2. I am wondering now if that is the case for all of them. Have to take the time to look into it. Set a reminder for the next one. Let's see together.
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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,729
  • Aug 10, 2022 11:42am Aug 10, 2022 11:42am
Quoting ForexGoose
I think the bear could continue in the Asian session. {image}

PPI numbers are out tomorrow, and consumer confidence Friday Morning. I think we will range overnight like we did. To make the waves we need some retracement up. My 15m chart looks like we may end the US day here. If so we could range long enough for Euro market to think this is over and buy into it before the next move down. I am still not convinced we don't go sideways on the 4h for a complex correction which is why I dumped my shorts in profit.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,730
  • Aug 10, 2022 5:44pm Aug 10, 2022 5:44pm
sold from 132.8, stop loss is 133.6, target is 130.9.
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,731
  • Aug 10, 2022 8:51pm Aug 10, 2022 8:51pm
Quoting ForexGoose
I think the bear could continue in the Asian session. {image}
Tofday , JPY bank holyday, so i think no bears at Asian session, need too look at london and ny
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  • #85,732
  • Aug 11, 2022 1:51am Aug 11, 2022 1:51am
If we cross the 38% it's BOHICA time.

This does NOT appear to be ranging at these levels. We could see a wide range off that recent bottom though, in the coming weeks though.

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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,733
  • Aug 11, 2022 7:04am Aug 11, 2022 7:04am
Quoting ForexGoose
sold from 132.8, stop loss is 133.6, target is 130.9. {image}
25 more minutes until the PPI data is released, which should establish if there will be a fake bear or not
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,734
  • Aug 11, 2022 7:37am Aug 11, 2022 7:37am
Im now short on USD/JPY ....expecting like 130.500 region
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  • #85,735
  • Aug 11, 2022 1:02pm Aug 11, 2022 1:02pm
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} 25 more minutes until the PPI data is released, which should establish if there will be a fake bear or not {image}
fake bear today
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don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,736
  • Aug 11, 2022 7:01pm Aug 11, 2022 7:01pm
Remember this?
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Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,737
  • Aug 11, 2022 7:13pm Aug 11, 2022 7:13pm
Nap time. See you in a few. Selling 134.2 which is where it should be right around the time those numbers come out.
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,738
  • Aug 11, 2022 9:21pm Aug 11, 2022 9:21pm
yesterday , i did a bad trade (intraday)...sold the usd/jpy and hit my SL....learnt form the mistake...and today im bullish since gmt 00;00..lets seee how long this bull run goes ...if any reversals would be taking my profit and running away...i suspect like 133.5 region...lets see i dont wanna tp there...i hate the Tp for limiting my profitability ...also loving it for my planed exit
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  • #85,739
  • Aug 12, 2022 6:31am Aug 12, 2022 6:31am
Quoting buffedmage
yesterday , i did a bad trade (intraday)...sold the usd/jpy and hit my SL....learnt form the mistake...and today im bullish since gmt 00;00..lets seee how long this bull run goes ...if any reversals would be taking my profit and running away...i suspect like 133.5 region...lets see i dont wanna tp there...i hate the Tp for limiting my profitability ...also loving it for my planed exit
Not sure how long you have been trading, but in the beginning greed is bad. TP early. Profit is profit. But watch how the chart moves after. There is enough for everyone. You don't need it all. Good luck to ya
Don't compare your trades to others. Most often the masses are the asses
  • #85,740
  • Aug 12, 2022 6:48am Aug 12, 2022 6:48am
Quoting OBsayMkMoney
{quote} Not sure how long you have been trading, but in the beginning greed is bad. TP early. Profit is profit. But watch how the chart moves after. There is enough for everyone. You don't need it all. Good luck to ya
Thanks For the Nice words Man ! I Appreciate it ... yea , I'm relatively new to trading , trading since 2021..
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