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  • #1,216,881
  • Jul 5, 2022 9:13am Jul 5, 2022 9:13am
Quote
"The economic outlook for the UK and globally has deteriorated materially," the BoE said
https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/ban...rm-2022-07-05/

Owing to enormous debts accumulated during Covid lockdowns (when healthy people weren't allowed to go to work) and the suicidal sanctions on Russia.
  • #1,216,882
  • Jul 5, 2022 9:39am Jul 5, 2022 9:39am
Probably just another fakeout move designed to catch out retail traders
  • #1,216,883
  • Jul 5, 2022 9:54am Jul 5, 2022 9:54am
Talk about blinkered European elites!

U.S. oil released from the strategic reserve and intended to reduce fuel prices in America, is being shipped to Europe - which is in a terminal death spiral because it is cutting off its major supply of energy

https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...gh-2022-07-05/


Europe is SO FUCKED!
  • #1,216,884
  • Edited 10:53am Jul 5, 2022 10:40am | Edited 10:53am
Quoting JauntyLoon
Talk about blinkered European elites! U.S. oil released from the strategic reserve and intended to reduce fuel prices in America, is being shipped to Europe - which is in a terminal death spiral because it is cutting off its major supply of energy https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...gh-2022-07-05/ Europe is SO FUCKED!
Not Europe which is the cause, but Putin who always makes negative sentiment, especially regarding the energy needed by Europe .... in December , Putin likely to break/stop supply of gas and oil to Europe ... Russian War vs Ukraine are getting hotter, that is a negative sentiment for Euro
The Average Discount Everything
  • #1,216,885
  • Jul 5, 2022 11:07am Jul 5, 2022 11:07am
The liquidity situation is set for a fall to 1.020 if this persists.
THESE PEOPLE WITH COLORED BADGES ARE NOT PROFESSIONAL TRADERS
  • #1,216,886
  • Jul 5, 2022 11:20am Jul 5, 2022 11:20am
This is not going to pretty for any longs.
THESE PEOPLE WITH COLORED BADGES ARE NOT PROFESSIONAL TRADERS
  • #1,216,887
  • Jul 5, 2022 11:53am Jul 5, 2022 11:53am
Quoting hesron
attendtion to parity level {image} {image}


Ο επιμένων νικά
The one who insists, wins
Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,216,888
  • Jul 5, 2022 12:38pm Jul 5, 2022 12:38pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} Give us a detailed scenario for cable and after a few days we compare. I don't like to enter individual competition so as not to make a fool of anyone but since you insist. Oh, and it's not valid copying. here is mine {image}
No need for me to have a competition with you. I am already satisfied with my analyses. I think that you will find a sufficient number of postings on that thread to determine if it is just smoke-and-mirrors or the real deal. You can check them and some of the follow up posts and judge for yourself with your own criteria if I have made a fool of myself or not. You will find many short-term scenarios as well as some longer-term. For example, have a look at what I posted the first week of January, 2021 about the long term expectation for GBPUSD: Fool, or not?

+=====================
OK people, let's start 2021 with a look at GBPUSD.
Please remember that IMT analyses are based on expectations/probabilities of "normal" market movements. Considering that the pandemic is an "unusual event", we could very well see some unusual deviations from expected movements.

The bigger picture
Because we are in a rather long-term down move via the Year2+ turning down, with rallies still due on MN8 and higher TFs, there is an expectation for the current up swing seen on MN1 to end soon (likely within 1-3 months) followed by a pullback of 5-8 months that is likely to reach around 1.26, but with the behavior of recent swings, could reach to about 1.2. Then a subsequent up swing to the 1.35 to 1.45 area.
+=====================

This down move has extended to a full 14 months so far, and has indeed reached the the second expected level. 1.26 was hit April of this year, or 10 months from the swing high in June.
To free Gazans of Hamas, use whatever it takes.
  • #1,216,889
  • Jul 5, 2022 12:55pm Jul 5, 2022 12:55pm
Quoting keep4x
can someone tell me why USD getting strong, i can't see any news today .. anyone ?
It has to do with the US releases coming up this week wed ISM and fri Payrolls. They're position the market the way they need to. The original catalyst was the volatility at 23:30 cst aud rate relase. 30 min later right as London session opened they Pulled liquidity hard and let the all the antipodeans drop like lead - gathering supply in the process. Successively they ripped Yen and then Dollar followed suit.

This was a planned, concerted effort and this doesn't happen by accident. Where they take things later this week no one knows but them. You can be sure they know the numbers already.
THESE PEOPLE WITH COLORED BADGES ARE NOT PROFESSIONAL TRADERS
  • #1,216,890
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:16pm Jul 5, 2022 1:16pm
Quoting DrDave
{quote} No need for me to have a competition with you. I am already satisfied with my analyses. I think that you will find a sufficient number of postings on that thread to determine if it is just smoke-and-mirrors or the real deal. You can check them and some of the follow up posts and judge for yourself with your own criteria if I have made a fool of myself or not. You will find many short-term scenarios as well as some longer-term. For example, have a look at what I posted...
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POSTMASTER
  • #1,216,891
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:30pm Jul 5, 2022 1:30pm
Quoting JauntyLoon
Probably just another fakeout move designed to catch out retail traders

Yep... big losses being reversed in EUR/USD and S&P 500.

Yet more trendless sideways grind - 99.99% of retail traders lose, and that's the way it will always be.
  • #1,216,892
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:31pm Jul 5, 2022 1:31pm
Quoting hesron
{quote} Not Europe which is the cause, but Putin who always makes negative sentiment, especially regarding the energy needed by Europe .... in December , Putin likely to break/stop supply of gas and oil to Europe ... Russian War vs Ukraine are getting hotter, that is a negative sentiment for Euro

The recent 'coming off' of oil shows that a large component of higher prices is down to speculators.

Perhaps the left is correct in blaming price-gouging and greed on the part of big companies/financial markets.
  • #1,216,893
  • Jul 5, 2022 1:32pm Jul 5, 2022 1:32pm
USD probably gets rejected off that pivot and slides down
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  • #1,216,894
  • Jul 5, 2022 2:06pm Jul 5, 2022 2:06pm
Quoting DrDave
{quote} No need for me to have a competition with you. I am already satisfied with my analyses. I think that you will find a sufficient number of postings on that thread to determine if it is just smoke-and-mirrors or the real deal. You can check them and some of the follow up posts and judge for yourself with your own criteria if I have made a fool of myself or not. You will find many short-term scenarios as well as some longer-term. For example, have a look at what I posted...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de pantalla (4352).png Size: 21 KB
POSTMASTER
  • #1,216,895
  • Jul 5, 2022 2:39pm Jul 5, 2022 2:39pm
Quoting hesron
{quote} Not Europe which is the cause, but Putin who always makes negative sentiment, especially regarding the energy needed by Europe .... in December , Putin likely to break/stop supply of gas and oil to Europe ... Russian War vs Ukraine are getting hotter, that is a negative sentiment for Euro

Of course, the USA has totally clean hands...

It never overthrew a democratically elected Ukrainian government

The USA has never reneged on promises not to extend the borders of NATO

USA politicians never got lucrative contracts for their family members in their corrupt Ukrainian puppet regime

The USA has never invaded other countries under false pretexts in order to further its own economic interests

The USA has never supported coups against legitimate governments under the guise of supporting local sovereignty

No no no, the West has clean hands. The West occupies the moral highground
  • #1,216,896
  • Jul 5, 2022 2:58pm Jul 5, 2022 2:58pm
Quoting JauntyLoon
{quote} Of course, the USA has totally clean hands... It never overthrew a democratically elected Ukrainian government The USA has never reneged on promises not to extend the borders of NATO USA politicians never got lucrative contracts for their family members in their corrupt Ukrainian puppet regime The USA has never invaded other countries under false pretexts in order to further its own economic interests The USA has never supported coups against legitimate governments under the guise of supporting...

  • #1,216,897
  • Jul 5, 2022 3:23pm Jul 5, 2022 3:23pm
Quoting DrDave
{quote} No need for me to have a competition with you. I am already satisfied with my analyses. I think that you will find a sufficient number of postings on that thread to determine if it is just smoke-and-mirrors or the real deal. You can check them and some of the follow up posts and judge for yourself with your own criteria if I have made a fool of myself or not. You will find many short-term scenarios as well as some longer-term. For example, have a look at what I posted...
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: Captura de pantalla (4354).png Size: 21 KB
POSTMASTER
  • #1,216,898
  • Jul 5, 2022 3:53pm Jul 5, 2022 3:53pm
Quoting Robinhood1
Well, I have a feeling that Goliath set me free. I hope I don't have to come back. I am not a person who discloses something so precious that it took 22 years to arrive, nor do I need to make astronomical figures. The knowledge will always be there. Just continue to live comfortably. A hug to all. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tm9KHjxSzxw
the agreement was violated. now I'm going for the astronomical figures and to destroy Goliath
POSTMASTER
  • #1,216,899
  • Jul 5, 2022 3:58pm Jul 5, 2022 3:58pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} {image}
no chance
POSTMASTER
  • #1,216,900
  • Jul 5, 2022 3:58pm Jul 5, 2022 3:58pm
Quoting Robinhood1
{quote} {image}
semi locked
POSTMASTER
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