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USD/JPY Discussion

  • #85,521
  • Jun 23, 2022 9:52pm Jun 23, 2022 9:52pm
Quoting ninner
{quote} i felt like it.
Cool!
If I don't mention SL and/or TP = longer-term setup possibly in the works!
  • #85,522
  • Jun 24, 2022 7:16am Jun 24, 2022 7:16am
Quoting ForexGoose
{image}
no change in my view for now, still waiting for a rally
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_2022-06-24_08-15-56.png Size: 35 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,523
  • Jun 24, 2022 8:53am Jun 24, 2022 8:53am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} no change in my view for now, still waiting for a rally {image}
ForexGoose, besides the target of 137.xx? Are you in any positions? Took a glance back at a few screen shots, you had a bullish area red box which we are below, you had a buy @ 135.40 right? What are you looking to have happen to change your view?
Swing the AXE..HARD w/ Effort, Consistency and Patience
  • #85,524
  • Jun 24, 2022 9:10am Jun 24, 2022 9:10am
Quoting HTG
{quote} ForexGoose, besides the target of 137.xx? Are you in any positions? Took a glance back at a few screen shots, you had a bullish area red box which we are below, you had a buy @ 135.40 right? What are you looking to have happen to change your view?
I currently have a buy order opened and I'm bullish until I get stopped out.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_2022-06-24_10-09-55.png Size: 39 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,525
  • Jun 25, 2022 1:57am Jun 25, 2022 1:57am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} I currently have a buy order opened and I'm bullish until I get stopped out. {image}
My target for UJ next week is 138.
You can reach me on Telegram @ KramerFx
  • #85,526
  • Jun 27, 2022 7:53am Jun 27, 2022 7:53am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} I currently have a buy order opened and I'm bullish until I get stopped out. {image}
still waiting for 137.2
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_2022-06-27_08-52-34.png Size: 35 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,527
  • Jun 27, 2022 9:36am Jun 27, 2022 9:36am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} still waiting for 137.2 {image}
127.xx is on the table no 137.xx
  • #85,528
  • Jun 28, 2022 5:25am Jun 28, 2022 5:25am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} 127.xx is on the table no 137.xx
why do you think so?

it is currently at 136
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,529
  • Jun 28, 2022 5:57am Jun 28, 2022 5:57am
Jpy is very weak ... pair with any major currency and buy. you are looking good for a couple hunded pips. use fibs and fractals to calculate target. set it and look at it on friday close. out of all chf,cad and usd will give you maximum.
STING
  • #85,530
  • Jun 28, 2022 6:51am Jun 28, 2022 6:51am
My point of view, JPY very weak right now. If more good news from USA it can shoot up to 1.40 IMO.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #85,531
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:07am Jun 28, 2022 7:07am
Quoting stringfx
Jpy is very weak ... pair with any major currency and buy. you are looking good for a couple hunded pips. use fibs and fractals to calculate target. set it and look at it on friday close. out of all chf,cad and usd will give you maximum.
Fibonacci and fractals result in bankruptcy
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,532
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:08am Jun 28, 2022 7:08am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} still waiting for 137.2 {image}
maybe today
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDJPY_2022-06-28_08-06-38.png Size: 36 KB
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,533
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:15am Jun 28, 2022 7:15am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} why do you think so? it is currently at 136
Hi F this is a good question but my answer :
weekly candlestick pattern with high reliability
overbought
high price with Twenty years ago
Waiting for intervention BOJ
Change the trend 10-year bonds
Public expectations for the onset of a stagflation crisis
  • #85,534
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:21am Jun 28, 2022 7:21am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} Hi F this is a good question but my answer : weekly candlestick pattern with high reliability overbought high price with Twenty years ago Waiting for intervention BOJ Change the trend 10-year bonds Public expectations for the onset of a stagflation crisis
i have sold @ 135.42 with real 3 lots(no S/L no T/P) I am waiting for fall
But we have not seen it yet 137.20
Let's see
  • #85,535
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:36am Jun 28, 2022 7:36am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} Hi F this is a good question but my answer : weekly candlestick pattern with high reliability overbought high price with Twenty years ago Waiting for intervention BOJ Change the trend 10-year bonds Public expectations for the onset of a stagflation crisis
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/28/ark-...recession.html

Quote
Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood said Tuesday that the U.S. is already in an economic downturn, and she admitted that she underestimated the severity and lasting power of inflation.

You could be correct, but I would wait until September to short USD/JPY once the economic data shows that a recession is coming.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,536
  • Jun 28, 2022 7:57am Jun 28, 2022 7:57am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} i have sold @ 135.42 with real 3 lots(no S/L no T/P) I am waiting for fall But we have not seen it yet 137.20 Let's see
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/06/28/new-...base-case.html

Quote
New York Federal Reserve President John Williams said Tuesday he expects the U.S. economy to avoid recession even as he sees the need for significantly higher interest rates to control inflation.
“A recession is not my base case right now,” Williams told CNBC’s Steve Liesman during a live “Squawk Box” interview. “I think the economy is strong. Clearly financial conditions have tightened and I’m expecting growth to slow this year quite a bit relative to what we had last year.”

So, there is no data yet to support that a recession is in the U.S. or is coming soon, which should keep USD/JPY elevated. Maybe there is already a recession in the EU zone, which should result in EUR/JPY selling.
don't believe in mumbo jumbo from gurus & charlatans, don't pay them money
  • #85,537
  • Edited 8:47am Jun 28, 2022 8:33am | Edited 8:47am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} Fibonacci and fractals result in bankruptcy
maybe you have not used it the way it is supposed to be used but then everyone has their own opinion. as mentioned before there is no right or wrong in forex.. all that matters is making money against the banks and hedge funds. fibs fractals and EW has helped me a lot.
STING
  • #85,538
  • Jun 28, 2022 8:46am Jun 28, 2022 8:46am
Quoting hussin naiji
{quote} i have sold @ 135.42 with real 3 lots(no S/L no T/P) I am waiting for fall But we have not seen it yet 137.20 Let's see
Yes you could be right . on weekly we can see a good divergence forming on RSI. it could go down for a 1000 pip to 126 for a correction. but there is still a 100 pip to the upside... why lose that :-)
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: usdjpy.png Size: 17 KB
STING
  • #85,539
  • Jun 28, 2022 9:00am Jun 28, 2022 9:00am
On that note this is my DXY chart that i am following, this is purely technical speculation, so i know the fundamental geeks will have a problem.

I have a green on my accelator and waiting for a green bar on awesome.. plus 38.2 fibs (although early to tell ) as we could have a down move to complete correction some more. 107.35 looks like a good target for dollar index... after that we all know there will a abyss in the dollar to control all other factors happening in the world today as higher dollar is a big problem for the rest of the world.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: dxy dly1.png Size: 9 KB
STING
  • #85,540
  • Jun 28, 2022 9:43am Jun 28, 2022 9:43am
I've opened short position at 136.25. Perhaps there'll be a new top at 136.40 but i know that bears will participate now. My first support is 135.90, second 135.67 and third 135.20.
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