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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

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  • Post #659,001
  • Quote
  • May 13, 2022 3:59pm May 13, 2022 3:59pm
  •  donfriday
  • Joined Jan 2009 | Status: WHO AM I €&$ ? | 6,676 Posts
Quoting Mitiblotch
Disliked
{quote} How do you count your quarters? The second quarter should end in June, except I am missing something here.
Ignored
Q2 gave about 1K pips which mean by the end of Q2 in June it will still remain a win for the bear

Everyone count Quarterly the same not missing anything
I NEVER LOSE/=I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
 
1
  • Post #659,002
  • Quote
  • May 13, 2022 4:09pm May 13, 2022 4:09pm
  •  donfriday
  • Joined Jan 2009 | Status: WHO AM I €&$ ? | 6,676 Posts
liquidity will be needed to call the downtrend over watching in Q3

i expect a retest of the 3 arrows atleast one or two need to be retest
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I NEVER LOSE/=I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
 
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  • Post #659,003
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  • May 13, 2022 4:55pm May 13, 2022 4:55pm
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 18,380 Posts | Online Now
just before the close
i reached 338 $ , and withdraw another 100 $
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  • Post #659,004
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  • May 13, 2022 5:08pm May 13, 2022 5:08pm
  •  pipibrasci
  • Joined May 2021 | Status: Member | 570 Posts | Online Now
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Grit; Knowledge; positive mindset; all you need to overcome & KIS!!!
 
2
  • Post #659,005
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  • May 13, 2022 5:27pm May 13, 2022 5:27pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,259 Posts
I'll be looking for signs to sell anywhere within this region above
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Good Vibes - In charts we trust
Pulchra All Time Return: -88.4%
 
2
  • Post #659,006
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  • May 13, 2022 6:26pm May 13, 2022 6:26pm
  •  Nd10
  • Joined Mar 2019 | Status: Member | 1,248 Posts
Quoting donfriday
Disliked
liquidity will be needed to call the downtrend over watching in Q3 i expect a retest of the 3 arrows atleast one or two need to be retest {image}
Ignored
The second and third seem better for me
 
1
  • Post #659,007
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  • May 13, 2022 6:59pm May 13, 2022 6:59pm
  •  chess king
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: the risk is the unknown | 2,030 Posts
Quoting nAVIN2007
Disliked
{quote} the entry is not important just the exit.. Problem is the war..that can change things in an instant
Ignored
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jqnC54vbUbU
 
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  • Post #659,008
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  • May 14, 2022 12:26am May 14, 2022 12:26am
  •  EvilEye
  • | Joined Apr 2016 | Status: Member | 1,129 Posts | Online Now
Looks like the week ended on a bull trap.
Expecting to short this on Monday.
Can't see price clearing 1.2285, but if it does I'll be sitting on the sidelines.
 
 
  • Post #659,009
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  • May 14, 2022 12:43am May 14, 2022 12:43am
  •  RaHaG0D
  • | Joined Nov 2021 | Status: I'm colorful and happy | 114 Posts | Invisible
For me, 1.20500 is still valid. So far, there has been very good support for the 1.22 & the first resistance of my chart(1.22450) has passed well. 1.23 and 1.24 are the next resistance, which is likely to return from 1.22800. Next week it will be clearer that it will continue the trend or go to the sweet areas of 1.20500. For now, enjoy the weekend until Monday
I pray for the rain of gold from the sky for you and me
 
 
  • Post #659,010
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  • May 14, 2022 1:27am May 14, 2022 1:27am
  •  Mitiblotch
  • Joined Sep 2017 | Status: Member | 5,947 Posts
Quoting donfriday
Disliked
{quote} Q2 gave about 1K pips which mean by the end of Q2 in June it will still remain a win for the bear Everyone count Quarterly the same not missing anything
Ignored
I thought as much. Anyway, tomorrow makes it half of this quarter, and if there is anything possible, it is that this quarter can still be reversed completely or become a doji. So we cannot say bears won it. That's my original point.
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/mitiblotch/mt5-10567385/9464692
 
 
  • Post #659,011
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  • May 14, 2022 2:12am May 14, 2022 2:12am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Eyes on the prize | 6,547 Posts | Invisible
Quoting donfriday
Disliked
bears won Q1 and Q2 now i expect Q3 to retest Q2 low then up I am bullish in GU trade with SL
Ignored
not sure that supply and demand of assets working like this.
This is sound like a boxing match.
You can only lean on those things which provide resistance
 
 
  • Post #659,012
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  • May 14, 2022 3:11am May 14, 2022 3:11am
  •  fontu
  • Joined Mar 2008 | Status: Name real with real own way | 17,468 Posts | Invisible
no great but there are some differences from eu , more ranges up and down likely , more towards upside now . price may easily breaks over 2284, to even 2300 + , before tanking next . same baby camel patterns in action , here not respect limit already .take care
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  • Post #659,013
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  • May 14, 2022 4:21am May 14, 2022 4:21am
  •  OrbitalPer
  • | Joined May 2016 | Status: Member | 6 Posts
The big guys are actually still shorting, in fact they increases their shorts and cutting out longs from previous week, I personally think that we are still in a downtrend and we could go lower than last week's low.

IMHO
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  • Post #659,014
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  • May 14, 2022 4:43am May 14, 2022 4:43am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Eyes on the prize | 6,547 Posts | Invisible
Quoting Whale
Disliked
{quote} Thanks god you mention it. we didnt notice that. today or monday- GU will meet this horizontal line on 1.2336. The 50% precent of the Bearish OB and fvg {image}
Ignored
The only scenario for next week
after that, I will look for Another short opportunity, bears didn’t finish the job ( yes it can fly much more, step by step wave by wave)
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You can only lean on those things which provide resistance
 
5
  • Post #659,015
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  • Edited at 7:35am May 14, 2022 6:52am | Edited at 7:35am
  •  pipibrasci
  • Joined May 2021 | Status: Member | 570 Posts | Online Now
Quoting pipibrasci
Disliked
Never mind guys, REVERSAL is near. USD living off on life support from JPY. Though i expect Levels for BUY Entries to be - 1.2090 - 1.2150. but seems it might just turn around from here. Risk Mgt very crucial. Chart pattern - 65% reversal success rate 35% Trend continuation success rate. USDGBP D1 - Trend on the very extreme. Price close to next resistance zone. USDGBP H4 - Watch out for Candlestick pattern (crucial) Courtesy - USDGBP Chart. {image} {image}
Ignored
Whale,

Yea, agreed.. anything can happen in the fx markets. When we all expect to see it hit our "projected" zones/targets but instead it reverses from this point (1.2155). Reason why its always best to trade in the moment and "trade what you see"..

"Pullback" to 1.2380 - 1.2400 very likely.. and maybe continue upwards (not going below 1.2155).. who knows it might just have "reversed" from here..
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Grit; Knowledge; positive mindset; all you need to overcome & KIS!!!
 
1
  • Post #659,016
  • Quote
  • Edited at 7:26am May 14, 2022 7:01am | Edited at 7:26am
  •  pipibrasci
  • Joined May 2021 | Status: Member | 570 Posts | Online Now
Applied the MACD, MA 50 and Fib retracement tool on the DXY D1.

Divergences on the MACD & over shoot above the 50MA.

Mixed MACD divergence signals (Strong & Weak). what's most important to me is the momentum and blv it is strong in the overall.

My overall bias for the cable next week, BUY (scalp buys opportunities) until its confirmed trend has reversed.
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Grit; Knowledge; positive mindset; all you need to overcome & KIS!!!
 
2
  • Post #659,017
  • Quote
  • May 14, 2022 7:05am May 14, 2022 7:05am
  •  donfriday
  • Joined Jan 2009 | Status: WHO AM I €&$ ? | 6,676 Posts
Quoting Whale
Disliked
{quote} The only scenario for next week after that, I will look for Another short opportunity, bears didn’t finish the job ( yes it can fly much more, step by step wave by wave) {image}
Ignored
Yes the bear didn’t finish and also the bulls not happy with the current value


1.2750 is a perfect sell zone
I NEVER LOSE/=I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
 
2
  • Post #659,018
  • Quote
  • May 14, 2022 7:16am May 14, 2022 7:16am
  •  donfriday
  • Joined Jan 2009 | Status: WHO AM I €&$ ? | 6,676 Posts
It’s hard for me to write up on what I see from my chart


But to make it simple if the Q2 close above 1.25 then is possible to see 1.27 and 1.30 before another bearish

failure of Q2 to close above 1.25 open 1.20 in Q3 but never the less a touch of 1.20 in Q3 will offer a good swing level to buy and that will invalidate 1.35 and 1.40 this year


Then to buy and sell is valid than just 1 side cus we still have a space to cover before the new trend.

RSI is clearly oversold and they need to push price back to 80 value if the drop will start again failure if that mean the buying will be aggressive soon or later..patience will win

Trade with SL
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I NEVER LOSE/=I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
 
2
  • Post #659,019
  • Quote
  • Edited at 9:14am May 14, 2022 7:18am | Edited at 9:14am
  •  Whale
  • Joined Jun 2013 | Status: Eyes on the prize | 6,547 Posts | Invisible
Quoting pipibrasci
Disliked
Applied the MACD, MA 50 and Fib retracement tool on the DXY D1. {image} {image}
Ignored
FYI tradingview Macd is not good from my experience. Compare it to rsi or Other oscillator and you will see big differences.
but I do agree with you.
Although I will be very surprised if we will get a lot of bulls pips soon before the job of 1.196X will hit
but since I am not a prophet I will trade in small sections till the bottom
You can only lean on those things which provide resistance
 
1
  • Post #659,020
  • Quote
  • May 14, 2022 8:15am May 14, 2022 8:15am
  •  Moty
  • Joined Dec 2017 | Status: Member | 18,380 Posts | Online Now
Yesterday I got proof that I do not need to have 1000 dollars in the account to reach my goals that it is a profit of 50-100 dollars per day,
the only thing that can happen is that I will lose 1000 dollars, because with low leverage i can close a loss because the loss is only only 20-30 dollars,
And not $ 100-200 and i say to myself i will stay because I'm already in big loss.
In general the original plan is to start from $ 250 in the account and every $ 100 profit withdraw them and start over,
and yesterday I started with $ 200, then I went up to 422 $ then pull out and stayed with 262 $
from there I went up to 380 then pull out and stayed with 262 $
stayed with 250 $ then I went up to 338 $ then pull out 100 $
In total I pulled in $ 390 yesterday and it was not a day with really strong traffic because there were no news or data
And in general the confidence rises in every withdrawal because you feel that you are really making this money, because it will be in your bank account the next day
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