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  • Post #651,041
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:09pm Feb 6, 2022 2:09pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,279 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} I said earlier that indeed MN1 (and MN2) is in a downtrend, and this down trend is a PULLBACK in a larger up trend.
Ignored
What is MN1 and MN2?
Month 1, Month 2?

I am going by the definition of a trend as being a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (up trend)
or
A sequence of lower highs and lower lows (Down trend)

Attached, is the GBPUSD larger timeframe down trend.

Where is the Larger TF uptrend?
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Good Vibes - In charts we trust
Pulchra All Time Return: -88.4%
 
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  • Post #651,042
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:14pm Feb 6, 2022 2:14pm
  •  7division
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
Quoting trumps
Disliked
{quote} What is MN1 and MN2? Month 1, Month 2? I am going by the definition of a trend as being a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (up trend) or A sequence of lower highs and lower lows (Down trend) Attached, is the GBPUSD larger timeframe down trend. Where is the Larger TF uptrend? {image}
Ignored
I concur with your analysis trumps, I don't see long at all, if we go based on fibs structure, the bull moved failed to break the golden ration a sell signal occur which will make the price continuation of the original trend (downtrend)
 
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  • Post #651,043
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:15pm Feb 6, 2022 2:15pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,279 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} I said earlier that indeed MN1 (and MN2) is in a downtrend, and this down trend is a PULLBACK in a larger up trend.
Ignored
I think we different methods of defining trends, hence the confusion between us
Good Vibes - In charts we trust
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  • Post #651,044
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:21pm Feb 6, 2022 2:21pm
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 7,029 Posts
Quoting trumps
Disliked
{quote} What is MN1 and MN2? Month 1, Month 2? I am going by the definition of a trend as being a sequence of higher highs and higher lows (up trend) or A sequence of lower highs and lower lows (Down trend) Attached, is the GBPUSD larger timeframe down trend. Where is the Larger TF uptrend? {image}
Ignored
What is MN1 and MN2? Month 1, Month 2
Yes.

My basic trend also requires 3 swings. However, when I see 4 consecutive TFs in up swings with the smallest one just ending a first pullback, that is enough for me to mark that one as in an uptrend.

In addition, I have criteria for determining that a swing has most probably ended that aids in support of a new swing underway. So when a swing has reached its probable end, I can already make a decision as to whether to consider the new swing as a retracement or the start of a trend reversal.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
 
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  • Post #651,045
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:23pm Feb 6, 2022 2:23pm
  •  7division
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} What is MN1 and MN2? Month 1, Month 2 Yes. My basic trend also requires 3 swings. However, when I see 4 consecutive TFs in up swings with the smallest one is just ending a first pullback, that is enough for me to mark that one as in an uptrend.
Ignored
So you are ignoring basic market structure???? just a question I come in peace
 
 
  • Post #651,046
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:27pm Feb 6, 2022 2:27pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 8,001 Posts | Online Now
Quoting trumps
Disliked
{quote} I think we different methods of defining trends, hence the confusion between us
Ignored
We cannot compare a 4 H Chart / Trend

and a Monthly Chart
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  • Post #651,047
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:30pm Feb 6, 2022 2:30pm
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 7,029 Posts
Quoting 7division
Disliked
{quote} So you are ignoring basic market structure???? just a question I come in peace
Ignored
No, I don't ignore it. But it is certainly not of high priority, because I don't really care when/where a "control" swing reverses; I care about what unfolds on the TFs below the control TF.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
 
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  • Post #651,048
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:32pm Feb 6, 2022 2:32pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,279 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} What is MN1 and MN2? Month 1, Month 2 Yes. My basic trend also requires 3 swings. However, when I see 4 consecutive TFs in up swings with the smallest one just ending a first pullback, that is enough for me to mark that one as in an uptrend. In addition, I have criteria for determining that a swing has most probably ended that aids in support of a new swing underway. So when a swing has reached its probable end, I can already make a decision as to whether to consider the new swing as a retracement or the start of a trend reversal.
Ignored
Ok, I understand, a new higher TF uptrend is just beginning.
I also think the down trend (that I marked),is coming to an end.
However, based on the monthly reaction at previously marked resistance, I think we could in for some serious retracement before the new trend begins.
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  • Post #651,049
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:34pm Feb 6, 2022 2:34pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,279 Posts
Quoting parisboy
Disliked
{quote} We cannot compare a 4 H Chart / Trend and a Monthly Chart {image}
Ignored
I'm not.
Where did you get the idea I was trying to compare the two.
I never said anything about 4hr.

I was trying to understand what DrDave meant by a higher TF uptrend.
Good Vibes - In charts we trust
Pulchra All Time Return: -88.4%
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  • NotSoHard
  • Post #651,051
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:37pm Feb 6, 2022 2:37pm
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 7,029 Posts
Quoting parisboy
Disliked
{quote} We cannot compare a 4 H Chart / Trend and a Monthly Chart {image}
Ignored
Of course an H4 and MN chart can be compared. After all, look how the H4 swings move during the entire month that the MN1 bar is forming.

But outside of that, with the charts to Line Charts, zoom out, cover up the price and time axes, and just look at how the price line moves.

There is no difference in the structures that form. None. Do this with any TFs that you want, print them out, and give them to anyone and ask them what the TF is. The only correct guesses are the result of chance, not because of "clues" in the structure.

You can already see this with many "unmarked" images that I have posted. Without some "clues", there is no way to tell what TF those images are taken from.
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
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  • Post #651,052
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:39pm Feb 6, 2022 2:39pm
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 7,029 Posts
Quoting NotSoHard
Hidden
LOL
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
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  • Post #651,053
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:39pm Feb 6, 2022 2:39pm
  •  RCtrader
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Honourable Member | 1,697 Posts
A rate hike of 0.25% did not impress market participants. But bullish bias still stands.
Are the bulls serious?
Risk Management is of utmost importance!
1
 
  • Post #651,054
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:43pm Feb 6, 2022 2:43pm
  •  trumps
  • Joined Mar 2020 | Status: Member | 2,279 Posts
A rate hike,
Then this
https://www.forexfactory.com/news/11...tells-observer

Confusion in the markets
Good Vibes - In charts we trust
Pulchra All Time Return: -88.4%
 
 
  • Post #651,055
  • Quote
  • Feb 6, 2022 2:47pm Feb 6, 2022 2:47pm
  •  TooSlow
  • Joined Mar 2012 | Status: Trader | 11,738 Posts
Quoting DrDave
Disliked
{quote} At the time that I posted it, there was no need to specify TFs because it was merely an example. {image} Until MN8 turns down, no chance of the "big" direction being down.
Ignored
MN1 = 1 minute? 1 month? Something else? Thanks, Mate.
My Threads: Trading is as simple as 1-2-3, Highest Open / Lowest Open Trade
 
 
  • Post #651,056
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:50pm Feb 6, 2022 2:50pm
  •  parisboy
  • Joined Oct 2017 | Status: Member | 8,001 Posts | Online Now
GBPUSD Monthly

Centered Moving Averages 16 (months° and 32 (months) have turned UP
Attached Images (click to enlarge)
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Name: screenshot.png
Size: 150 KB
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  • Post #651,057
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  • Feb 6, 2022 2:53pm Feb 6, 2022 2:53pm
  •  7division
  • | Joined Jan 2020 | Status: Member | 58 Posts
Quoting NotSoHard
Hidden
Did I missed the party, wtf is going on? Waverick actually directed that message to me????
1
 
  • Post #651,058
  • Quote
  • Feb 6, 2022 4:28pm Feb 6, 2022 4:28pm
  •  Georginson
  • Joined Aug 2018 | Status: Veteran | 2,703 Posts
Quoting NotSoHard
Hidden
Hello mate, first and foremost I do want you to know that this post is not intended to attack or confront you in anyway. I don't see reasons Wave (Leon) should be attacked this way, as he's one of the best contributors in this thread and has been consistent for years here. I do assume you are new to this thread and you also have a lot to share to help others too. Please refrain from your attacks on Leon or any other member you may not agree with in the future. We have already lost a lot of fantastic contributors in this thread. Let's respect one another and politely disagree with one another too if need be. Your contributions are useful and I look forward to more useful posts from you.

Cheers,
George.
Swing and Intraday
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  • Post #651,059
  • Quote
  • Feb 6, 2022 4:35pm Feb 6, 2022 4:35pm
  •  DrDave
  • Joined Jun 2011 | Status: Member | 7,029 Posts
Quoting TooSlow
Disliked
{quote} MN1 = 1 minute? 1 month? Something else? Thanks, Mate.
Ignored
A very common convention:
M minute
H hour
W week
MN month
Q quarter
Y year
The markets are speaking to you. Do you know their language? I M T
1
 
  • Post #651,060
  • Quote
  • Feb 6, 2022 4:37pm Feb 6, 2022 4:37pm
  •  KeenPips
  • Joined Dec 2015 | Status: Member | 7,150 Posts
GBPUSD price action on the daily time frame is sideways. Price action was bullish for the first three days of last week but after market indecision on Thursday, bears seized on bullish missteps on Friday. Presently, bearish price action has printed a rejection candlestick below the horizontal resistance at the 1.35900/1.36420 area (red) and breaking below the 1.37450/1.35600 weekly supply zone (purple). However, the shadows on both ends of the bearish candlestick indicate that bears are not fully in control of market operation. We can expect further sideway, or even northward move, of price action in the early part of this week should bulls regain control of price action.

I may be wrong. Trade safe and prosper.

KP

Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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Do your homework, follow the footprints of smart money
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