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EURUSD

  • #1,209,001
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:40am Jan 24, 2022 10:40am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} It is subjective, every trader can draw it differently and more importantly, trendlines in different timeframes can contradict. In that case should you look at the monthy, weekly, daily or hourly? Which one? No trend will last forever, there's no guarantee that those lines will hold. Also another problem is, drawing a line from a to b to get in that trade from the c is not efficient. What's efficient is predicting a reversal and getting in to the trade from the a point rather than waiting to draw a trendline and losing the opportunity to...
its only subjective if you break the rules ,like that bitcoin line,
if you move it your in trouble
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,002
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:41am Jan 24, 2022 10:41am
Quoting ForexGoose
{quote} doesn't this guy also use trendlines to get rich? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLJ-Yz51Lrg
It doesn't matter what this guy does with trendlines. Trendlines are useful when used correctly.
Learn from your mistakes and march on.
  • #1,209,003
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:42am Jan 24, 2022 10:42am
Quoting tommydoginti
{quote} No offence, but when seeing peopl with no concept of money, I can’t imagine how on earth such sick mind can call the actual traders “dummies”. A dumpster cleaner in Canary Wharf? {image}
real rates are negative ,thats the scary thing about you macro guys ,
totally clueless
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,004
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:43am Jan 24, 2022 10:43am
EURUSD is bearish, looking at the first weekly support.

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Looking for profitable short term trades ...|
  • #1,209,005
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:50am Jan 24, 2022 10:50am
opps ,bullish hammer broke such a down trend

now thats what I call clueless
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,006
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:52am Jan 24, 2022 10:52am
Quoting Bones
{quote} real rates are negative ,thats the scary thing about you macro guys , totally clueless
Are you so even forgetting the figures you posted? that is the scary thing about ignorant old man.

now go borrow some money and don’t forget to return only $93 per $100. Good luck. Extra bucks for therapy.
  • #1,209,007
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:53am Jan 24, 2022 10:53am
Call of Duty: Modern Thread Warfare

This will lead to nowhere land
  • #1,209,008
  • Jan 24, 2022 10:58am Jan 24, 2022 10:58am
Quoting tommydoginti
{quote} Are you so even forgetting the figures you posted? that is the scary thing about ignorant old man. now go borrow some money and don’t forget to return only $93 per $100. Good luck. Extra bucks for therapy.

no thickie
if you have $100 in the bank after the last year its worth $93 down the super market
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,009
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:00am Jan 24, 2022 11:00am
the interest rate is 0 you get nothing back in interest in the US
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,010
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:02am Jan 24, 2022 11:02am
if you want to compare currency yield you need to think about inflation
you can'tcompare apples with oranges
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,011
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:05am Jan 24, 2022 11:05am
United States Fed Funds Rate is 0.25% this information is for everyone here, and you can find it online anywhere. Anyone says otherwise, has no idea what they are doing. Trade safe.


https://tradingeconomics.com/united-.../interest-rate
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  • #1,209,012
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:13am Jan 24, 2022 11:13am
Quoting Bones
if you want to compare currency yield you need to think about inflation you can'tcompare apples with oranges {image}
Yeah interest rate is way lower than the inflation, we get -6.75% for that which is awful. But it's the FED talk that drives the market now, which is also why US Stock market is going down. Inflation is still there, but risky assets are going down. Why, because expectations > reality in the markets. Otherwise it would be so easy to trade.
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,209,013
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:23am Jan 24, 2022 11:23am
search it yourself ,even look you can borrow at 0.05% over short term in the financial markets say 1 month today
its a range ,even FF has that arrow in my graphic above
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,014
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:28am Jan 24, 2022 11:28am
the perfect example of why you can't look at nominal rates is Turkey ,
say 15% interest rate but 35% inflation ,you lose 20% investing in that set up
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,015
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:37am Jan 24, 2022 11:37am
Quoting Bones
the perfect example of why you can't look at nominal rates is Turkey , say 15% interest rate but 35% inflation ,you lose 20% investing in that set up
I accept that fact, you should actually read my posts before answering. I am not denying it. I am just saying it's the FED talk that drives the market now. S&P, Nasdaq is falling like crazy. If we were to only look at the inflation and interest difference, US stock markets should have been bullish right? But they are not. It's the expectation that causes this. If I were to hold my stocks until FED raises rates and interest-inflation difference becomes positive, it would be too late.

So you are right, 100 dollars become 93 after a year, but you cannot wait until FED raises rates and lowers the inflation to sell your risky assets. That wouldn't be profitable. Again, expectations are bought and sold, reality is already priced in.
You have to have an IQ higher than 90 to interact with this user.
  • #1,209,016
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:42am Jan 24, 2022 11:42am
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,017
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:45am Jan 24, 2022 11:45am
magic
On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
  • #1,209,018
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:47am Jan 24, 2022 11:47am
Quoting Bones
{quote} no thickie if you have $100 in the bank after the last year its worth $93 down the super market
How much is that in Bitcoin!
...because you never know - until you do!
  • #1,209,019
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:52am Jan 24, 2022 11:52am
How much longer could this range possibly last?! I'm really starting to lose hope here.
  • #1,209,020
  • Jan 24, 2022 11:54am Jan 24, 2022 11:54am
Quoting Nordling
{quote} It is subjective, every trader can draw it differently and more importantly, trendlines in different timeframes can contradict. In that case should you look at the monthy, weekly, daily or hourly? Which one? No trend will last forever, there's no guarantee that those lines will hold. Also another problem is, drawing a line from a to b to get in that trade from the c is not efficient. What's efficient is predicting a reversal and getting in to the trade from the a point rather than waiting to draw a trendline and losing the opportunity to...

I learned this the hard way with my micro account. I figured out that multi-timeframe analysis is an absolute must if a trader is using TA because there are too many false signals on lower timeframes. TA has been helpful for me finding probably entry/exit levels and general price direction, but it's fundamentals that are beginning to "anchor" my trade ideas based on the TA that I know.
Trying my best.
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