CHEETAH - Resurection (Reloaded)

think for cheetah better focus on n>5.. money then accumulates very fast with compounding:

here one result for GBPUSD with n=8: start with 3 usd and then in 8 deals made 60 usd profits

Do you keep statistics for how many times you hit each level? It's nice if you hit n=11 and return 200K, but if in the same time it hits 'n=10' say 10 times and 'n= 11' 3 times, that's 1 million vs 600k. All hindsight of course and plus future results aren't linked to past results / analysis.

I like the idea but if I'm putting in 100 USD and it hits n = 8, say around 25K in a few days, hell, even in a week / month... I think you would have to strap me down because I'd be reaching for the 'cash out' button. Psychologically speaking I wouldn't be able to handle that.

If I took out 10% after each, instead of 200K it would be around 71K for n = 11 and a cashed out profit of 16K, 87K in total. Significantly less but easier on the blood pressure. I haven't read the other threads yet but I guess this would go against the whole concept.

Now comes the hardest part... finding a strategy that produces enough n = <whatever your target is> to cancel out all the -100 USD's you've incurred on the way.

In your example above for GBPUSD, why don't double after each trade? 3 USD 8 times would be 768 USD

good points from you! thank you

I just started the analysis. In MT5 possible to use "Custom" for optimizations so can implement for example optimize for max count of n=X.

I see you fully understand this approach - you have the right questions

I too think that maybe better focus on n=8 and not 12.. too hard would be if lose on n=11 for example.

100 usd with n=8 is 25k. With 50 attempts it is 5k dd and then 25k profit - risk/reward here 1/5. When get once 25k then next round start with 200 usd. And so on.

Here 1 setup how to find n=5 or n=6



USDJPY
Leverage: 1:500
Re-charged account: 100 usd
BUY when H4 RSI (period 2) < 40
SELL when H4 RSI (period 2) > 70
Lots: 0.1
TP: 100 pips
SL: 90 pips
Trading time for entry: Monday, Thursday, Friday start when Tokyo opens and wait for entry 8 hours. If more than 8 hours of no entry - stop trading, wait for another trading session.

Here are audited deals from 2018 to 2022 - see 2nd sheet:



For me seems here n=5 is better to target. And if accont charged each time with 100 usd then max lose serie was 14. Just in case better here have total capital 2x more so 2800 usd.

Here can scale after each win and double (lots and initial account) the next hunting session. We had here 7 wins - so it can look like this:
3200 usd
3200 usd
6400 usd
12800 usd
25600 usd
51200 usd
102400 usd

So with this CHEETAH setup in 4 years was possible do from 2800 usd start capital to the 102400 usd.

Using standard all hated/blamed indicator RSI. Still.. this might be overoptimization. And history never repeats. But if run 10 in parallel various setups with this money management then maybe 1 will succeed

Actually max loses serie was 14.. here better start with 3200 usd and can afford 31 loses in a row How about blood pressure when have 30 loses?

Looks like the same as here

https://www.forexfactory.com/thread/...0-or-20-trades

100% reward on every trades

this looks great in theory but close to impossible in practical

money management yes. the same. you are right

I dont see in that threads post #1 how to find n=X..

what i do different - using EAs to analyze historical patterns and find setups that might work as you can see the specific setup in my previous post.

this might be true. i try to focus how to find n=X.

I think with TP and SL around 100 pips can do the trick. 10 pips no way. because with risk/reward about 1:1 and 100 pips in longterm there is 50% probability which fluctuates. And there might be series of wins.. For example when we see that average win rate % is below 40% - we start to trade our cheetah strategy because odds more in our side to get that win rate probability bounce back to 50%..

We need no more than 200 trades per 4 years - entry intensity and TP/SL levels must be such to protect us from too many entries. And yes we expect in those 200 trades to see some n=5 series as i show this in particular backtest data.

Here another setup not so good but for diversification

USDJPY
Leverage: 1:500
Re-charged account: 100 usd
BUY when price made UP distance in that day from 8AM 50 pips (strong trend UP - continue)
SELL when price made DOWN distance in that day from 8A 50 pips (strong trend DOWN - continue)
Lots: 0.1
TP: 60 pips
SL: 50 pips
Trading time for entry: Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, time from 8AM to 10AM.

From 2018 to 2022 get 4 series with n=5 with this method.

See backtest.


Can anybody please contribute and make analysis of this Excel like I did in this post Excel 2nd sheet?

here maybe n=3 is good because we would have 12 wins each providing 400 usd. In Excel we need n=3, n=4 and n=5 analysis.

Another setup this time with GBPUSD n=5 was 4 wins in 4 years:

GBPUSD
Leverage: 1:500
Re-charged account: 100 usd
BUY when price made DOWN distance in that day from 10AM 120 pips (strong trend UP - reversal)
SELL when price made UP distance in that day from 10AM 120 pips (strong trend DOWN - reversal)
Lots: 0.1
TP: 110 pips
SL: 90 pips
Trading time for entry: Monday, Friday, time from 10AM to 17PM.

From 2018 to 2022 get 4 series with n=5 with this method.

Can anybody please contribute and make analysis of this Excel like I did in this post Excel 2nd sheet?



In Excel we need n=3, n=4 and n=5 analysis.

Hi Gepards

Did it blow ?

Average - GBPUSD
https://www.myfxbook.com/members/gep...gbpusd/7589743

yes, see here

thanks, that makes sense !!!!

Nonsense full mode on.

hey hey... I am still working on this cheetah approach..

and so far progress is this:

we can use stocks for this purpose. because:

1. There are some companies which in longterm are consistently growing like Amazon, Google, Microsoft etc.. think more than 100 companies from various sectors.
2. We do only BUY deals with those stocks
3. And we close our positions quite rare... well.. we keep them open all the time actually

Here are some examples which I found so far - for all starting capital is 1000 usd and leverage 1:10:


MSFT, trading from 2008. till 2022. From 1000 usd made 64800 usd.

Here forwardtest results - optimized 2008 till 2018. Then run EA on 2018 - 2022 data - EA do not know anything about future data so this is valid forwardtest approach to get non-overoptimized EA setups. Here it is:


here we have stable setups - optimization 10 years and then in 4 years forwardtesting. Earning 40-50k from 1000 $ initial deposit. DD quite ok - 33%.

Risk/reward 1:50. Saw similar performance on any company which tends to grow in lonterm. Apple, amazon. Google, etc etc

Yes shit might happen for example with a company like T mobile or General Electric when the stock turns out to be bearish several years in a row.

Therefore this approach requires at least 5-10 paralel acconts with various setups. Diversification.

For exaple we have 10 accounts and each intended 1:50 performance in 3-5 years. We need only 1 winner to cover our expenses.

Invest 10000 usd - 1000 usd in 1 account. For example 1 wins and 9 wipeout. We get 40000 usd profits in 5 years. What if 3-5 accounts wins...

We can get out investment as soon as possible and then continue to ride with "free money" or re-invest in another stocks.. Do not wait 5 years to get out - get out some profits after 1-2 years and re-invest or stay safe.

This is what I am now dealing with...