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  • Post #161
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  • Nov 24, 2021 11:30am Nov 24, 2021 11:30am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
Quoting Noeyedear
Disliked
..given the algo line wasn't far from the IB break (long) and the fact that the level had turned from support to resistance throughout the London session, i decided not to take the first IB buy setup. {image}
Ignored
very wise decision and a great read of the markets.
I tried to get clever but luckily was able to get my sh!t together and recoup the losses.
Was really mad at myself for what I did, but I am glad it eventually popped out of the top today as I was about to add in another element for direction which was instantly proven wrong today. Keep an eye on those levels, they seem to be very key!

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at this point, my win/loss ratio is not good and I am using mini's. Definitely not trading mini's until next week. You make your own luck and I did that today with the final trade. But I could have avoided so much pain.
 
1
  • Post #162
  • Quote
  • Nov 24, 2021 11:40am Nov 24, 2021 11:40am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
3 possible targets I am hoping a IB extension reaches for one day
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  • Post #163
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  • Nov 24, 2021 11:49am Nov 24, 2021 11:49am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
18 wins (78.26%)
1 no trade (4.34%)
4 loss (17.40%)

23/100

I need to come up with a different metric. Instead of Win it should be Hit Target. I clearly lossed some today.
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  • Post #164
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  • Nov 24, 2021 12:02pm Nov 24, 2021 12:02pm
  •  Noeyedear
  • | Joined Jun 2017 | Status: Member | 511 Posts
Quoting NevFX
Disliked
{quote}You make your own luck and I did that today with the final trade. But I could have avoided so much pain.
Ignored
Great come back for you, very nice day's work

I took $47 after fees .. but another 5% or so towards the combine target

I saw it pulling back quite sharply from the London Open level and took profit early on the final lot.
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  • Post #165
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  • Nov 25, 2021 4:29am Nov 25, 2021 4:29am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
Quoting NevFX
Disliked
3 possible targets I am hoping a IB extension reaches for one day{image}
Ignored
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top target got hit. wonder if we come back down now to the weeks lows? Currently trading at 50% of the weekly range.
 
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  • Post #166
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2021 8:47am Nov 25, 2021 8:47am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
https://youtu.be/ahkGGC8Et9Q

Just on the practice account today. Don't want to give anything back. Don't want a live trade to get caught in shortened market hours. Made so many mistakes before, I need to learn the lessons
From a journalling standpoint, it will be useful to know how much trading can actually be done on a day like today. I imagine the opening print will have volatility and then it tails off pretty quick.
 
1
  • Post #167
  • Quote
  • Nov 25, 2021 3:36pm Nov 25, 2021 3:36pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
18 wins (75%)
2 no trade (8.33%)
4 loss (16.66%)

24/100

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Today was a US bank holiday 'Thanksgiving' wasn't sure whether to include it in the stats but I am as it's the 24th trading day and I was able to make a trade though not using the BO of IB setup. Traded from the higher value area back to the 50% of the IB. Would have been a great trade if it were on the real account.

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  • Post #168
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  • Nov 26, 2021 7:40am Nov 26, 2021 7:40am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
https://youtu.be/Vzwu_la_nbc

just as a reference, trying to see which levels they hit, so I have a better idea of where to look next week.

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  • Post #169
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  • Nov 26, 2021 1:19pm Nov 26, 2021 1:19pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
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Double bottoms = Liquidity
Liquidity = Targets
Targets = Profits
 
 
  • Post #170
  • Quote
  • Nov 26, 2021 1:37pm Nov 26, 2021 1:37pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
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19 wins (76%)
2 no trade (8%)
4 loss (16%)

25/100
 
 
  • Post #171
  • Quote
  • Nov 29, 2021 9:37am Nov 29, 2021 9:37am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
Fed Chair Powell speaks today, Tuesday and Wednesday.
https://youtu.be/znEYoC1l2ws
 
 
  • Post #172
  • Quote
  • Nov 29, 2021 1:12pm Nov 29, 2021 1:12pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
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20 wins (76.92%)
2 no trade (7.69%)
4 loss (15.38%)

26/100
 
 
  • Post #173
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 9:32am Nov 30, 2021 9:32am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
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This is where I would like the market to go to today

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first target hit, then the IB breakout

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considering what happens next
 
 
  • Post #174
  • Quote
  • Nov 30, 2021 4:10pm Nov 30, 2021 4:10pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
21 wins (77.78%)
2 no trade (7.41%)
4 loss (14.81%)

27/100

I always thought the probability of getting to the first extension was 66%, but so far this market is doing better! much better.

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  • Post #175
  • Quote
  • Dec 1, 2021 4:08pm Dec 1, 2021 4:08pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
sometimes it just works - but you have to wait until the Fed stop talking

https://youtu.be/GXExmZHHGJc

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I should have held on for the liquidity level at 15860 but it was getting to close to end of session

22 wins (78.57%)
2 no trade (7.14%)
4 loss (14.29%)

28/100
 
1
  • Post #176
  • Quote
  • Dec 2, 2021 5:40pm Dec 2, 2021 5:40pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
22 wins (75.86%)
2 no trade (6.89%)
5 loss (17.24%)

29/100

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After the great trade yesterday I was hoping for another range expansion, unfortunately, the Fed killed the mood and then traders halted ahead of NFP tomorrow. Was definitely a loss, may be 2 if I had taken every set-up. I should definitely not trade while the Fed are talking.
 
1
  • Post #177
  • Quote
  • Dec 3, 2021 6:41am Dec 3, 2021 6:41am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
https://youtu.be/qq8-D8t56k4

Went through the week so far, discussed what I need to avoid more than anything else
 
1
  • Post #178
  • Quote
  • Dec 3, 2021 5:44pm Dec 3, 2021 5:44pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
Simple trade today, goes to show taking an L and surviving is worth it to trade another day.
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23 wins (76.66%)
2 no trade (6.66%)
5 loss (16.66%)

30/100
 
1
  • Post #179
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 8:01am Dec 6, 2021 8:01am
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
https://youtu.be/aT6lpgHMQJs

16100 is critical for the bulls
Fridays lows critical for the bears
 
1
  • Post #180
  • Quote
  • Dec 6, 2021 2:35pm Dec 6, 2021 2:35pm
  •  NevFX
  • Joined Apr 2018 | Status: Member | 609 Posts
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Pretty sure that if I go into the day with a bias, the market does its best to prove me wrong. Today I was expecting further downside. The market went higher.
Luckily the system keeps me out of some nightmare scenarios. Just need patience. Feel like I am 1 step closer to semi-automation. Would be good to have a trade manager, set to 1:2 risk/reward profile, which I could turn on and off depending on what was going on with the calendar.
 
 
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