Disliked{quote} not that good in long term view. actually im not good with prediction at all, and i think this is madness to try. You know how it goes. 2 sides 50% right or 50% wrong. price could drop 300 pips in three days and most of the traders talk about 1.2X, vise versa if its up so they talk about 1.45/7. both will happen, the timing is what im looking for. For example, pat chiko doing that. small movement, large money. The big question is, how and when do you almost sure you are on the right track? This what im trying to...Ignored
Yes, you're very right on timing issue in any trading system/method.
Man this is such a deep issue that its hard to even articulate.
I am a believer that systems have a "window of opportunity".
Understanding when that window shuts is such a hard thing to do, both statistically and emotionally.
Only the most advanced, most experienced traders will know when the window has shut (or opened).
I also think there is a relationship between the robustness of the system, the time period the window is open, and the profitability of the system. for instance...;
> the most robust system will keep the window open for the longest period of time, but the profits will be smaller.
> the least robust system will have a short window of large profits.
But you have to be a master at understanding when the window is open or closed.
As with everything in trading (and life), its all about the balance.
Warm Regards & Enjoy your weekends.
PAT
I come from the future.
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