Its is impossible to know whether price will go up or down you just need to find some pattern which will shift odds to your favor.
Applying techniques in spot FX is a very different ball game ,price manipulation ,government inference ,hedging requirements and the list goes on.
Certainly long term horizons based on firm fundamentals can be traded in this longer term trend, but for intraday trading we need a totally different approach.
We get caught up in the illusion trying to establish trend all the prevalent time horizons do nothing but confuse .
In one time period its going up in a other its going down.
The illusion kills us .
I come from the future.
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