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Stable & safe TREND strategy - 30% to 40% yearly profits

  • #181
  • Edited 3:30pm Feb 10, 2021 3:14pm | Edited 3:30pm
I am wondering about Musk/Tesla thing... they have a script that did operations to buy BTC. And that script has an algorithm. Musk is not an IT expert. That script was made according to some analyst orders by some coder from Tesla. If a secret is known by more than 2 then it is not a real secret. Will it be leaked?

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Ok this turned out as LSD joke... but still...

Then I see this info:

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And I wonder... nobody see fake pre-orders here? Normal pre-order is 5% of deal price. But here just 100 usd... common...

Then I see in news about AUDI ecar (and all other e-cars all around) and then I remember a proverb: "An empty barrel sounds far away"

Very loud moves by Musk... usually real business is made in silence. There is something wrong.

I am now considering to short TSLA - use it as hedge when will make basket of stocks to BUY. If I am wrong and all +/- market will go up then those BUYs should balance TSLA SELL loses. But if market will crash (because of some sensational news from Musk/Tesla? or maybe just total market crash...all down) then main driver will be TSLA. It must fall stronger than "normal companies" and so will make profits.

very positive scenario: TSLA crash and all the rest +/- up.

bad scenario: TSLA up and all the rest down.

positive scenario: all market crash but TSLA deeper (faster) than others

neutral scenario: all market up including TSLA and compensate

bad scenario: TSLA as rocket up (but why? what Musk can tell more? finally real sales?) and all the rest down or slow up

will look my BUYs which could be in my basket.
  • #182
  • Feb 11, 2021 1:56pm Feb 11, 2021 1:56pm
My current portfolio of small companies stocks and why:

#SEAC - software, they looking for new CEO, 182 employees in IT industry is good. Maybe someone could buy that team + subscribers of their services or they will get good new CEO. The online video platform they provide is ok. They don't have debts. Insiders own 25%. Analytics give a good target price 2.00 usd. Entered at 1.34 usd

#PFIE - services for gas & oil companies in US and I bet on covid situation improvement and gas&oil demand increase. They don't have debts. Analytics give a good target price 1.83 usd. Entered at 1.15 usd

#MYSZ - software, attracted investments 2 mil usd month ago, have an app for online shopping which helps to get the right size of dress to purchase. Covid and post-covid life will push more and more online shopping. This app is a good solution for that. Entered at 1.79 usd
  • #183
  • Feb 11, 2021 7:58pm Feb 11, 2021 7:58pm
Quoting gepards
{quote} Look in Journal tab for some details... maybe wrong order volume or something like that
no messages in journal

press F9 to open trade window, those place order button all unclickable, whether marker order or limit order.
  • #184
  • Feb 12, 2021 12:57pm Feb 12, 2021 12:57pm
Quoting hewtwok
{quote} no messages in journal press F9 to open trade window, those place order button all unclickable, whether marker order or limit order.
If order volume not provided then those buttons are not clickable... Put here a screenshot of how the window looks.
  • #185
  • Feb 12, 2021 7:42pm Feb 12, 2021 7:42pm
Quoting gepards
{quote} If order volume not provided then those buttons are not clickable... Put here a screenshot of how the window looks.
here is how the button looks like, all unclickable - even during weekdays.
maybe i should use mt4 instead of mt5?

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  • #186
  • Feb 13, 2021 8:26am Feb 13, 2021 8:26am
Quoting hewtwok
{quote} here is how the button looks like, all unclickable - even during weekdays. maybe i should use mt4 instead of mt5? {image}
you must set volume.
  • #187
  • Feb 13, 2021 9:31am Feb 13, 2021 9:31am
Quoting hewtwok
{quote} here is how the button looks like, all unclickable - even during weekdays. maybe i should use mt4 instead of mt5? {image}
Market is closed at 03:38 Broker Time. Markets hours of #PFE at Admiral Markets are 16:35 to 23:00.
  • #188
  • Feb 17, 2021 5:04am Feb 17, 2021 5:04am
Quoting SputnikX
{quote} Yes, but they charge a commission of 0.02 USD per contract. I think I will stick with Admiral Markets: myfxbook
I noticed after weekends that Admiral suddenly charged 1 usd per stocks CFD trade no matter volume. Even for 0.1 lots. So my all opened trades closed with -1 usd commission and the account lost 10%. No advanced notifications about that... So need more money to trade stocks CFDs now on Admiral.. minimum 1000 usd. I was testing there 14 EAs with 100usd account.

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now closed all EAs on that account. Will move them to another broker. Cant write here which new broker not to be treated as commercial (but you should know which brokers I mentioned before in this thread..)

Meanwhile waiting for explanations from Admiral...
  • #189
  • Feb 17, 2021 5:08am Feb 17, 2021 5:08am
There was a question in this thread before - do stocks CFDs pay dividends. Now I can officially confirm - YES.

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  • #190
  • Feb 17, 2021 7:54am Feb 17, 2021 7:54am
Quoting gepards
{quote} I noticed after weekends that Admiral suddenly charged 1 usd per stocks CFD trade no matter volume. Even for 0.1 lots. So my all opened trades closed with -1 usd commission and the account lost 10%. No advanced notifications about that... So need more money to trade stocks CFDs now on Admiral.. minimum 1000 usd. I was testing there 14 EAs with 100usd account. {image} now closed all EAs on that account. Will move them to another broker. Cant write here which new broker not to be treated as commercial (but you should know which brokers I mentioned...
Same here. They also increased swaps to -6.0 % / -6.5 %. Total communication desaster.

Closed all my accounts with them and moved to another broker (probably the same as yours).
  • #191
  • Feb 17, 2021 9:25am Feb 17, 2021 9:25am
Quoting gepards
{quote} I noticed after weekends that Admiral suddenly charged 1 usd per stocks CFD trade no matter volume. Even for 0.1 lots. So my all opened trades closed with -1 usd commission and the account lost 10%. No advanced notifications about that... Meanwhile waiting for explanations from Admiral...
I see in Admiral website they informed about stocks CFD change quite a long ago - at 4 February. However, didn't find any email about that... not in spam too. Ok, let it be. They now made rules the same as for account type "Invest"... clear. More money needed now to test strategies with real money.
  • #192
  • Edited 12:20pm Feb 26, 2021 12:05pm | Edited 12:20pm
Quoting gepards
2021 first month ended. Portfolio available in myfxbook performing well. All portfolio made from strategies/systems published here in this thread - more than 40 EAs/setups running. Stocks still performs better than currencies: {image}
Another month ended - so 2 months running EAs/strategies from this thread - here results from myfxbook:

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-4,77% account is Admiral Markets bad move with commissions changes... will close that account and move to another broker.

And finally 1 yummy deal from Virtual Ave 12 EAs MIX!! Excellent 9% profit safe deal (GBPJPY EA with normal safe SL/TP - risk/reward is 2.5 / 8.5). Nice sell deal 2 days ago. Virtual Averaging works with dangerous averaging but virtual (no real deals) and then on deep virtual drawdown EA open 1 simple real deal with no averaging/no martingale. Just pure 10 years statistics used.. There are very few deals.. you see in 2 months only 1 deal for now. Might be about 10-15 deals per year. But those deals are very yummy!

If not Admiral Markets bad move... would be about 8% total growth in 2 months for all accounts EAs (total 35 EAs running, capital splitted in 10 accounts). That's about 40% of estimated yearly profits - and is ok for this thread target. Will it be "safe & stable" trading... let's see.
  • #193
  • Feb 27, 2021 4:59am Feb 27, 2021 4:59am
For example you have 100 USD and it is 1 January 2018. 2 options:

1) Buy MSFT stocks for 100 USD (~83 usd for 1 share) - so you purchased 1.2 MSFT shares. Then after 3 years you get profits - sell 1.2 MSFT for 230 usd each. You now have 276 USD after 3 years

2) Setup an EA and trade with 1:5 leverage MSFT CFD. Only BUY on 2% dips. And additional BUY if dip goes deeper. Get out from deals when profit about 5%. And here it goes 2 sub-scenarios:

2.1) Max 2 opened deals. 2nd deal x2 lots. You react fast on dips and check everything every 1 second and sell/buy immediately when conditions met: you make 100 usd in 3 years as 1264 USD.

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2.2) Max 3 opened deals. 2nd deal x2 lots, 3rd deal x3 lots. You check everything every 1 hour - not react on noise: you make 100 usd in 3 years as 2539 USD

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In all scenarios you have to sit 4-5 months in drawdown... for example covid crash...

This is just an illustration that not always needed to check everything every second or every tick. A lot of noise and sometimes is better check less frequently.

Will deal with this EA to get more stable setups ... now margin level 69%... on 50% stop out. will check what if no leverage used. But then more money needed.
  • #194
  • Edited 5:41am Feb 27, 2021 5:28am | Edited 5:41am
MSFT is ideal for BUY - the best ever stock to run with BUY only strategies.

But there exist stocks that are good for SELL only...price surge X% up - then go in SELL. Even if that stock in the longterm goes UP... some stocks do it in a choppy manner...

Here some SELL-only examples:

Chevron (CVX) - (Buffet now long on it...)

CocaCola (KO)

Verizon (VZ) - (a lot of Hedgefonds bullish because of 5G now)

Oracle (ORCL)

IBM (IBM)

But if someone thinks stocks are overvalued now because of insane money printing and FED will raise interest rates this year which could make some crash for stocks - then those companies are the best candidates to bet on SELL. In case if all stocks market crash this year. This I consider as a hedge to my strong companies basket where still will go in BUY no matter what rumors scream about overvaluation... More than 20 years MSFT is going up no matter what... yes some drawdowns for 4-6 months might be... but any way up in the longterm.

Actually, on VZ, KO, IBM and ORCLA can go BUY only and SELL only strategies... quite choppy stocks. But MSFT only BUY...
  • #195
  • Edited 1:56pm Feb 28, 2021 1:42pm | Edited 1:56pm
What is a real hedge? When you trade 1 symbol and open SELL, then BUY.... it is not hedge.

Here is real hedge:

Open 1 deal BUY with MSFT and at the same time, 1 deal SELL with some weaker company (but stock price quite similar...if one price is 150 usd an another 2usd this wont work - need to balace volumes. But when 1 price 150 usd and other 100 usd it might work - just backtest for best volumes proportions) for example IBM. Close on 1% account profit. This is a true hedge. And it is working:

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When stocks crash... IBM sell will cover MSFT buy losses. And vice versa.

See here how IBM sell deal save MSFT buy on covid crash:

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Last 3 years MSFT grow but IBM choppy go down. See finviz.com data... IBM have Debt/Equity 3 but MSFT only 0.5. IBM is stagnating company. That's it. How IBM could get rid of huge debt? Think no way. Bravely will short IBM as a hedge for MSFT.
  • #196
  • Mar 6, 2021 1:57am Mar 6, 2021 1:57am
Quoting gepards
I am now considering to short TSLA - use it as hedge when will make basket of stocks to BUY. If I am wrong and all +/- market will go up then those BUYs should balance TSLA SELL loses. But if market will crash (because of some sensational news from Musk/Tesla? or maybe just total market crash...all down) then main driver will be TSLA. It must fall stronger than "normal companies"
TSLA 11 February 806 usd
TSLA 5 March 596 USD

TSLA down 27%

MSFT 11 February 244 USD
MSFT 5 March 231 USD

MSFT down 6%

TSLA sell and MSFT buy = 21% in profits. Yes this method could work. Need to know how consider which company is weak and which strong.
  • #197
  • Mar 11, 2021 3:29pm Mar 11, 2021 3:29pm
Added 2 more accounts for stocks. This time on RoboForex. Leverage 1:20 and yearly swap 6%. The interesting part for me is to choose the accounts currency as ETH.

Here EA MSFT only BUY no matter what

And EA MSFT buy only and IBM sell only (hedge system)
  • #198
  • Mar 19, 2021 5:27am Mar 19, 2021 5:27am
All working fine so far. 3 months already.

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Removed the ugly Admiral account... they changed stocks commissions without an email warning.. which was sad (-10%). Turned all off on that account.

Just monitoring... enjoying a lot of deals and positive growth. Stable and safe.

Meanwhile, think of new strategies... making some EAs.. will post here some results soon.
  • #199
  • Mar 19, 2021 12:16pm Mar 19, 2021 12:16pm
Finally, the last non-working account started to work - the first Facebook sell deal opened on H4 RSI overbought:

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  • #200
  • Edited 12:41pm Mar 19, 2021 12:24pm | Edited 12:41pm
Here interesting strategy...

Open SELL... when go UP X pips then open BUY with 2x volume. When go DOWN open SELL 2x volume.

SELL 0.01
BUY 0.02
SELL 0.02

When price finaly decide direction - close all opened deals on desired profit. Can be used SL for example - when opened deals count reaches N.

Here some backtests with this logic:

Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx GBPUSD_2018_real_ticks_dd18_profit105_deals103.xlsx   50 KB | 299 downloads
Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx GBPUSD_2018_real_ticks_dd45_profit297_deals483.xlsx   166 KB | 264 downloads
Attached File(s)
File Type: xlsx GBPUSD_2018_real_ticks_dd82_profit355_deals530.xlsx   178 KB | 313 downloads


You define how long a series can be. From backtests I see more than 6 is not ok because of swaps accumulation, usually, 2-4 is quite good.

For example:

SELL 0.01
BUY 0.02
SELL 0.02 (some ranging started here... price dont know where to go)
BUY 0.03

This setup is quite good. What should be optimized X pips for range.

For the first deal, opening might be various entry conditions. I prefer to use RSI indicator. But can be any indicator/setup. This is more logical about how to exit and how to deal when flat starts.
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