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Weekly COT report Analysis + Trade Ideas

  • #8,061
  • Sep 23, 2020 5:45am Sep 23, 2020 5:45am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} GU, daily remains bearish against 1.30. But I think we're getting close to a potential S zone @ 1.2650. {image}
Below are the natural ascending channels for GBPUSD since the year 2000. Each of these channels is a copy of the others. I only adjusted the width on a couple of the channels, but the angle is the same in all of them. As you can see, it always follows pretty closely the same path. The other chart is a closeup of the current channel in D1. The bottom band comes in at approximately 1.2630. I believe this may be the final bottom for GU.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD Ascending Channels.png Size: 639 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU Daily.png Size: 488 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,062
  • Sep 23, 2020 7:19am Sep 23, 2020 7:19am
Quoting Alorente
{quote} Below are the natural ascending channels for GBPUSD since the year 2000. Each of these channels is a copy of the others. I only adjusted the width on a couple of the channels, but the angle is the same in all of them. As you can see, it always follows pretty closely the same path. The other chart is a closeup of the current channel in D1. The bottom band comes in at approximately 1.2630. I believe this may be the final bottom for GU. {image} {image}
Thanks for pointing it out.
  • #8,063
  • Sep 23, 2020 9:20am Sep 23, 2020 9:20am
Quoting shahab8b
USDCAD, triangle bottom (H4) The image from ESSENTIAL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS by LEIGH STEVENS {image} {image}
USDCAD, long trade, moved sl to (+40), tp +1.35
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCADH1 923.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,064
  • Edited 9:55am Sep 23, 2020 9:44am | Edited 9:55am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} AUDUSD, I went short on the TL break, will add if it bounces
AUDUSD, I wanted to add more short on retracements, but there has been none. It's a vertical move. Possible sell setup @ 0.72
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH4 923.png Size: 33 KB
  • #8,065
  • Sep 23, 2020 9:59am Sep 23, 2020 9:59am
Quoting shahab8b
EURUSD, daily shows a topping pattern, whether it's a broadening formation or a complex or simple H&Sh (as Al suggested). Structural S @ 1.1750-1.17. {image}
EURUSD, short trade update, added after the confirmation of the topping pattern.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURUSDDaily 923.png Size: 32 KB
  • #8,066
  • Sep 23, 2020 10:09am Sep 23, 2020 10:09am
Quoting shahab8b
EURGBP, possible short setup {image}
I had a short setup on EURGBP, but it didnt reach my sell order. I think GBP might be stronger than EUR in the near term (based on the charts). Here is a short setup for EURGBP
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBP 923.PNG Size: 58 KB
  • #8,067
  • Sep 23, 2020 3:38pm Sep 23, 2020 3:38pm
GU, former S turned R @ 1.2775 held the rally. A break above that level and H1/H4 TL is needed for a possible upside correction.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GU 923 212.PNG Size: 81 KB
  • #8,068
  • Sep 23, 2020 3:49pm Sep 23, 2020 3:49pm
Quoting shahab8b
NZDUSD, daily chart remains bullish above 0.66, but there is a possible bearish wedge pattern in progress. I'm already short NU as posted before. The M30 chart shows a possible short entry around 0.6765- 0.6775 with SL above 0.6785. TP @ 0.64 (RRR 18:1) {image} {image}
NZDUSD, short trade update, this has been like that perfect trade you always want. A break below S @ 0.66 confirmed the double top. I'll add on a retest of the neckline.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: NZDUSDDaily 923.png Size: 42 KB
  • #8,069
  • Sep 23, 2020 4:08pm Sep 23, 2020 4:08pm
USDJPY, I'll be watching 105.60 - 105.80 for a possible short setup
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: UJ 923.PNG Size: 80 KB
  • #8,070
  • Sep 23, 2020 4:19pm Sep 23, 2020 4:19pm
Quoting shahab8b
USDCHF, daily, saucer pattern {image}
USDCHF, long trade, a textbook saucer pattern
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: USDCHFDaily 923.png Size: 33 KB
  • #8,071
  • Sep 23, 2020 4:25pm Sep 23, 2020 4:25pm
I am looking to add to AU short if we get a bounce, ideally @ 0.72
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: AUDUSDH1 9231.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,072
  • Sep 23, 2020 4:38pm Sep 23, 2020 4:38pm
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} Gold, a triangle top or a continuation pattern? I'm favoring the triangle top pattern. {image}
Gold, triangle top confirmed
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GOld triangle top.PNG Size: 72 KB
  • #8,073
  • Sep 23, 2020 4:43pm Sep 23, 2020 4:43pm
QQQ and AAPL and many other tech stocks, monthly, parabolic move going vertical.I posted a textbook image a few page back. This thing has just started. and nobody is talking about the possibility of a market crash
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: QQQ parabolic move.PNG Size: 66 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: AAPL parabolic.PNG Size: 74 KB
  • #8,074
  • Sep 23, 2020 6:47pm Sep 23, 2020 6:47pm
Quoting shahab8b
TSLA, ab=cd {image}
TSLA, ab=cd, update
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: TSLA.PNG Size: 68 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: TSLA 2.PNG Size: 61 KB
  • #8,075
  • Sep 24, 2020 2:10am Sep 24, 2020 2:10am
Getting ready for take off. I am beginning to build my long position in GBPUSD and GBPJPY.
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPUSD,H4.png Size: 291 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GBPJPY,H4.png Size: 293 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,076
  • Sep 24, 2020 2:17am Sep 24, 2020 2:17am
Quoting Alorente
Getting ready for take off. I am beginning to build my long position in GBPUSD and GBPJPY. {image} {image}
All we need is to break the wedges and we are off to the races. It could be pretty explosive. EU is also in a wedge. DXY has reached the top of the channel. I expect the down move soon.
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: DXY Daily.png Size: 871 KB
Observation is the path to discovery.
  • #8,077
  • Sep 24, 2020 4:52am Sep 24, 2020 4:52am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I had a short setup on EURGBP, but it didnt reach my sell order. I think GBP might be stronger than EUR in the near term (based on the charts). Here is a short setup for EURGBP {image}
EURGBP, short trade
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH1 924.png Size: 39 KB
  • #8,078
  • Sep 24, 2020 4:58am Sep 24, 2020 4:58am
GBPUSD, possible diamond pattern

Edit: I think it looks more like a diamond pattern than H&S
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: diamond example.PNG Size: 204 KB
Click to Enlarge Name: GU H1 HS.PNG Size: 53 KB
  • #8,079
  • Sep 24, 2020 5:15am Sep 24, 2020 5:15am
Quoting shahab8b
{quote} I had a short setup on EURGBP, but it didnt reach my sell order. I think GBP might be stronger than EUR in the near term (based on the charts). Here is a short setup for EURGBP {image}
EURGBP, it looks like an ab=cd pattern. revising tp to 0.90
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: EURGBPH19241.png Size: 48 KB
  • #8,080
  • Sep 24, 2020 5:25am Sep 24, 2020 5:25am
Quoting shahab8b
GBPUSD, possible diamond pattern Edit: I think it looks more like a diamond pattern than H&S {image} {image}
The geometric looks like diamond
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