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Cable Update (GBPUSD)

  • #535,141
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:18am Jul 13, 2020 7:18am
Quoting Moty
{image}
+ M pattern..
  • #535,142
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:25am Jul 13, 2020 7:25am
cable is so messed up this is the fourth time now it's failing to break
  • #535,143
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:25am Jul 13, 2020 7:25am
Quoting gatenio
gu bears, watch dx hourly above 96.470 can open the bottom for gu DS1 or rest of ADR..
Agree mate
  • #535,144
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:25am Jul 13, 2020 7:25am
Hey amigos
Hope everything fine, woke up later , missed some pips down already...If momentum is good 1.25300 may be something we can achive
  • #535,145
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:26am Jul 13, 2020 7:26am
Quoting Bones
Hi ,how do you arrive at those % chance {quote}
This is the second question I will take some time to answer you. I will give the two answers via personal message.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #535,146
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:27am Jul 13, 2020 7:27am
Quoting epzero
cable is so messed up this is the fourth time now it's failing to break
Patience... Find a distraction
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #535,147
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:31am Jul 13, 2020 7:31am
Quoting kuroro001
{quote} Probabilty of occurance based on what happened in the past months But then those % will change, depending if he looks at the past 10 weeks, past 20, past 30...etc...
There is another theory entirely to the probability of occurrence, not subjected to previous weeks other than a set of hidden behavior the pair portrays. I will give a detailed response to Bones on it soon.
Data + Stat + Risk/Emotions Management
  • #535,148
  • Jul 13, 2020 7:39am Jul 13, 2020 7:39am
Hmm is rejacting hard tho in 1H
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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  • #535,149
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:08am Jul 13, 2020 8:08am
things are not looking good for dollar as the BOE Gov Bailey Speaks in 2:30hours
  • #535,150
  • Edited 8:19am Jul 13, 2020 8:08am | Edited 8:19am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu2.png Size: 33 KB

update
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
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yes yes yes
  • #535,151
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:09am Jul 13, 2020 8:09am
This is what you can use to calculate the probability of a certain move over a certain period of time.
for example, 1 SD (447 pips) move to the upside is 34% over the next 10 trading days assuming that it follows a normal distribution (which you can argue against)
Attached Image(s) (click to enlarge)
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  • #535,152
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:31am Jul 13, 2020 8:31am
Inserted Video
not euphoria follower
  • #535,153
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:50am Jul 13, 2020 8:50am
m5 bounce done

Next target is 2585 and below.

Possible m15 short near 2640
COT: The precious data ignored
  • #535,154
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:52am Jul 13, 2020 8:52am
Quoting kuroro001
m5 bounce done Next target is 2585 and below. Possible m15 short near 2640
have the same level. prefer wont get there.
i want this doji on the pivot.
dx on s1
  • #535,155
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:58am Jul 13, 2020 8:58am
Quoting kuroro001
m5 bounce done Next target is 2585 and below. Possible m15 short near 2640
short as well, let's see if this high holds, SL above it (1.2676).
A trader is as good as his stop loss. Understand your mistakes.
  • #535,156
  • Jul 13, 2020 8:59am Jul 13, 2020 8:59am
Attached Image (click to enlarge)
Click to Enlarge Name: gu1.png Size: 20 KB
yes yes yes
  • #535,157
  • Jul 13, 2020 9:01am Jul 13, 2020 9:01am
Mondays being mondays
My tp is 1.25900
  • #535,158
  • Jul 13, 2020 9:04am Jul 13, 2020 9:04am
It can test previus trend line tho
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  • #535,159
  • Jul 13, 2020 9:09am Jul 13, 2020 9:09am
Long in at 1.2621 target 20 pips
Don't trade what you think. Just what you see!!!
  • #535,160
  • Jul 13, 2020 9:15am Jul 13, 2020 9:15am
Quoting Student21
{quote} short as well, let's see if this high holds, SL above it (1.2676).
ouch, i ate it, sl hit
A trader is as good as his stop loss. Understand your mistakes.
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