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Remember its doubling every 3 days with no mitigation- it's the peak matters. 1 week later is +200% on a large denominator. Every day matters at that point. Large scale testing is not so important on full lockdown. Testing will be more useful to get everyone back to work. {Other than key workers and the ill.} It's the key to opening up, then you lockdown any outbreak immediately with contact trace. Other measures like temp check and masks etc Clusters with no idea of spread are very risky for an explosion. You can use 1% to have an idea of how many actually got infected. It's not going to be everyone already. I could show that's mathematically unlikely in another way, using the exponential function. *80% = herd immunity, that stops exponential...but its true death rate is variable on many factors as it goes on, its likely to rise. I thought about why these charts don't have numbers on and that's because its easier to spot the patterns. I don't think governments want to give outlooks for many reasons, but other charts are out there. I would put Italy at 3-6% death rate when all data lands, there's no way it's 1%. The stupidity of the West is unbelievable to get to this point.
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On-site guru & also FF member's' psychiatrist, when not drinking tea
